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Expected to be for Reaping The Reward (backed it at Sandown) and against Saint Are today. But there doesn’t seem to be much pace in the race. Night In Milan and Saint Are the most likely to be up there, Tom George in good form and Saint Are usually runs better in the Spring, possibly being brought along steadily for Aintree, but worth taking a chance at double figure prices. Night In Milan a Donny specialist, both main selections go well on goodish ground. Godsmejudge usually tracks or races mid-div, looks like on his way back, but this might be too much of a test of speed if they don’t go a good pace. Reaping The Reward has a great chance on “form”, but in contrast to his previous runs is from a stable struggling for form and usually held up, so race may not go his way either.Value Is Everything^ Having said that. Have just worked out the 3:30:
Race Of The Day
3:30 Doncaster
26 points @ 12/1 (sportingbet (and betfair)) Saint Are* (min 10/1)
50 points @ 4.5/1 (betfair) Night In Milan* (min 4/1)(£51 available)
saver:
23 points @ 100/30 (PP) Godsmejudge (min 100/30)
Value Is EverythingTo go with my Thistlecrack bet:
World Hurdle
21 points @ 16/1 (Sportsbook NRNB) Saphir De Rheu* (min 14/1)Value Is EverythingRace Of The Day
3:55 Exeter
38 points @ 8/1 (B365) Alberobello* (min 13/2)Value Is EverythingRace Of The Day
3:55 Exeter
38 points @ 8/1 (B365) Alberobello* (min 13/2)30 points @ 7/1 (WH) Wizards Bridge* (min 13/2)
24 points @ 10/1 (betway or bits and pieces betfair) Merlins Wish* (min 9/1)
saver:
8 points @ 12/1 (B365) Finish The Story (min 11/1)Value Is EverythingHi Mark, hope you’re well! Because I don’t do national hunt or group races I was thinking of following you, Is just betting your best priced horse (one selection) sufficient to show profit at the end of the season? For instance today Alberobello @ 8/1 do you do more selections to keep down swings to a minimum? How do you set up a post alert for the thread?
Thanks! Sam
Hi Mark, hope you’re well! Because I don’t do national hunt or group races I was thinking of following you, Is just betting your best priced horse (one selection) sufficient to show profit at the end of the season? For instance today Alberobello @ 8/1 do you do more selections to keep down swings to a minimum? How do you set up a post alert for the thread?
Thanks! Sam
Sorry, I don’t have a clue about how to set up an alert. May be Matron or Cormack know?
I’ve never worked out if just betting my best priced horse is sufficient to show a profit Sam; but be amazed if it isn’t. Would mean much longer losing runs but you’re obviously well aware of that. You’re dead right, the reason I back all horses I believe are value instead of just the best value bet is to reduce swings to a minimum… And confidence. Find if going through a long losing run my confidence goes and that – in turn – seems to affect my workings out. ie Coming to the wrong conclusion about who is and who is not a value/good bet.
An alternative could be to cut out all the saver bets, although…
If looking at last Saturday’s results, I had 3 winners from 4 races, Vyta Du Roc, Sausalito Sunrise and Silviniaco Conti, but they were ALL saver bets so I made a loss on the day! But had I not had saver bets it would be 4 losing races from 4. However, could well be overall that backing my best priced selection (or cutting out savers) amounts to bigger profits (because when winning it doesn’t lose any/as much of the profit and when losing it doesn’t lose as much). If choosing to do this method Sam, let me know how it goes.
Value Is Everything3:45 Warwick
59 points @ 9/2 (Sky) Minella Reception* (min 4/1)
saver:
22 points @ 11/4 (B365) Howlongisafoot (min 11/4)Value Is EverythingThanks for the reply Mark I will let you know how it goes 4 out of 4 loss so far.
Sods law today I couldn’t get 9/2 for minella reception so I put my money on howlongisafoot @ 11/4 before I realised the drift
3:35 Kempton
43 points @ 13/2 (Sky) Champagne West* (min 11/2)Value Is Everything3:35 Kempton
43 points @ 13/2 (Sky) Champagne West* (min 11/2)35 points @ 7.6/1 (betfair) Ziga Boy* (min 13/2)
Value Is Everything3:35 Kempton
43 points @ 13/2 (Sky) Champagne West* (min 11/2)35 points @ 7.6/1 (betfair) Ziga Boy* (min 13/2)
22 points @ 10.5/1 (betfair) Le Reve* (min 9/1)
Value Is EverythingHi Mark, hope you’re well! Because I don’t do national hunt or group races I was thinking of following you, Is just betting your best priced horse (one selection) sufficient to show profit at the end of the season? For instance today Alberobello @ 8/1 do you do more selections to keep down swings to a minimum? How do you set up a post alert for the thread?
Thanks! Sam
If you look under the smileys then under Tags there is a box which says []Notify me of follow-up replies via email – just click on the box and that should do the trick.
Blackbeard to conquer the World
2:50 Newcastle
33 points @ 9/1 (SJ) Russe Blanc* (min 8/1)
22 points @ 17/1 (betfair) Summery Justice* (min 14/1)(£10 available @ 17.5/1, £34 available @ 17/1)
23 points @ 14/1 (B365) Cork Citizen* (min 12/1)
Savers:
11 points @ 8/1 (Sky) Rocking Blues (min 8/1)
10 points @ 9/1 (WH) Shotgun Paddy* (min 17/2)Value Is Everything2:00 Kempton
38 points @ 9/1 (SJ) St Saviour* (min 7/1)
saver:
35 points @ 11/10 (B365) Gibralfaro (min Evens)Value Is Everything3:35 Kempton
43 points @ 13/2 (Sky) Champagne West* (min 11/2)35 points @ 7.6/1 (betfair) Ziga Boy* (min 13/2)
22 points @ 10.5/1 (betfair) Le Reve* (min 9/1)
Almost forgot…
Betbright Chase is the “Race Of The Day”.Value Is Everything
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