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Jonjo has a plan he’s going to run Don’t Push It and shouldn’t be too high in the handicap.
He shouldn"t be too high in the handicap,but he will be Fist! try 11-5,Not a prayer!10-5 and you would be thinking Clan Royal
I"m afraid not!With you there matey.
I have Don’t Push It down as 11st5 unless Notre Pere runs. If Notre Pere runs I have him at 10st13.
Character Building catches my eye at 10st9 on my ratings as does Ballyfitz at 10st10 and Can’t Buy Time at 10st5.
I"m convinced Notre pere is a mudlark and you have him about 3lb higher than me,if he runs i reckon Dont push it will get 11-2,i dont think he will run though!Mon mome will get top weight imo!
I"m convinced Notre pere is a mudlark and you have him about 3lb higher than me,if he runs i reckon Dont push it will get 11-2,i dont think he will run though!Mon mome will get top weight imo!
Agree again on the Mon Mome comment. Despite Notre Pere getting a National entry I don’t think he’ll run.
I’ve got Comply Or Die on 11st4 if Notre Pere doesn’t run and 10st13 if he does. That could be a very nice weight for him
If Mon Mome goes off top weight, I think we might see the mighty return of Comply Or Die into the Aintree winners enclosure.
Yes i wouldn"t disagree with that,11-4 and Comply is a player!
Halfway,you have been doing your homework!
I’m I the only one looking at Garde Champetre
No
As stated in this thread, he is one of Gerald’s top selections
£57.94 @ 102.16
I hope he’s bloody entered!
I’m having a nightmare, what with Himalayan Trail and Golden Flight dropping like stones through the h’cap, and Merigo, Coe, Jass, Boychuk and Ballytrim not quite doing the bizz to get into the race.
Hi all new to this forum
I would like to see Paddy Pub run in the National, would need a 4lb rise in the weights but stays and jumps well.
Gerald
10 Jan 2010, 15:18Wrote
I hope he’s bloody entered!Hi Gerald
Terrific odds, they’d be some run on him in the betting if he ran with a proper female jockey onboard, I could see a huge "housewifes choice" gamble. He didn’t run last year as they though he might be on the small side for hurly burly of The National. Maybe JP is reconsidering the horse is very neat and nimble at his fences and he’d love to win the race, it would be great for racing too if Nina won the National. No need for Claire Balding to ask her to smile
We were talking about Paddy Pub either earlier on this thread or the one in the trends section; he’s actually a very young horse for this years race [but then, so is the favourite!!].
Hi there, not worked anything out, yet but really keen on Niche Market’s run when he ran in the Hennessy.
Form from Hennessy is working out too with Barbers Shop coming third in King George
Also What A Friend winning the postponed Lexus in Ireland.
Hey Gerald,
Great work on this and thanks for the update on horse that are no longer running etc, etc.
Myself and a buddy were waiting over Christmas for Mr Strachan to come out as it looks like it has come back to near it’s best Novice form and off a rating of 132 looks to be very nicely handicapped and the way it has run the last two times could be a possible stayer for the GN trip.
Certainly sees out 3 Mile very strongly.
Would love anyones opinion on this one.
WREC
Will it get in off a rating of 132? ”has undergone a wind op in his absence and will return to run in staying handicaps on stiff tracks like Carlisle and should prove capable of winning off his mark of 129 over fences’. Well; I missed that one..hope you got a good price when he won at Carlisle!
Hi WREC
Thanks for that – it has encouraged/prompted me to do an update. Ratings now take into account the Christmas period runs, though some of the Irish ratings are my guesstimate. Probables are in blue [/color:3vkl6h26] and possibles in Yale (pale) blue. I gained the impression that the RP site went a little haywire regarding some ratings over the New Year.
The horses are just those in my spreadsheet, and it isn’t exhaustive; for example, I think I’ve left Ellerslie George out, as he is likely to go for the righthanded Irish National.
I think Notre Pere will probably be given a rating of 163, to encourage connections to run. I read that Dreaper said that the horse was going to get an entry, but browsing in the Weekender earlier this week a columnist was writing of the horse as a definite runner. Has anyone come across anything from the horse’s mouth, so to speak?
Maybe Kauto Star should run, as everything from Mon Mome down would be 10lbs+ out of the handicap.
