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Thanks Rory, but I’ve actually got all of those in my spreadsheet already, from the same source.
So your post doesn’t go to waste, I’ll start checking them now.
Gerald
PS, I’ve noticed as a test, you left Kauto off.
PS, I’ve noticed as a test, you left Kauto off.
He was rated so high, my mouse wouldn’t reach!
You actually made me laugh for once, but that may be my masterplan for this evening kicking in. I’ve started drinking already, so that I can sleep soundly, and then wake up at midnight for the racing from Flemington.
Okay, what I’m trying to do is identify those horses that have had a setback, but no one has said anything yet.
I haven’t started any investigating yet, but I thought I’d just publish the list, and let others fill in the gaps. It may be that a trainer has got several horses and already has 2 or 3 aimed at this race.
Horses not entered in the Hennessy
Kauto Star – accounted for
Exotic Dancer – Dead
Neptune Collonges – Injured
Nacarat – main target King George
Tamarinbleu – runs Saturday
Cooldine – WFA
Black Apalachi – doesn’t want to affect GN weight?
Star de Mohaison – Injured/may retire
Gungadu
Nozic – Becher chase
Rare Bob
Breedsbreeze
Comply Or Die
Joncol
Monkerhostin – retired (?)
Ollie Magern – runs Saturday
Don’t Push It
Miko De Beauchene
Ornais
Possol
Rambling Minster
Tricky Trickster – Hurdle runs until GN weights out
Wichita Lineman – Dead
Preists Leap
Roulez Cool
Opera Mundi
Fundamentalist – ran Saturday
Nevada Royale
Surface To Air
Parsons Legacy – ran twice this season already
Light On The Broom
Shining Gale
Wheresben – not run since Dec 27
Jaunty Flight – was meant to run in this. Something amiss?
Lacdoudal – ran Saturday
Money Trix
Southern Vic
Abbeybraney – still a novice (?)
Ambobo
Battlecry
Cane Brake
Cornish Sett – Wincanton
Eric’s Charm – main target London National / RH?
Maljimar – ran this season
Millenium Royal – French
Simon
Auroras Encore
Ballistraw
Leading Attraction – Dead
Russian Around
Brooklyn Brownie
Fleet Street
Kilbeggan Blade
Standin ObligationIt may be that a few of the 10yos+ haven’t been bothered to have been entered because people know they don’t have a particularly good record in it.
Can’t remember what I read about Surface to Air the other day [or where I read it]. Could it be that he was ready to run again, but then they found a bit of heat in his leg? He’s certainly an interesting one if he is back this year.
I have always liked a 2nd season chaser for this and the horse that fits the bill this year is
Carruthers
,just took 15 on the machine.If as expected Denman should run then this fellow will feel as if he has been let loose!
Gone to Lunch
153 (10-5) perhaps wouldn’t have the same scope for improvement and may be a bit of a boat but he is another who will stay every yard and is very well suited to Newbury’s big oval track, and could definitely stay on into a place.
Nice Hennessy prep for GFL today. Can’t think of a worse track for him than Ascot so did ell to finish wher he did and stayed on nicely in the straight
I think Gone to Lunch is a fantastic horse; had he not had such a torrid time at Cheltenham he would have a much higher profile this season.
Gone to Lunch is slow and ain’t good enough. I’ll eat my own head if he wins the Hennessy!!
Gone to Lunch is slow and ain’t good enough. I’ll eat my own head if he wins the Hennessy!!
I don’t think he’ll win it (although I would love to see someone eat their own head so I’ll be cheering him on nevertheless!) but I can definitely imagine him running something like:
"In touch, ridden and outpaced 5 out, rallied from 3 out, finished well, not reach leaders"
. . . he’ll love the track with it’s long straights and could use his bottomless stamina to be a fast finishing (but unthreatening) 3rd or 4th, staying on past beaten rivals. He’ll probably be a 12/1-16/1 shot to win the race which I wouldn’t be overly interested in, but I really like the idea of backing him TBP @ 10/3, 7/2 ish
Okay, this is what I’ve gleaned from the RP:-
Horses not entered in the Hennessy
Kauto Star – accounted for
Exotic Dancer – Dead
Neptune Collonges – Injured
Nacarat – main target King George
Tamarinbleu – runs Saturday
Cooldine – WFA
Black Apalachi – doesn’t want to affect GN weight?
