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Prix De L’Abbaye 2010

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Viewing 15 posts - 18 through 32 (of 32 total)
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  • #320256
    Avatar photoBosranic
    Member
    • Total Posts 1982

    Fair point Bosranic but Bluster beat Planet Five over 6f…

    Bluster has not won over 5f in 7 tries since his debut in ’08. Planet Five(furlongs!) Has had one career start over 1000m and won. Interesting.

    Still, 33/1 probably over-estimates the difference in their chances

    Bluster was actually 2L clear at the furlong pole that day before Planet Five narrowed the margin to a head at the finish.

    With the anticipated testing conditions, it will arguably suit a horse with form over six. This will apply to a few of the others, but will they be as effective on the ground? Quite a few of the leading protagonists would prefer quicker conditions.

    I’m not saying the horse will win, but you final sentence sums up my opinion perfectly. I think he’s overpriced.

    I notice his ‘regular’ pilot is Soumillon. Any idea if he will be in the saddle this Sunday?

    #320332
    Avatar photoJJMSports
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2034

    Sole Power SHOULDN’T be 14/1, so it may be worth a nibble. Hope Zebedee gets supplemented, think he will turn out to be a very special horse!

    Didn’t you tip Dar Re Mi and Sariska for the Arc then they were retired?

    If so the same has happened with Zebedee, Weird!

    Indeed I was Sir. I am a walking jinx!

    #320351
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 17716

    She’s been supplemented Fist.

    3/1 top price the Lady with Bet365 and Powers.

    Arctic would be interesting on soft/heavy ground – looked a very smart 2yo under those conditions last summer and is surely no 33/1 shot with give underfoot.

    Don’t believe this I came back on to say I was having a bet on Ladey of The Desest and to say I though Artic could shock them all :shock:

    I really fancied Artic last season when he finished stone last on fast ground in the Middle Park. Whatever happened to Showcasing?

    Had an EW bet, The 33/1 is still on offer but my guy couldn’t get 10 shitas ew on it so I had to settle for 22/1.

    No 3/1 avaiable about Lady of the Desert but should be easy to get matched at better oddw than 3/1 on the machine with 2 days to go.

    #320357
    Avatar photonulty
    Participant
    • Total Posts 443

    I’m on Arctic @ 33/1 and Planet Five @ 16/1.

    Arctic is best highstreet price 20/1 now.

    #320479
    Kez1111
    Participant
    • Total Posts 131

    Got War Artist for the race as a course and distance winner, hoping for a big run and he deserves a big prize.

    #320520
    stilvi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5228

    Not a great deal of value but given luck in running the winner should come from the two fillies who head the market – slight preference for Swiss Diva.

    #320544
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 17716

    Lady Of The Desert beat Dalghar very, very easily at Ascot and the drop to five furlongs shouldn’t inconvenience her in the slightest; she travels strongly and has an impressive turn of foot.

    I think 3/1 is a tremendous price.

    Swiss Diva has been beating the same horses with varying degrees of success, but hasn’t yet faced a horse of Lady Of The Desert’s calibre. She’s good, but probably not good enough.

    Arctic remains an interesting contender on his juvenile form, but he has plenty to prove despite conditions appearing to be in his favour.

    #320571
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 17716

    Lady Of The Desert beat Dalghar very, very easily at Ascot and the drop to five furlongs shouldn’t inconvenience her in the slightest; she travels strongly and has an impressive turn of foot.

    Agree completely; though she’s not much of a price, she looks head and shoulders above a substandard field. Did have some doubt about the ground, but her dam thrived on soft, and connections paid the supplement knowing full well the conditions she’d face.
    Amongst the long shots, Mister Hughie might well make the frame.

    #320611
    darren83
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8488

    Marchand d’or to win got 20/1 for him to win

    #320616
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    Abbeye looks short on quality this season.
    With luck in running it looks between Lady 3/1 and the Diva 100/30. Better than Evens at combined odds must be the bet.

    Have backed Swiss Diva and saved on both Lady Of The Desert and Prohibit (28/1).

    Value Is Everything
    #320626
    stilvi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5228

    How the bookmakers must love these end of season races on dodgy ground. Unless you somehow factored in a massive improvement due to the ground the winner was pretty much unpickable. She has won with a degree of comfort. Should she stay in training will she reproduce this run – I doubt it. Lady Of Desert appeared to have every chance but never looked likely to muster enough pace to challenge. Swiss Diva ran a shocker – missed the break and never travelling.

    #320627
    Avatar photonulty
    Participant
    • Total Posts 443

    It looks on the head on as if Lady of the Desert bumped Arctic…cluching at straws here but if Marchand D’Or gets relegated too…. :lol:

    #320640
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 17716

    How about the next? Can Paco Boy upset Goldikova?

    #320685
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 17716

    I thought Hughes was trying to be too clever, stilvi, choosing to give Gilt Edge Girl a lead rather than follow her through the gap. As it was he had to switch outside and in doing so cost Lady Of The Desert all chance.

    #320689
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34704

    Hughsie made the percentage decision. Not his fault it didn’t pay off. The draw played it’s part, most of the principles raced near the rail. Winner drawn 1.

    Value Is Everything
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