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As usual a typically tough looking nut to crack.
There does not look like a lot of early pace on here with not many that are confirmed front runners, with General Eliot a non runner there are only a few that can/do front run.
Noble Citizen, Full Toss and Collateral Damage all can lead, Noble Citizen looks interesting but looks better over shorter, Full Toss is the exact opposite, looks better over further. Hard to know what to make of Collateral Damage based on his limited all weather form.
My Two against the field are
Tartan Gigha
and
Fanunalter
Tartan Gigha has been very progressive on the all weather with a couple of decent runs over in Dubai should put him spot on for this combined with the drop in trip he should go close. Drawn well to race prominent he should be able go with the pace.
Fanunalter looks the least exposed in the field and looks to have potential. Based on form comments it looks like he has taken a bit to come to hand, now gelded may have more to come, worry would be his slow starts and would not want to get shuffled back early on, needs to break well and sit just off the pace, has the ability to finish strongly. If trained on as a 4yo could be tough to beat.
Of the rest Flipando has found a new lease of life on the all weather over the last couple of seasons winning this race last year off 4ibs lower mark, won a 6f handicap with ease last month should have him spot on for this. Drawn low, he can drop in midfield behind the pace and not forced to go wide like a few of these hold up horses may be forced to do.
Hugely competitive, think the two you mentioned will be in the reckoning but I’ve gone for Flipando, course form is sensational and got one of the best pilots on board, especially at Wolverhampton.
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Autumn Blades always travels well but very often finds nothing but with 30k at stake he might just put his best foot forward…..David Probert is brilliant round this track which is a big plus so I’ll risk 20 quid at big odds on Betfair.
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