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CheltenhamSpecialist.
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- March 9, 2012 at 15:54 #395552
yet ANOTHER 2nd, got 9/2 off Laddies so no damage.
Don’t give up on Galway Jack his jumping in the straight let him down when looking all over the winner. I’d like to see how he’d go for a more experienced jockey. Good sit at the third last by young Jonathan Bailey though.I’m going for small 2×1 ew doubles in the next two Hunter Chases.
JANE’S CRUSADER
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POINT PROVEN
RESTLESS D’ARTAIXMarch 9, 2012 at 17:43 #395567yet ANOTHER 2nd, got 9/2 off Laddies so no damage.
Don’t give up on Galway Jack his jumping in the straight let him down when looking all over the winner. I’d like to see how he’d go for a more experienced jockey. Good sit at the third last by young Jonathan Bailey though.I’m going for small 2×1 ew doubles in the next two Hunter Chases.
JANE’S CRUSADER
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POINT PROVEN
RESTLESS D’ARTAIXThat’s better Winner and 1st & 2nd. and thanks to BOG I got 13/8 "Janes" and 5/1 for both of the Leicester runners, nice profit on the day
March 9, 2012 at 19:07 #395580Now my confidence is back I feel OK about recommending one worth an Ew interest at a big price tomorrow.
On all known form Viking Splash should win the Hunter Chase at Gowran Park as he had my selection, Gold Ducat, a long way behind when they both ran behind Merchant Royal earlier this year but GOLD DUCAT didn’t have his first race until last year at the age of nine.
He ran a blinder behind Boxer Georg and Zardsky and would have finished closer but for interference in the home straight, indeed aproaching the second last he looked to be going best of all. He’s going to be a big price tomorrow and this is a sporting EW bet but he impressed me in that hot Hunter ChaseMarch 10, 2012 at 09:09 #395656PS to my Gold Ducat post.
Been re-watching a few replays and I’m fairly confidend he’ll make the frame, on his Boxer Georg run a line through Zardsky gives him the beating of 2nd Fav Agus a Vic yet 16/1 on offer with bet365.
March 10, 2012 at 17:12 #395725Gold Ducat 3rd 16/1, a tad unlucky in running, cut off twice on the rails and hampered by a faller at the second last but I doubt if he would have won even with a clear run. One to note, however, there’s a rece in him.
First Weeks Hunter selections did OK though
W 11/8
Fell (In Lead 2 out 7/2)
W 10/3 Advised big bet
Lost
2nd 9/4
2nd 9/2 Advised cast iron EW (unlucky loser)
W 13/8
W 5/1
2nd 5/1
3rd 16/1 Advised decent EWMarch 10, 2012 at 19:10 #3957403.35 WARWICK
Swift Counsel, who was 13½ lengths behind OLD SI (Rec 7lbs) in the latter’s most recent run under rules, went on to run Roberto Goldbeck (Gave 3lbs) to 3 ½ length next time out, surely that’s good enough form to win this poor Hunter Chase. Formerly with Dessie Hughes, who thought enough of him to pitch him into Grade 1 against the likes of Tranquil Sea, he’s now moved to The UK. Of the others in this race, Spellchecker is a very weak finisher and Sovereign King (probably the main danger) has only got one decent piece of form in the last 5 years and that looks very flattering and is probably misleading.
It’s worth showing some caution, however, as the trainer has never had a winner under rules while the jockey has one win from 63 rides.5.10 WARWICK
While I hate missing out on any Hunter Chase, this prize has been “bought” by a family of pot hunters so there’s little point in having a bet. Anyone wanting to watch the race in the hope the jockey falls off the favourite might feel an EW interest on Noble Aran or Quil Est Beau offers better value than the obvious EW shots but I won’t be having a bet in the race.March 11, 2012 at 09:04 #395804Perhaps I shouldn’t have been so hasty in dismissing REFIC DE THAIX as a betting proposition, on form he should be in the 2/5 to 1/3 region in this field yet there’s 11/10 on offer.
It would be nice to know why he’s been off for so long but one thing’s for sure he’ll jump round OK, Daddy Waley-Cohen isn’t going put little Sammy at risk a week before his "date with destiny" at The FestivalMarch 12, 2012 at 09:31 #395947Whitewash yesterday with both selections pulled up.
Long Run fans watching Sam "Wally" Cohen on Refic Des Thaix must be very concerned after the shocking ride he gave the horse, totally misjudging the early pace.
Suckered into a "p*ssing contest" with the leader who had gone off too fast it looked at one point as if he’d lost count of the number of circuits.
His mount predicably ran out of steam on the second circuit and was pulled up.Fingers crossed for better horsemanship by the Tom Weston on ICE COOL BENNY in the 4.40 at Stratford who makes more appeal than the two market leaders who met last time out with Findlay’s Find again unseating his (experienced) rider and handing the race to Triffolet. Either could win this but Findlay’s Find who went off the 1-4 favourite that day has a 7lb claimer up today while he’s usually ridden by very experienced jockeys, a fact that combined with his jumping doesn’t instill confidence at a short price. Triffolet on the other hand beat nothing one Finday’s departed last time out and, while likely to get a place, and maybe win, is short enough in the betting for her form.
Ice Cool Benny on the other hand looks very good EW value at 8/1. Although he does have his own ideas about the game he’s proved his ability on plenty of occasions, he’s still only an 8-Y-Old and he’s got a top pilot on board.March 12, 2012 at 16:51 #396001Thanks Benny and a great ride by Tom Weston, jockeys mean so much in these races.
8/1 winner to a nice EW that’s paid for all my NRNB for The Festival and some
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