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I’m surprised this hasn’t attracted at least a little attention.
I will freely admit to being a huge Midday fan, but with the ground reportedly soft at Longchamp I harbour severe doubts about her staying a truly-run twelve furlongs (a stiff ten would seem ideal).
Sarafina is an obvious contender – she goes on a soft surface, is unbeaten and will stay every inch of the trip – but I’m not entirely confident that she beat a great deal when winning the Diane.
Sariska appeals most, despite her antics at York. She’s classy, powerful, travels with an effortless grace, will adore conditions and is drawn sufficiently well that Jamie Spencer can do as he pleases.5/1 could look very generous at around 2.50 this afternoon.
Totally agree. Cannot understand her price given how it stands between her and Midday.
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Ground is good to soft as far as I can see and even if it’s not Midday gave Rainbow View when she was in good form a hiding on soft ground at Goodwood, so this unlike the heavy ground at the Curragh shouldn’t stop her.
Very difficult to compare her to Sarafina but Deluxe got pretty near to her and only scraped home in a listed race the other day. Sarafina might just be a bit of a false fav especially if the fround is softer than the forecasted. This is also the toughest opposion she has faced.
As far as Sariska goes I wouldn’t trust her as far as I could throw her. She finds nothing when she comes of the bridle and uless they get a downpour she wouldn’t have the toe to bother Midday IMO.
I’m sticking with Midday who I hope she wins doing handstands and then Henry will have a change of heart and supplement her for the Arc……had me a few crazy bets at very long odds in the Arc so it’s abit of wishful thinking on my part.
Still think she’ll win though but 5pts for a place on Betfair for every 2 for a win looks a very safe bet to me.
I`m of a slightly differant opinion with regards to what i expect to be the outcome, for me MIDDAY is a vastly improved filly, the way she ran all over STACELITA proved their was much more in the tank and she stayed on very strongly to beat the talented SNOW FAIRY, she`s never won on her seasonal debut so her earlier 2nd to SARISKA could be forgiven especially considering the easy 10F at York was probably against her, the going is reported as Good-Soft which will be fine, even slower going wouldn`t put me off the daughter of OASIS DREAM, SARISKA on the other hand as started every season off with a win and what we saw from her last time was very offputting, im seeing 5,2 on Betfair which for me is probably right, however, if you are betting her take the PMU price, it will be better for sure (ps 95% of my bets are in France so i can say i have a good feeling of the pmu), if it turned out soft a case could be made for HIGH HEELED, im sure she will be really well suited by this track, the German trained ENORA is very highly rated, will be interesting to see how she goes, like the poster i too didn`t see enough in the run of SARAFINA when she got first run on her stablemate ROSANARA, if these 2 met again i would have taken the latter to reverse(in theory has it wouldnt happen on the PMU….coupled), PLUMANIA stole the race last time so im not going to take serious!
Interesting race to savour!
Haven’t really got a view on the race, but would like to see Sariska winning.
Is the race going to be shown on ATR or similar? ? ?
Obviously there’s not much between Sariska and Midday, but in 3 meetings Sariska’s come out on top 3 times. Her stalls antics at York have to be forgiven. The ground should be ideal, and although Midday has been mightely impressive this season, my money’s with the dual Oaks winner. One worry would be the lack of a recent run. There’s a chance she is only using this as a prep, a prep in the same sense that Vison D’Etat used the Foy last here
However, at 9/2 she’s a bet to nothing imo, as long as she leaves the stalls of course!
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Agree with Tony that Midday has almost certainly improved, and it’s unlikely that Sariska would’ve beaten her at York anyway.
French going forecasts are notoriously unreliable, and their g/s would normally equate to our good or faster anyway, so with the 4yo fillies’ form looking much stronger than the 3yo’s, Midday certainly looks something to bet on at the current 3/1.As I always go about ruling out the false favorite, Midday is out of the equation. Between Sariska and Sarafina, Sarafina takes the spot of the obvious between the two as more competent on soft grounds. I’d actually go with Sariska if it wasn’t for her last race refusal to participate.
I’ve gone against everything wiser people than I are saying, in that Sariskas problem is a sign of things to come, rather than a one-off.
I’m convinced she’ll jump off, and have backed her on the grounds that she’s nigh on unbeatable on soft.
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5 Group1’s and counting! Great filly, Great Trainer Great Jockey.
If you get the impression I enjoyed that you’re right
It’s a shame that Sariska will bow out with those two refusals on her CV. That was an interesting race to watch, Queally always well positioned on Midday as opposed to the rider on Sarafina, who rode his filly almost as if he wanted to save her for three weeks time, only asking her to move up from the rear about 1½f from the finish (when it was all over).
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