North On The Level – 2019

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  • #1446754
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
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    Lathom been a great shout Rob.

    #1446802
    robnorthrobnorth
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    LATHOM really caught my eye with his attitude when chasing home Spirit Of Wedza* at Hamilton. He has a turn of pace at the business end and used it to great effect yesterday at Ayr, putting 2 lengths between himself and the rest. He will go up between 6 and 8lbs for that, but I can’t see that is necessarily going to stop him winning as he does no more than he has to. He can certainly step up to Class 3 on the basis of yesterday’s effort.

    * Can’t find any news on Spirit Of Wedza who hasn’t appeared since. As an aside I worked through that one’s trainer Julie Camacho’s record and you could pretty much cover any of her runners over 5 and 6 furlongs in handicaps and turn a profit.

    HAROME was swamped in the final furlong having shared the pace for the first four furlongs. Looking at his record he’s never won in a field of more than 9 runners and I think he needs to dominate a small field. Add to that his winning has been done almost exclusively on quick ground then we have the best circumstances identified. Roger Fell continues to churn out the winners and Club Wexford won the opening Class 2 mile handicap taking a significant step up in grade. Right now I’m keeping a close eye on anything Roger Fell runs.

    CHARLES KINGSLEY ran a respectable race up in class finishing fifth. I get the impression he’s better on a turning track than on the more galloping type like Ayr. He seems taken off his feet as the pace increases down long straights.

    Nothing to add to the list this time, though I will have another look at yesterday’s Ayr races just in case I’ve missed something. There are a couple of decent races at Pontefract that I will keep an eye on.

    #1447219
    robnorthrobnorth
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    EEH BAH GUM ran a decent race for fourth place in the Gosforth Park Cup. He’s getting fairly close and there should be a five furlong sprint to be won in the coming weeks.

    RARE GROOVE goes for the Northumberland Vase after not making the cut in the Plate. I suspect he’s been aimed at this meeting for a while and is worth a bet at a double figure price.

    #1447281
    robnorthrobnorth
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    Decent effort in second place by RARE GROOVE, stayed on up the straight to come clear of the peloton but just ran into a progressing sort in Carnwennan. He ran in snatches but his trainer seems right that he is an out and out stayer. One to keep on the right side in similar contests.

    #1447331
    robnorthrobnorth
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    Plenty of action in recent days at Northern courses, but only one that realky caught my eye for the future. Micky Hammond’s three year old IRV showed a decent turn if foot to win a Class 3 mile handicap at York. Willing to squeeze through a gap, he hit the front a furlong out and asserted very well to break his maiden. This one appears to need quick ground and the mile looks ideal. He ran off bottom weight here so in a position to exploit further opportunities at this level.

    Only list entry so far this week is Harome who is entered for the opener at Sandown on Friday. This entry fits the Roger Fell ’14-day returners’ pattern.

    #1447951
    robnorthrobnorth
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    CHARLES KINGSLEY ran down the field in the Old Newton Cup, never getting into contention. In future I would only be interested if he’s near the top of the weights on a turning track.

    HAROME won at 5/4 today at Ayr today beating only 4 opponents. He needs a small field, so should be bet on selectively.

    #1447993
    robnorthrobnorth
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    HAROME is pulled out quickly after yesterday’s win, not untypical of Roger Fell’s modus operandi. It’s a small field again, even up in Grade the opposition doesn’t look any more formidable than yesterday’s, and Fell seems to have found another decent opportunity, so worth a bet.

    #1447995
    LostSoldier3
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    • Total Posts 1894

    Bit of an a harsh/overly dogmatic assessment of the old Haromester imo, Rob. Not just a small field bully.

    Some outstanding runs right up there with his career-best efforts in the Epsom Dash and a valuable race at York in big fields – value for finishing closer both times under rather poorly-judged rides on the sectionals. Lesser handicaps in small fields midweek up north are just easier to win.

    Also thought he was value today though. I priced it blind last night and made him 2/1, which seems to be where the market is heading now. Sound Of Iona maybe interesting at a price for big Jim.

    Roger Fell’s barmy army in fine voice lately though – would be one of my favourite trainers if I could just get a better handle on him!

    #1448068
    robnorthrobnorth
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    HAROME lost narrowly at Ayr despite being upped in class. I acknowledge that he has run well in large fields, but to date all his wins have come in fields of 9 or less. Remains in good form and stays on the list.

    Lost Soldier – The best angle with Roger Fell is to back his handicappers returning within 2 weeks of their last run. Percentage is not that high, given the type of races he campaigns in, but returns have been consistently good over recent seasons. There may be room for a bit of specialisation, but I suspect analyzing in too much deal may dent the profit!

    Looking ahead Lathom is entered at York on Friday and Eeh Bah Gum at Ascot on Saturday. I’ll summarise results to date from the list once I have a little time. A shade annoying from my point of view that other commitments have kept me from seeing much racing on course recently, but hopefully I’ll be freed up to visit Scottish tracks more often toward the end of this year. Whatever happens we are doing a posh weekend at York in October covering two days races,!

    #1448327
    robnorthrobnorth
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    LATHOM takes his place in the 4.55 at York this afternoon, a Class 4 event over 5 furlongs. Given the way he put distance between himself and rivals at Ayr I’d say he has every chance of another win.

    #1448561
    robnorthrobnorth
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    Two from the list ran in the five furlong handicap at AScot today:

    HAROME ran a cracker to finish third at 16/1 to easy winner Tis Marvellous, up with the pace all the way and seeing out the race well. I’d snap him up like a shot if he turned out again in a small field, but he certainly performed creditably in this big field.

    EEH BAH GUM raced up with the pace before giving way in the final furlong. He’s not quite getting there in these competitive events, but is crying out for his trainer to drop him into a 0-90 or 0-95 contest in which he would have more class than the opposition.

    #1448618
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
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    I think that’s a good shout for Eeh Bah Gum

    #1448824
    robnorthrobnorth
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    Two runners on Saturday:

    CHARLES KINGSLEY goes for the 3.30 Ripon Bell Ringer Handicap. There are nine runners and this looks a softer contest than his previous two races, which might give Mark Johnston’s charge a chance to dominate.

    RARE GROOVE goes for the 2.25 at Newbury, the Marsh Handicap over an extended two miles. He’s 5lbs better off with Carnwennan but I’m not convinced that will be enough to turn the Newcastle form around. Should run well though at a decent price for each-way or ‘without the favourite’ betting.

    #1449353
    robnorthrobnorth
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    HAROME finished midfield in a competitive handicap at Ascot today. As I previously suggested this one is best in a small field.

    Meanwhile this evening at York IRV followed up his last time out course win at 100/30. Bustled along into the straight he picked up really well when asked in the last furlong and was in charge in the last 100 yards. He’s a progressive three-year-old miler who should win again.

    #1449594
    robnorthrobnorth
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    CHARLES KINGSLEY comfortably won a 1m 6f Class 3 Handicap at Newmarket yesterday, suggesting that it’s a step up in trip he’s been needing. Never far away in recent runs, but just unable to get in a blow in Class 2 company over 1m 4f, he asserted in the final furlong and a half here.

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