Star de Mohaison – Injured/may retire
Gungadu
Nozic – Becher chase
Rare Bob
Breedsbreeze –Comply Or Die
Joncol –Monkerhostin – retired (?)
Ollie Magern – runs Saturday
Don’t Push It –Miko De Beauchene
Ornais –Possol –
Rambling Minster
Tricky Trickster – Hurdle runs until GN weights out
Wichita Lineman – Dead
Preists Leap
Roulez Cool –Opera Mundi –
Fundamentalist – ran Saturday
Nevada Royale –Surface To Air –
Parsons Legacy – ran twice this season already
Light On The Broom –Shining Gale –
Wheresben – not run since Dec 27
Jaunty Flight – was meant to run in this. Something amiss?
Lacdoudal – ran Saturday
Money Trix –Southern Vic
Abbeybraney –Ambobo –
Battlecry –
Cane Brake –
Cornish Sett – Wincanton
Eric’s Charm – main target London National / RH?
Maljimar – ran this season
Millenium Royal – French, ran September
Simon –Auroras Encore –
Ballistraw
Leading Attraction – Dead
Russian Around –Brooklyn Brownie –
Fleet Street –
Kilbeggan Blade –
Standin Obligation –
I’m generally assuming that horses that ran in May are just late back.
Possol was a false alarm. Would I be wrong to automatically assume Grand National if Possol is having a go at hurdles? This is in the context of Possol being at a low price in the betfair GN market, despite his age. Rather creates the impression that someone stable-attached is backing him.
edit:
Wednesday 23rd September 2009
Jaunty Flight has picked up a small injury which will mean she is going to have box rest for a month. It is nothing serious but will rule her out at a possible tilt at the Hennessy.I thought Killyglen ran a nice Hennessy prep today. The ground wouldn’t have suited at all (Howard Johnson has always said horse wants decent ground) and the winner (Knockara Beau) might just turn out to be a contender for the Arkle or RSA Chase at the festival. He finished 5th beaten just 10l behind Mikael D’Haugenet in the Ballymore hurdle this year.
I have always liked a 2nd season chaser for this and the horse that fits the bill this year is
Carruthers
,just took 15 on the machine.
I’d take on anything with this beast on genuine soft or heavy. The horse travels and jumps out of it better than anything I’ve seen for a long while and was, for me, the stand-out novice chaser last year.
Towards the end of last season started to think about this race and Carruthers and Killyglen were the ones who stood o like a sore thumb. Carruthers obviously needs it soft or worse but is monstorously effective on those terms. Killyglen would want g/s or soft and he would be my main bet for it.
So will be looking at betting the pair on a 2-1 ratio
2pts killyglen
1pt CarruthersThink longterm carruthers should go for the welsh national though, off a rating of 149 nothing would get near him, he travels brilliantly and loves the likely ground.
I’m a big fan of Carruthers, I backed him in the Reynoldstown and the Rsa, but do you guys not think he also needs a small field and an uncontested lead to be seen athis best
I dont think Carruthers is quirky like that THM, I think its more a case that he needs ground conditions that bring his stamina and travelling ability into play. When you look at how he beats horses on soft or heavy ground, they are ran ragged and he is travelling really well. At cheltenham on better ground he is usually travelling well towards the death, but as soon as the tempo is lifted he starts making mistakes and dont think he has the gears for g/s or better (at least not at the sort of trip hes been running at anyways). I think the welsh national is the perfect race for him, and he’s on a cracking rating for it, however, if it were to come up soft at newbury on hennessy day, he’d obviously have a cracking chance.
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