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Does anyone have a view as to the draw bias on the Lingfield 5F Turf course? The reason for asking is that my horse is drawn 2 of 18 in the 2:30<br>tommorrow which on first glance is an awful draw as he’ll be right in the middle of the track, although he is drawn next to the favourite who is in 1, which is some consolation.
I am considering suggesting to Eddie Ahern to take the horse to the far rail, which will probably mean he will be running on his own which isn’t ideal, but there is always the chance that the far rail will be quicker, does anyone have a view as to if the far rail will in fact be quicker?
The draw is a real shame as I thought I’d found the perfect race for him, which is a sharp 5F on lightening fast ground. When he made his debut in a much better race at Newmarket he ran well for a long way but didn’t quite last home in the very soft ground.<br>
(Edited by alan1 at 5:43 pm on June 5, 2006)
I wouldn’t be worried by any draw at Lingfield, ther should be alot of pace that side so that should counter the bias. It doesn’t always work like that though as some courses do not give any advantage to ‘poorly’ drawn horses wherever the pace is. Somebody put up a word about the horse on here recently so it will be interesting to see how he runs with a bit of experience under his belt. Good Luck.;)
Have had a look at the 5f draw stats on good ground or better and their is no advantage. I would leave it to Ahern as to what route to take
Good luck tomorrow, piccolos normally improve for their first run
There is a strip which averages about a length and half advantage over the top 3 stalls when the ground is good. The 2 draw is right over it! :) Ask jockey to walk course to check it out and make sure that he gets a good start, pushes on downhill, and keeps straight.
They will all come to the stands’ rail and low draws are worse off in a field of this size, trust me
last 10 races over 5F with minimum runners of 16
1 winner drawn 3<br>1 winner 6<br>2 winners 9
rest drawn in double figures
stats indicate for you to get a vet’s sick note just like at Beverley when they feel they are badly drawn ;)
sorry mate…….draw bias can be wrong if they are good enough
So the winner was?
Scented Present from Draw 1, broke fast and continued up centre of track. Obviously, Frankie reads TRF the night before racing. ;)
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