If I come across a couple of errors, I’ll edit them in, and leave a note at the bottom of the post saying that I’ve done so.
edit: My view of Probables and Possibles only goes down to 138. In some cases I’m not sure, so I’ve just left it in default black/grey, which maybe is a bit illogical.
195 Kauto Star
182 Denman
170 Neptune Collonges Sidelined [/color:3vkl6h26]
167 Notre Pere [/color:3vkl6h26]
166 Madison Du Berlais
164 Albertas Run
162 Joncol
161 Mon Mome [/color:3vkl6h26]
160 Cooldine
159 Black Apalachi [/color:3vkl6h26]
159 What A Friend [/color:3vkl6h26]
158 Mister Top Notch
158 The Tother One
158 Comply Or Die [/color:3vkl6h26]
158 Nacarat
158 Air Force One [/color:3vkl6h26]
158 Barbers Shop
157 Cloudy Lane [/color:3vkl6h26]
156 Garde Champetre [/color:3vkl6h26]
155 Don’t Push It [/color:3vkl6h26]
155 Rare Bob
155 Halcon Genelardais
155 Star de Mohaison
155 Carruthers
154 Breedsbreeze Sidelined [/color:3vkl6h26]
154 Snoopy Loopy Retired [/color:3vkl6h26]
154 Trafford Lad Sidelined [/color:3vkl6h26]
154 Vic Venturi [/color:3vkl6h26]
153 War Of Attrition [/color:3vkl6h26]
153 Calgary Bay
153 Preists Leap [/color:3vkl6h26]
152 Ornais Sidelined [/color:3vkl6h26]
152 Our Vic
152 Shining Gale Sidelined [/color:3vkl6h26]
152 Gungadu [/color:3vkl6h26]
152 Tamarinbleu
152 Casey Jones Travel sick [/color:3vkl6h26]
151 Darkness [/color:3vkl6h26]
151 Nozic [/color:3vkl6h26]
151 Possol [/color:3vkl6h26]
151 Money Trix
151 Killyglen
151 Ollie Magern
151 Dream Alliance [/color:3vkl6h26]
150 My Will
149 Big Fella Thanks [/color:3vkl6h26]
149 Roll Along [/color:3vkl6h26]
149 Tricky Trickster [/color:3vkl6h26]
149 Joe Lively [/color:3vkl6h26]
149 Miko de Beauchene [/color:3vkl6h26]
148 Beat The Boys [/color:3vkl6h26]
148 Beroni
148 Backstage [/color:3vkl6h26]
148 Gone To Lunch [/color:3vkl6h26]
148 Dear Villez
148 Le Beau Bai [/color:3vkl6h26]
148 One Cool Cookie [/color:3vkl6h26]
148 Roulez Cool
148 Chelsea Harbour [/color:3vkl6h26]
148 Millenium Royal
148 Niche Market [/color:3vkl6h26]
148 Irish Invader [/color:3vkl6h26]
148 Cappa Bleu
147 An Accordion
147 Snowy Morning [/color:3vkl6h26]
147 Can’t Buy Time
147 Will Be Done
147 Atouchbetweenacara
147 Opera Mundi Sidelined??? [/color:3vkl6h26]
147 Northern Alliance
146 Nevada Royale
146 Surface To Air Sidelined [/color:3vkl6h26]
145 Character Building [/color:3vkl6h26]
145 King Johns Castle [/color:3vkl6h26]
145 L’Ami
145 Kornati Kid [/color:3vkl6h26]
145 State Of Play [/color:3vkl6h26]
145 Ballyholland [/color:3vkl6h26]
145 New Alco
144 Wheresben Sidelined [/color:3vkl6h26]
144 Siegemaster
144 Nenuphar Collonges
143 Bible Lord
143 Ballyfitz
143 Eric’s Charm [/color:3vkl6h26] Owner(s) keen [/color:3vkl6h26]
143 Jaunty Flight
143 Parsons Pistol [/color:3vkl6h26] Going [/color:3vkl6h26]
143 Equus Maximus
143 Toby Jug [/color:3vkl6h26]
143 Ballistraw
143 Silver By Nature
142 Cane Brake [/color:3vkl6h26]
142 Regal Heights [/color:3vkl6h26]
142 Exmoor Ranger
142 Horner Woods [/color:3vkl6h26]
142 Arbor Supreme [/color:3vkl6h26]
142 Light On The Broom
142 Our Monty
142 Maljimar [/color:3vkl6h26]
142 Reveillez [/color:3vkl6h26]
141 Ambobo [/color:3vkl6h26]
141 Russian Around
141 Fingeronthepulse
141 The Package
141 Iris De Balme [/color:3vkl6h26]
141 Southern Vic [/color:3vkl6h26]
141 Ponmeoath
