Henry De Bromhead form

[He Didnt Like Ground]

Plenty talk about the form of the yard , has anything come out about a bug or virus in the yard , HDB is normally a master of peaking his horses for March but it’s looking like the may well have poor festival , can’t even think of a younger horse coming through , Slade Steel being beaten an example of a poor season so far , Rachel has had a quiet time of it since returning to , as anyone a HDB horse for the festival

[robnorth]

Henry De Bromhead had one runner at Musselburgh today in Bowmore. He ran a well beaten fourth place in a decent contest and looked a bit short of peak condition. Last run was 38 days ago, so possibly on the cusp of the ‘needing the race’ break.

[Ex RubyLight]

Two winners from his last fifty runners tells a lot with both horses having won weak 5-runner affairs.
I think his horses are happier on genuine spring ground, but the stable has be too quiet, imo.

[Chivers1987]

7 runners today, beaten 21 lengths the best he could muster from 2 of them. 28 runners in the last fortnight, only two have been beaten by less than 5 lengths, one of those on the flat (Dundalk). Would like to know why but no news so avoid at all costs.

[Gingertipster]

Henry is certainly “out of form”, suspect a virus in the yard. However, there have been signs of them coming back just recently.
Of his last 20 runners the vast majority have been unfancied.

Only 4 of his last 20 runners started single figures and 3 of them ran well.
Quatrain 7/4 was a nose second and really should have won with a better ride.
Nastya 7/2 second, beaten only by the long odds-on fav.
Walks In June 11/2 disappointed.
Koktail Divin 100/30 the third favourite finished third, beaten by the 11/10 fav and the 13/8 second fav – albeit beaten a long way.

Of the other 16:
Champagne Mahler 10/1 ran well to only be beaten 1 1/4 lengths.
Captain Ryan Matt a 25/1 shot finished second, only beaten by a long odds-on fav.
6 started @ 33/1 or more so can’t expect much of them.

So when expectation is taken into account I don’t think it’s (now) quite as bad as the bare stats suggest. My “trainer in form” ratings would currently score him 3 out of 10, where 5 is average.

Although HDB does not have any stand outs for Cheltenham this year, he does have several third or fourth favourites and two that may yet start favourite for their races depending where others go. Without Brighterdaysahead and Lossiemouth it’s possible July Flower could start favourite for the Mares Hurdle. Likewise The Big Westerner in the Albert Bartlett if Final Demand and The Yellow Clay choose the Turners Hurdle. Workahead has a fairish chance in the opener. Heart Wood and Hiddenvalley Lake have place potential in the Ryanair and Stayers Hurdle on the Thursday… Ditto Monty’s Star in Friday’s showpiece.

More than any other trainer I’ve noticed HDB has gone in to the Festival in poor form only to suddenly hit form.

Value Is Everything

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