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Not a certainty but may well win. I certainly would not be a backer at odds on. The horse won 8 of 9 juvenile races and has won 0 of 2 against the big boys. He has shown decent form this season but I wont be in any way surprised if either Blythe Knight or Amaretto Rose wins today.
Katchit only really has these 2 to beat and if Amaretto Rose is not fully fit then he has only 1 horse to beat. Blythe Knight wont roll over for him though and is capable of giving him a race and possibly a beating.Fair price i think today, for Katchit.
Will be interesting to see how Amaretto Rose runs today, her first time back on a racecourse since the festival last year. I was very impressed with how she was cruising coming round the final left hander at Cheltenham, but got caught for speed by Ebaziyan coming up the hill.
As you say Amaretto was essentially outpaced in the Supreme. With this track even more speed favouring, I’m not sure how a daughter of Alflora will cope with Flat racers like Blythe Knight and Katchit. Katchit’s price looks fair whilst I would have Blythe Knight shorter than Amaretto Rose and think he’s a bet at 4/1.
You would have to be disappointed if Katchit gets beat today.
I cannot see how Blythe Knight can improve the 31 lengths it was beaten by Katchit and Henderson as said that Amaretto Rose will improve for the run.
The others although good are not this grade.
I think Katchit is the bet of the day.
You don’t think better ground and a more speed favouring course could see Blythe Knight get closer to Katchit? He may not reverse form, but I’ll be astounded if he can’t get closer to Katchit than 31 lengths round here.
You would have to be disappointed if Katchit gets beat today.
I cannot see how Blythe Knight can improve the 31 lengths it was beaten by Katchit and Henderson as said that Amaretto Rose will improve for the run.
The others although good are not this grade.
I think Katchit is the bet of the day.
Blythe Knight just had a bad day at the office on that occasion and was clearly off that day. That form counts for nothing today.
Using old form lines you could say Blythe Knight beat Osana by 2 /12 off level lengths and Katchit got beat by Osana by 8 lenghts giving him 4 l/b.
That line of form if taken literally (which it shouldnt be but neither should Katchits 31 lenghts of Blythe Knight) gives Blythe Knight the slight edge.
Blythe is open to tons of improvement over hurdles where as Katchit probably peaked as a 4yo.This is going to be a good old race, throw Amaretto Rose into the mix and by my eyes Katchit is a long way away from being a certainty.
Alph, Osako D’airy and Lemon Silk are not good enough.
Amretto Rose is interesting , but it’s hard to see her beating a race fit Katchit FTO and i think Henderson is using this for summat down line
Blythe Knight’s can be half decent, but needs to improve to trouble Katchit, his poor run LTO and time off suggests maybe a problem and he also may be using this for something down line
So this leaves you with a probable good thing unless something strange happens
Not sure Blythe Knight has had a problem. He had a pretty busy time of things last spring/early summer so surely it made sense for him to have a break at the time of year when the ground was likely to be at it’s softest, which won’t suit him over hurdles. He has plenty of Flat form on soft, but I don;t think he gets home over hurdles when the ground is on the easy side.
Henderson is well known for having his horses ready first time, I cant believe anyone thinks Katchit is a good thing today. I can definitely see the possibility that Katchit may win, but certainty? I say no no no.
I’m making an assumption DJ on the poor show in Fighting Fitth and time off, but you could be right and he’s just been given a break
If he’s ok and fairly straight, i think he’ll be second today
Blythe Knight was perfectly ok Charlie he never eally settled in that race and was jumping his hurdles like they were fences. They were going too slow or he was wanting to go faster,,,,whatever way you want to look at it. John Quinn reckons he ran him too often over a short time and he had gone over the top.
Whether he was right or the horse was simply not good enough we should find out today. You would expect any horse engaged at Cheltenham to run pretty close to their top form today even if they don’t win…….your safest bet of the day is that their respective trainers will have left something to work on…..which means betting horses engaged at Chelteham has a certain element of risk to it……Instruction from trainers will probably be "win if you can but don’t knock him about"
Whatever reason Fists, he and Ameretto Rose need to improve a fair bit to lower Kachits colors and unless Kingy/Thornton feck up with their race tactics i’m having a hard time seeing the little terrier beaten here
I absolutely love that horse.
Great to see him win there.
Jumped really well and knuckled down to it really well at the end there.
Well done Katchit.
Heart of a lion and well done to connections
A nice blow out for Blythe Knight i thought
I thought that was quite impressive. Really enjoyed the way he skipped the hurdles. Difficult to weigh up against the beaten horses maybe, but struck me as being an improved performance
They have got to be delighted with that.
He be even straighter at Cheltenham and I still say he’s the biggest danger to Sizing Europe………won’t be 12/1 now that’s for sure.
A nice blow out for Blythe Knight i thought
Agreed. There’ll be a big prize in him yet this season, if not actually in the big one at HQ. Would the Scottish Champion Hurdle or the 2m race at Sandown’s April meeting (the Concept Hurdle as was) be the worst shouts ever?
gc
Jeremy Grayson. Son of immigrant. Adoptive father of two. Metadata librarian. Freelance point-to-point / horse racing writer, analyst and commentator wonk. Loves music, buses, cats, the BBC Micro, ale. Advocate of CBT, PACE and therapeutic parenting. Aspergers.
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