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Lincoln 2011

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Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 64 total)
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  • #347156
    Avatar photoBigWolf
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8

    richbowman,

    If the horse is ballotted out, you will get your money back.
    Harris Tweed was favourite for the Ebor last year, when William Haggas realised he wouldn’t ‘get in’ he ran him in another race, but left him among the Ebor entries so that punters who had backed him got their money back under the ballotting out rule.

    The difference here though, is that there is a consolation race for horses that don’t make the cut. Effectively, Kalk Bay would have to run in that for you to get your money back.

    I’m in a similar situation having backed Gunner Lindley and Breakheart – both of whom are outside the ’22’. I’m desperate for Gunner Lindley to make the cut, as connections appear to have hinted that if he doesn’t make the Lincoln proper, then they will go for Newbury’s spring cup.

    The perils of ante post betting, I guess :(

    #347185
    Avatar photorichbowman
    Member
    • Total Posts 110

    Thanks Bigwolf – I wont be making that mistake again. I’m pretty sure that William Haggas said Kalk Bay that wont run in the consolation race. Good luck with your runners.

    #347207
    Anonymous
    Inactive
    • Total Posts 102

    I was at Goodwood last summer and remember the bad run encountered by AL MUHEER in the Golden Mile, if Doncaster gets a dry week and the draw is kind the 40-1 could seem very big. his mark now looks a winning one and will be interesting if he sticks one of his lads claiming on it

    #347229
    Avatar photoEquianonimity
    Member
    • Total Posts 17

    I fancy Alan Jarvis’ Navajo Chief for this. 4 y o, not too high in the weights, decent form of late although struggled moving up to group company. Will be sharper than some coming off winter breaks (he hopes!).

    #347426
    Avatar photoZarkava
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4691

    It’s not hard to imagine Irish Heartbeat cruising just behind the leaders entering the final furlong in a fortnight’s time, such is the ease with which he travels in his races. The big question is what he will find thereafter. He barely gets a mile. It looks like a back-to-lay scenario, for me.

    I’m with you on that, 2-2 at Doncaster, goes well fresh and trained by Richard Fahey. Not much more you could ask for.

    #347631
    Avatar photoWilts
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1879

    Haven’t had a detailed look at this race yet, but one issue to take into account is the forecasted weather for the 2nd half of this week.
    Wet and windy to come – could quite easily change the ground at Doncaster, after this prolonged dry spell.
    I’ll be leaving any betting until Friday eve/Saturday morn.

    #347709
    GDC
    Member
    • Total Posts 939

    I too am hoping that Gunner Lindley gets in as i am on him ante post along with Prime Exhibit. It is looking increasingly unlikely that Gunner will make the line up! Compensation awaits though :D

    #347756
    Grimes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1889

    I’m quite keen on Penitent to do the double. His collateral form with Skysurfers – if he’s improved half as much – makes him look well-handicapped. Rain is apparently expected, too.

    Comparisons with the ratings of Babodana, an earlier winner under top weight, also make good reading.

    I just hope the rain comes and he runs in the race. I believe he was the early favourite, and that, before Skysurfer’s wins at Meydan. Strange business, odds-making.

    Nicholls’ Dream Lodge is now my no 1, Docofthebay, no 2, of the exposed runners; the former seems a standout bet.

    #348014
    Avatar photoBigWolf
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8

    Charlie Hills has just posted on Twitter that Gunner Lindley has made the cut.

    :D

    #348031
    Avatar photorichbowman
    Member
    • Total Posts 110

    Richard Fahey 6 runners?
    David Nicholls 4 runners?

    Come on lads, that’s just being greedy. Between you, you’ve messed up my ante post on Kalk Bay :D

    #348037
    davidbrady
    Member
    • Total Posts 3901

    You know what they say:

    "If you think you have 6 Lincoln Handicap horses then you have none"

    :shock:

    #348039
    Avatar photoZarkava
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4691

    :D

    Gunner Lindley I agree is an interesting runner, but…with ‘soft’ in the going description; 12421

    Without; 4225865

    What would also worry me is that both victories came on soft (debut victory officially on ‘good to soft’ but official time, video and RP analysis suggests much more testing. Also drawn in 18 which isn’t great.

    I’m on Irish Heartbeat at 16s and wouldn’t swap him for anything.

    #348045
    Avatar photorichbowman
    Member
    • Total Posts 110

    "If you think you have 6 Lincoln Handicap horses then you have none"

    Very good.

    Not strictly a question re the Lincoln, but I see Kalk Bay has been entered in the Spring Mile. Can anyone enlighten me as to what this means for my Ante Post bet on him for the Lincoln? Is it returned as he was balloted out?

    Thanks in advance

    #348046
    davidbrady
    Member
    • Total Posts 3901

    If he was balloted out then stakes are refunded

    #348061
    GDC
    Member
    • Total Posts 939

    Rich: You get your dosh back :D

    Zarks: I agree with your remarks about Gunner and there is no sign of rain so maybe i should not have wished for him maiing the cut after all :roll: Monies down down so time will tell.

    #348068
    Avatar photoZarkava
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4691

    Anyone concerned about Taqleed being 0-2 under Dickie Hills and 2-2 under other jocks?

    #348074
    GDC
    Member
    • Total Posts 939

    Zark: I would be more concerned with the going! Personally despite him looking a Group horse i firmly believe he needs cut and the ground is going to be gd at worst!

    I have addressed the trends/draw and there is only one horse who comes out 100%, that is


    Good Luck one and all :D

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 64 total)
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