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Masked Identity didn’t make the cut..no.41
Just leaves me EW on
Marie’s Diamond and United Front.Good luck
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...Will be interested to see what price Saleymn is, two impressive wins the last twice, both ran in good times and the stables in great form.
Have to say I like the look of botchy’s What’s The Story if a backable ew price too, like has been eluded too though so many potential group horses in here it’s hard to be overly confident in anything!
Have to go back to 2014 to find a winner of this drawn in single figure draw
And in that year horses from high draws filled every spot from 2nd to 7th
Plenty of unexposed well fancied ones drawn out of it based on that
Last 5 winners all drawn higher than 10 and all 4yos
So I will be backing
Rogue bear
Darkness
Notre belle betteAll at nice big prices
Thanks FF
My Marie’s Diamond is drawn 16 so happy with that, he likes to front run so hoping he will get away quickly
United Front drawn 7 so according to those stats he is up against it.Interesting that last years winner Haqeeqy runs in the Sheema Classic in Dubai against top opposition including my EW fancy Lord Glitters. He’s around 66/1 so a small EW wouldn’t go amiss.
JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...It’s one of those isn’t it, the stats sa it’s hard to win from a low draw but I’m sure addeybb and haqeeqy would’ve won from anywhere for instance they were that superior
Id rather take a big price on a well drawn one than a low price on a badly drawn one though
The lowly drawn ones will come down the middle if need be, like last year. A 66-1 shot drawn 1 was bang there at the finish then, so a lot will depend if the Haggas horse (and other unexposed ones drawn low), have enough in hand to overcome any stall number negative. I hope so in the Haggas’s horse case.
Yeh 1 has only good form on the AW
the other hasn’t beaten much all be it easy ish
And his debut win took a while to get the better of a mediocre horse.
Modern news form isn’t as good as it looks either!To be honest having watched Saleymm’s win last time out he looks like a proper group horse, quickened away and maintained his speed like a good won against decent rivals, on his breeding I see no reason why he won’t be as good on turf. Of the top 3 he’d be the one I’d be most tempted to side with.
V happy with my 16s for NBB; now only 8s with 365, but can still get 11s at Corals.
I’ll pick another one for an e/w Saturday morn.
Rogue Bear seems of interest and i might take a look at Channon’s Johan.I wouldn’t worry about the draw too much some of those bare stats are misleading, for instance I seem to recall Bravery won in 2017 from a high draw but actually he was dropped in and switched to join the horses drawn low and he narrowly beat the horse who came out of stall 2. If I like one drawn low I wouldn’t be put off because they were drawn low lets put it that way.
Win or lose, the 100 Scottish Summit is huge.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"The last five winners have been 4yo’s carrying between 8:12 and 9:04. This gives me only Saleymm and Mujtaba to work with. Not interested in betting at those prices in a tricky race like this.
I have therefore ended up on Irish Admiral. I’ve always been baffled why Ahmed Maktoum would bother purchasing a Gelding like this. I can’t comprehend he gives a flying anything about picking up UK handicap prize money, like chucking a chip down the M1 in comparison to his bank balance I would imagine. Always thought it was a strange one, and kept an eye on him since.
He is 5yo, so a year older than I wanted, but is trained by the right bloke, and is drawn in 1 next to the above mentioned likely-lad 4yo shorties. I’m hoping he will get towed in to competitiveness by these two at the business end of things, and he has proven he is capable from his current mark.
Irish Admiral 2 pts @ 37/1 (BF Exchange)
BUY THE SUN
He is also in first time headgear, TTC. It might draw out a bit of improvement from a tricky type like him.
I think it will need to because personally I think he is handicapped up to the hilt on form. But I agree he is an intriguing runner. First time out might be the time to catch him, so I will join you in the gamble.
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