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Horse fatalities at a 5 year high

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  • #1394110
    steveh31
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    • Total Posts 1927

    Fatalities on racecourses were up last year on both flat and jumps.

    The BHA once again blamed the dry summer (seems there excuse for everything) and now have pledged to take action.

    https://www.racingpost.com/news/latest/equine-fatalities-at-highest-level-since-2014-as-bha-pledges-action/363754

    #1394131
    obiwankenobi
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    • Total Posts 349

    Add to these statistics the horses that are fatally injured in training also – you should not do one without the other.

    #1394360
    Avatar photoraymo61
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    • Total Posts 6330

    It would be interesting to know if this increase is accompanied by whether there is an increase in the amount of runners over the year.

    If this is so then surely it should be compared as a percentage of runners rather than an actual isolated figure.

    And before anyone says I am uncaring that is not the case at all. I am just always suspicious of figures that portray stats without due consideration.

    #1394394
    homersimpson
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2911

    This is done as a percentage raymo. 0.22% (or 22 in every 10,000 runners) fatalities in 2018 compared to 0.18% in 2017. 0.22% compares with the rate in 2014. Overall in the last 5 years this shows a rate of 0.2% so 2017 was low whilst 2018 was high in relation to present day figures. This compares to 0.29% 20 years ago. It will be interesting to see what 2019 brings.

    It would also be good to know the % split between the following, if anyone has these to hand :-

    Turf Flat
    All Weather Flat
    Jumps (Winter) say Nov to April.
    Jumps (Summer) say May to Oct.

    #1394402
    LD73
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    • Total Posts 3190
    #1394406
    Avatar photoKevMc
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    • Total Posts 1326

    The sensationalism shown by the RP and others regarding a 0.04% rise in fatalities is mad. Makes the situation seem a million times worth than it actually is. 75% of the variance can be attributed to the Grand Annual alone FFS.

    #1394409
    homersimpson
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2911

    Don’t think there is any sensationalism in the article myself. All it does is states facts and provides quotes. Even the headline is just stating a fact. These matters should be reported for transparency.

    The RSPCA response that the rise was “unacceptable” is a bit strong although they are only looking out for the welfare of the horse. This is hopefully just a blip and we will continue to see a downward trend in future years. Blaming a dry summer or one freak race, as Kev has done, is no excuse and lessons must be learnt from this in the future to protect our sport.

    #1394473
    Avatar photoraymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6330

    Thanks for that Homer :good:

    My only comment would be “maybe 2018 was an anomaly ? ”

    And if someone wants to interpret the stats in this way. We are improving horse welfare compared to twenty years ago but that wouldn’t make very good headlines.

    #1394581
    Avatar photoKevMc
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1326

    You say a downward trend Homer, but when does it reach a percentage were we say that is a reasonable tolerance?

    I work for an oil company and the industries number 1 thing is safety performance. Everyone knows this will never be 0, incidents and errors occur. The industry is aware of this and there is a benchmark set to compare against.

    Racing is exactly the same, injuries will happen and horses will be fatally killed, but as an industry it has to set a bench mark IMO.

    Being 0.04% over an average variance which includes the lowest totals ever recorded is not something where lessons need learning, it’s variance.

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