Looking for Value

[bladeblaster]

Looking for value bets in Handicaps, based on a form system of my own conjuring. Simple excel sheet that spits out an expected price for each horse in the race.

S14:30 Suitcase n Taxi

L15:10 Modulus E/W

Not a great start

-2

[Purwell]

Good luck with this.
I had a look at these races and I have Suitcase n Taxi top rated but I would want 2/1 for it.
The Lingfield race I don’t like the look of at all to be honest.

I've stumbled on the side of twelve misty mountains
I've walked and I crawled on six crooked highways

[bladeblaster]

Thanks Purwell,

Suitcase n Taxi is generally 9/4

I know what you mean about Lingfield, I fancied Modulus running into a place with 9 runners, not so appealing now its only 7 runners We will see, I’m hoping the last run is behind him.

[bladeblaster]

D15:50 Shiapparanine E/W

-1 /-3

[bladeblaster]

N15:25 Samburu Shujaa

-1 / -4

Slightly annoying the winner was my second pick, but the price was’t quite where I wanted it to be. Oh well.

[bladeblaster]

L14:20 Town Parks

MR14:10 Ballinslea Bridge – 3rd

Better today breaking even now

+4 / 0

[bladeblaster]

M13:20 Cousin Oscar

-1 / -1

[bladeblaster]

Sorry for the lack of posting guys, I’ve been a bit busy of late.

Anyway, K18:45 I think has some good value betting.

I’m going with 2 horses here Fearless Warrior 1pt Win, I have him at much shorter odds than the 7/1 on offer, and Castlelyons 0.5pt E/W @ 28/1 if fit could definitely run into a place at this level.

L13:45 Kachy is the deserved favourite, however its been a long time since he’s raced, price is much too short for me, so I will go with Soldier’s Minute 1pt E/W in opposition @ 24/1

Not too disappointed, Fearless Warrior gave a good account again. Damned odds on Fav withdrawn slashing the price of Soldiers Minute

Ended up evens on the 3 bets.

[Author]

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