141 Kilcrea Castle [/color:3vkl6h26] Settling in okay?? [/color:3vkl6h26]
141 Offshore Account [/color:3vkl6h26]
141 Mr Pointment [/color:3vkl6h26]
140 Flintoff [/color:3vkl6h26]
140 Stan [/color:3vkl6h26]
140 Hello Bud [/color:3vkl6h26]
140 Lacdoudal
140 Standin Obligation
140 Companero [/color:3vkl6h26]
140 Rambling Minster
139 Cornish Sett [/color:3vkl6h26]
139 Parsons Legacy [/color:3vkl6h26] Going [/color:3vkl6h26]
139 Knowhere
139 Abbeybraney [/color:3vkl6h26]
139 Auroras Encore
139 Operation Houdini [/color:3vkl6h26]
139 Bringbackthebiff [/color:3vkl6h26]
139 Church Island [/color:3vkl6h26]
138 Made In Japan
138 Turpin Green [/color:3vkl6h26]
138 Coe [/color:3vkl6h26]
138 Florida Express
138 Silver Birch
138 Hennessy
137 According To Pete
137 Hoo La Baloo
137 Officier De Reserve
137 Pomme Tiepy
137 Trabolgan
137 Oscar Bay
137 Silverburn
137 High Chimes
137 That’s Rhythm
137 Brooklyn Brownie
137 Aimigayle
136 Treacle
136 Ice Tea
136 Paddy Pub
136 Chief Dan George
135 Butlers Cabin
135 Irish Raptor
135 Kilbeggan Blade
135 Ballyagran
135 Oodachee
135 Fundamentalist
135 Nine De Sivola
135 Ballytrim
134 Selection Box
134 Battlecry
134 Over The Creek
134 A New Story
134 Au Courant
134 Boychuk
134 Shardakhan
134 King’s Advocate
134 Bothar Na
133 Always Waining
133 Cerium
133 Jass
133 Galant Nuit
132 Frankie Figg
132 Mr Strachan
132 Or Jaune
132 Old Benny
132 Morgan Be
131 L’Aventure
131 Merigo
130 According To John
130 Palypso De Creek
130 The Sawyer
130 Pak Jack
130 Golden Flight
130 Fair Point
130 Lysander
129 Crozan
128 Dev
127 Idle Talk
127 Valley Ride
126 Best Actor
125 Royal Rosa
125 Arteea
123 Simon
120 Himalayan Trail
120 Snakebite
114 Verasi
112 Freeze Upedit: It was announced that the GN would be the target for Stan, when the horse was with Vaughan. Probably still the case?
Silver Birch should be a probable, and Hennessy a possible.
I’ve been out of the racing loop for a few days, so I didn’t realise Rare Bob is ready to run.
I cant be having Garde Champetre for the obvious reason; Its not a banks-course. Look what he did in the Irish National, he just wasnt interested. War of Attrition, Big Fella Thanks and Comply or Die are who Im going with, for now!!!
Have to agree; remember how brilliant Risk of Thunder was, but he did nothing in the National. Garde Champetre is much classier an animal, though.
Myself and a buddy were waiting over Christmas for Mr Strachan to come out as it looks like it has come back to near it’s best Novice form and off a rating of 132 looks to be very nicely handicapped and the way it has run the last two times could be a possible stayer for the GN trip.
Certainly sees out 3 Mile very strongly.
Would love anyones opinion on this one.
Mr Strachan was a horse I had an eye on, for betting on in general, as Sue Smith gave him a good write up in the RP Stables Tours, but I don’t have it to hand at the moment. Still only rated 132, and he has 3 142 RPRs performances.
She was also in the Weekender at the end of the year, and said that Mr Strachan has had TWO wind operations, and must have plenty of give in the ground (Claisse
). Now that Warwick was abandoned,, he’ll likely go for the 3m2f at Cheltenham at the end January, presumably unless Smith really wants to get a run into him sooner.
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