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Ginger’s Winners 2024+

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Viewing 17 posts - 460 through 476 (of 490 total)
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  • #1694263
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 31975

    15:45 York Musidora Stakes
    (11.8%) £138 @ 11/10 (WH) Friendly Soul (min Evens)

    Value Is Everything
    #1694266
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 31975

    “15:45 York Musidora Stakes
    (11.8%) £138 @ 11/10 (WH) Friendly Soul (min Evens)”
    —————————————————
    (3.75%) £32 @ 9/1 (B365) Francophone (min 8/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1694269
    stilvi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4934

    Bit surprised that you have gone in early. Are you not concerned about the likely change in going?

    I was impressed with Friendly Soul, but she was able dictate a race on good ground. I got the impression that she was more speed than stamina. Not sure the combination of softening ground and distance would be in her favour.

    That said none of the opposition look as if they are crying out for softening ground. Sinology is by a good ground sire out of a mare who enjoyed some cut, but the form of that Newbury maiden looks terrible.

    #1694271
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 31975

    Fair point it is a bit early Stilvi, but I’m not going to have much time over the next day or so. In fact I’ll be pretty busy for the next week or more. So it was either put the bets up now or probably not at all.

    But I wouldn’t be worried about the ground with Friendly Soul unless it became very soft. Most of sire Kingman’s runs were on a sound surface – as befits one with such a turn of foot. But if I remember rightly his impressive victory in the Irish Guineas was on pretty soft ground. FS’s dam In Clover ran 18 times, never on anything firmer than GOOD and her best two victories were on soft and very soft. Of her progeny, In Crowd won on Good and soft ground and disappointed the only time raced on good-firm. Call The Wind successful in a Group 2 on Soft and runner-up in the Group 1 Prix Royal Oak on Heavy. To me – Friendly Soul’s action is one that imo should be effective on at least good-soft if not soft. On times, the ground at Newmarket was as the official, on the good-firm side of GOOD without being good-firm.

    …And although she made the running I don’t think she “dictate”d as such. The time was a fast one (considering both age and race distances) compared to others on the day. So should not have favoured the front runner. Therefore I’d rather it were a true test of stamina at 10f anyway. Judged on both the Pretty Polly and her debut (admittedly over shorter) she is amenable to restraint too. Settles well when either leading or under restraint tracking pace. So – at this stage – I’d expect her to even stay 12f if supplemented for the Oaks, even though technically not bred for it.

    I am a big fan of Friendly Soul and the horse she beat in the Pretty Polly, Kalpana. If either is a late entry in the Oaks then Get On! :rose:

    Value Is Everything
    #1694278
    stilvi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4934

    If the Musidora goes well – she might just be in a different league to a weak field – I would see Friendly Soul as much more likely to go Prix De Diane. Personally, I think she could drop back and win over a mile, but something would probably have to go wrong to go down that route. She definitely had too many gears for Kalpana.

    #1694283
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 31975

    15:15 York Duke Of York:
    (4.3%) £50 @ 8/1 (b365) Spycatcher (min 7/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1694311
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 31975

    “15:15 York Duke Of York:
    (4.3%) £50 @ 8/1 (b365) Spycatcher (min 7/1)”
    ———————————————
    (3.2%) £38 @ 8/1 (B365) Mill Stream (min 15/2)

    Value Is Everything
    #1694346
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 31975

    “15:15 York Duke Of York:
    (4.3%) £50 @ 8/1 (b365) Spycatcher (min 7/1)
    (3.2%) £38 @ 8/1 (B365) Mill Stream (min 15/2)”
    ———————————————–
    (2.425%) £19 @ 20 (betfair £19 available) Shouldvebeenaring (min 18)

    Value Is Everything
    #1694370
    Avatar photoBaynet
    Participant
    • Total Posts 72

    Well done ginge 2 of your picks in a photo :yahoo:

    #1694372
    TheNovice
    Participant
    • Total Posts 22

    Just the forecast in the Duke of York to start the meeting. Well done GT 👍

    Tiber Flow stumbled and took a horrible fall. Hope the horse and jockey are both ok

    #1694392
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 31975

    15:15 York Duke Of York:
    (4.3%) £50 @ 8/1 (b365) Spycatcher (min 7/1)
    (3.2%) £38 @ 8/1 (B365) Mill Stream (min 15/2) 1st
    (2.425%) £19 @ 20 (betfair £19 available) Shouldvebeenaring (min 18) 2nd
    STAKES £107
    RETURN £342.00

    +£235.00
    ——————————————————

    15:45 York Musidora Stakes
    (11.8%) £138 @ 11/10 (WH) Friendly Soul (min Evens)
    (3.75%) £32 @ 9/1 (B365) Francophone (min 8/1) 2nd
    STAKES £170

    -£170.00
    ——————————————————-

    Day’s Profit +£65.00

    Betting Bank £11,819.79

    Thread Profit +£1,819.79

    Value Is Everything
    #1694424
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 31975

    The value tomorrow depends on how much rain they get before the races and the amount isn’t easy to predict. So probably won’t be betting until late – if at all.

    Value Is Everything
    #1694458
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 31975

    15:45 York Dante:
    (Reduced) £50 @ 2.84 (betfair £122 available) Ancient Wisdom (min 2.5)

    Might go in again after the first race or two.

    Value Is Everything
    #1694478
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 31975

    15:15 York Middleton:
    (6.4%) £56 each way @ 4.7 (betfair £66 available) Sapphire Seas (min 4.7)

    Value Is Everything
    #1694487
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 31975

    15:45 York Dante:
    (Reduced) £50 @ 2.84 (betfair £122 available) Ancient Wisdom (min 2.5)
    (Reduced) £50 @ 2.8 (betfair £68 available) Ancient Wisdom (min 2.5)

    Value Is Everything
    #1694491
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 31975

    15:45 York Dante:
    (Reduced) £50 @ 2.84 (betfair £122 available) Ancient Wisdom (min 2.5)
    (Reduced) £50 @ 2.8 (betfair £68 available) Ancient Wisdom (min 2.5)
    ——————————————————————–
    (2.15%) £25 @ 16.5 (betfair £66 available) Gods Window (min 15)

    Value Is Everything
    #1694547
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 31975

    “LOCKINGE Newbury 18th May:
    (3.3%) £38 @ 12/1 (B365) Poker Face (min 11/1)”
    ———————————————–
    Saver:
    £17 @ 9/4 (B365) Big Rock (min 85/40)

    Value Is Everything
Viewing 17 posts - 460 through 476 (of 490 total)
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