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Odds on favs show 44% loss at SP!

Home Forums Horse Racing Odds on favs show 44% loss at SP!

Viewing 9 posts - 1 through 9 (of 9 total)
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  • #7868
    Glenn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2003

    Odds on favs show a 56.05% strike rate and a 43.95% loss since 2007. Crikey, these anti-punter industry initiatives must be really kicking in.

    Either that or…

    Timeform-i is a steaming crock.

    Honestly, I finally decide to give you Sleepy Hollow boys a chance and you screw it up. Your flagship product doesn’t appear to have gone through even the most perfunctory of beta testing and your help desk think the above results are ‘broadly consistent with what one would expect’. …even after I’ve pointed out they suggest average digital odds of 1.

    #164666
    Avatar photokentdougal
    Participant
    • Total Posts 277

    Hi Glen
    It’s for the shareholders bubbly- the shareholders like a drop of bubbly.
    Surely you watch the adverts

    #164672
    Avatar photorobnorth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8445

    Glenn

    Using Adrian Massey’s database figures for odds-on favourites in all races are:

    2007 Win 58.4% Return 94.2%
    2008 Win 54.7% Return 88.0%

    Turf Flat only

    2007 Win 57.3% Return 93.7%
    2008 Win 56.3% Return 92.2%

    AW Flat only

    2007 Win 54.8% Return 88.9%
    2008 Win 54.2% Return 88.8%

    Returns are marginally less on the All Weather but as you have pointed out ad nauseam, the AW markets are very weak.

    Perhaps you could explain your figures, because it smacks of not letting accuracy get in the way of a good rant………..

    Rob

    #164688
    Glenn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2003

    I accept the figures I’ve posted are innaccurate, Timeform do not. The rant is against Timeform in this instance. The figures come from their new Timeform-i systems builder which appears to have been launched without bug testing.

    #164693
    Avatar photorobnorth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8445

    Well either you’ve selected the filters wrongly, or Timeform-i is indeed a bag of sh*te.

    #164719
    Wallace
    Participant
    • Total Posts 862

    Its a close run thing between Raceform and Timeform for the award as the worst system analysis software in the market. Both over hyped, over rated and over priced.

    #164733
    Avatar photogamble
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5725

    A nicely held sword Glenn !
    I could eat stats for brekkers
    despite spitting out Hawking’s
    hundreds and thousands
    scattered over his false pear shaped
    universe that could odds on
    as easily be a cake.
    – did you know that Raymond Massey
    died of pneumonia in 1983
    – Adrian unlike Raymond never appeared in a stage production of Gigi but could easily win Racing’s annual philanthropist award under his nickname the honest toiler.

    #164751
    Glenn
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2003

    The best things in life are free Gamble and it is to the great philanphropist that we look for clues to today’s shameful episodes.

    http://www.adrianmassey.com/fav/index.php

    A little bit of water makes the grass 40% greener, a lot makes it 80% greener, a biblical flood and THEY have doubled their money.

    #165675
    Avatar photoDrone
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6344

    Timeform-i is a steaming crock.

    Agreed. I experimented with it by importing all 13 years worth of Computer Timeform’s NH database believing that if it was to be a useful adjunct to CT then it should be able to interrogate the complete database with the same ease the admittedly limited CT manages. As it turned out, the whole thing just became slow to the point of useless.

    Don’t like the interface

    Don’t need it anyway, haven’t bothered playing with it again. CT is adequate for my purposes

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