Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Long Walk Hurdle 2017
- This topic has 23 replies, 13 voices, and was last updated 8 years, 4 months ago by
pilgarlic.
- AuthorPosts
- December 17, 2017 at 22:40 #1332740
Ill have to oppose UKWIMH, yes on form he is the one to beat but, ive found him to be a bit of a nearly horse recently
Lami sergeIs the stayer ill be following through the season and i thinm he will come on a tonne for that first run,the longer trip will suit and off levels this time i think he is an absolute certainty to finish infront of lil rockerfeller
Lil rockerfeller is a horse im really fond of and i think he will keep improving but i do think the weight swing will find him out in this with lami serge, come march though on better ground he will be thereabouts
Thomas campbell a big improver, but without a claim im not sure he will be upto this
The worlds end was disappointing on reappearance beaten 32 lengths by sam spinner youd have to think off levels and with a run he will bridge that gap somewhat.
Cant see either of the two irish turning up as AJ already confirmed in ireland and NC likely kept for that also
Taquin du seuil is a possibillity, @ 20/1 hes worth a few £ for sure to place
Lami serge @ 5/1 Ive played a little antepost and i will have by far my biggest bet of the season if he is declared
Taquin du seuil 20/1 e/w Worth a chance at a place with the weight swing on UKWIMH although this race will be a little different too the last
December 17, 2017 at 23:40 #1332752In fairness you’ve been on fire lately; might have a nibble myself.
December 18, 2017 at 09:08 #1332768Would agree Taquin Du Seuil is a nice e/w bet…considering there are horses amongst this that clearly won’t run.
I wouldn’t rule out vast improvement from The World’s End either, the ground at Haydock was awful…he travelled well before folding tiredly. I love Sam Spinner, but to me TWE is the only true potential G1 horse of the younger less exposed contingent.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!December 18, 2017 at 18:35 #1332845As expected the two irish have came out, hopefully the 9 make the race!
December 18, 2017 at 19:18 #1332853THE WORLDS END at 12/1 three places each way will do for me.
Obviously blew up needing the run behind Sam Spinner and is much better than that run!!December 18, 2017 at 19:26 #1332856I have doubts about LAS over 3 miles in this country, plus his resolve hasnt yet been proven conclusively. Talented, won two of his last four…but then so has UKWIMH
This might be a race too soon for The Worlds End but he should improve and Newbury will suit.
Both TC and SS could improve again and will need to but we’ve seen handicappers progress into Graded winning stayers very recently. SS the likelier stronger stayer in winter ground.It looks intriguing but tricky and I’ll probably just have an each way play on TWE, although he needs to have improved 10lb+ from his reappearance
December 18, 2017 at 23:49 #1332909Personally I think that is likely Mark!!
December 21, 2017 at 15:39 #1333334I for one can understand punters being wary of Harry but I must admit to being surprised by the negativity in the market this week. A general 13/8 at the start of the week and now a fiendishly weak 15/8.
I know he got turned over at Newbury but on form he’s got the beating of this lot all day long. I know L’ami Serge is a bit of an unknown but I think 15/8 is worth taking and if he’s anything above 13/8 on the day go in again.
December 21, 2017 at 23:56 #1333401THE WORLDS END at 12/1 three places each way will do for me.
Obviously blew up needing the run behind Sam Spinner and is much better than that run!!I’m with you here, showed enough last year to my eye to believe he can progress into a serious stayer. Travelled well for a long way last time before blowing up and i expect a big run and will be disappointed if he doesn’t at least pick up some e/w money for me.
December 22, 2017 at 00:31 #1333408I for one can understand punters being wary of Harry but I must admit to being surprised by the negativity in the market this week. A general 13/8 at the start of the week and now a fiendishly weak 15/8.
I know he got turned over at Newbury but on form he’s got the beating of this lot all day long. I know L’ami Serge is a bit of an unknown but I think 15/8 is worth taking and if he’s anything above 13/8 on the day go in again.
I agree with you 100%. Seems big odds (15/8) for such a quality horse. Heres hoping
December 22, 2017 at 17:08 #1333489Started the ball rolling, gone in at 2/1.
2/1! Clints!
December 23, 2017 at 00:19 #1333545Fry’s horses not running well at all. He prides himself on maintaining a 20%+ strike rate and he’s down at 7%.
December 23, 2017 at 03:57 #1333564I didn’t think his run last time behind Beer Goggles was a bad run in all honesty. I thought the winner that day stole a march on them and the was unbelievably game to keep Harry at bay. On another day, Harry would’ve won.
Just for my Cheltenham bet I’d love to see him destroy them here but I’ve seen the 15/8 available and was shocked. Had to have a bet at that price.
Unowhatimeanharry @ 15/8
December 23, 2017 at 10:55 #1333610Harry on the nose (2/1) , L’ami EW (11/2) – what could possibly go wrong?
December 23, 2017 at 11:21 #1333632I have to go with Harry at 2/1 here.
December 23, 2017 at 12:15 #1333648Could be that Thomas Campbell is what Unowhatimeanharry was a couple of years ago, up and coming and on a roll.
December 23, 2017 at 12:19 #1333652ham,
Paddy Power offering money back as a free bet up to 10euro if UnowhatImeanharry wins. If you feel strongly that Lami Serge will get the better of Lil Rockerfella then this is great value. 10 on May Serge on the nose at 5/1. If he’s beaten it will most likely be by Harry
- AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.