- This topic has 2,646 replies, 45 voices, and was last updated 9 years, 8 months ago by
.
-
Posts
-
Thanks.
I read it as (1.86) without seeing the /1. My bad…..
Blackbeard to conquer the World
4:30 Salisbury
35 points @ 2/1 (SJ) Istishaara
23 points @ 14/1 (SJ) BeyehValue Is Everything3:55 Salisbury
28 points each way @ 7/2 (one fifth, b365, W) Emilio LargoValue Is Everything4:30 Salisbury
35 points @ 2/1 (SJ) Istishaara
23 points @ 14/1 (SJ) Beyeh13 points @ 9/2 (WH) Miss Chicane
Value Is Everything4:50 Newbury
20 points @ 11/4 (sky) Four Nationssaver bet first.
Value Is Everything3:05 Newbury
30 points @ 5.2/1 (betfair) Poplin
17 points @ 8/1 (betfair) Moment Of Time
17 points @ 100/30 (b365) Imperial Pippin
8 points @ 8/1 (BF) AlbarakaValue Is Everything4:50 Newbury
20 points @ 11/4 (sky) Four Nationssaver bet first.
19 points each way @ 40/1 (SJ) Heavenly Music
17 points @ 7/2 (b365) Anton DolinHeavenly Music I make the bet of the season so far, if you can get on.
Value Is EverythingOften read your thread ginge, and I was wondering if you could clarify your strategy of backing multiple horses in the same race, I’ve seen before that you make tissue prices, does backing multiple horses come from this? i.e. do you back every horse you think is overpriced?
My 100% book for the above race is:
Four Nations 5/2, Anton Dolin 3/1,
Dubai Glory 9/1,
Heavenly Music (7.5%) 13/1
, Captain Bellamy 18/1, Slight Advantage 20/1, Levamtera 20/1, Lejaam 25/1, Ugo 28/1, Waterborne 28/1, Mattoral 40/1, Royal Reason 80/1.
Value Is Everything4:50 Newbury
20 points @ 11/4 (sky) Four Nationssaver bet first.
19 points each way @ 40/1 (SJ) Heavenly Music
17 points @ 7/2 (b365) Anton DolinHeavenly Music I make the bet of the season so far, if you can get on.
Well that bet of the season did not last long. Non-runner.
So going to make Anton Dolin the main bet with another:
28 points @ 4/1 (Corals) Anton Dolin
Value Is Everything3:40 Newbury
25 points each way @ 9/2 (B365, bog, a fifth) HairstyleValue Is EverythingOften read your thread ginge, and I was wondering if you could clarify your strategy of backing multiple horses in the same race, I’ve seen before that you make tissue prices, does backing multiple horses come from this? i.e. do you back every horse you think is overpriced?
It does come from my tissues, yes Dusty. I usually have a margin for error. So for example if I thought something was a true 27% 11/4 chance, I normally don’t back it at 3/1 but would at 100/30. Unless I think the race is easy to work out when 2% would be enough (3/1). To complicate it still further, the bigger the price, the less margin for error I’d need. Sometimes 1% difference (my price to bookies price) on a 33/1 shot is enough.
Usually my main bets are the ones with a bigger percentage difference (best value), unless I decide on horses with trainers in particularly good form instead. Saving on the other "value" bets.
Occasionally I’ll back the one / ones I think are the best value and leave the others alone, particularly if I think it is better to back one (or two) each way instead of four horses to win.
Hope that helps explain Dusty.
Value Is EverythingOften read your thread ginge, and I was wondering if you could clarify your strategy of backing multiple horses in the same race, I’ve seen before that you make tissue prices, does backing multiple horses come from this? i.e. do you back every horse you think is overpriced?
It does come from my tissues, yes Dusty. I usually have a margin for error. So for example if I thought something was a true 27% 11/4 chance, I normally don’t back it at 3/1 but would at 100/30. Unless I think the race is easy to work out when 2% would be enough (3/1). To complicate it still further, the bigger the price, the less margin for error I’d need. Sometimes 1% difference (my price to bookies price) on a 33/1 shot is enough.
Usually my main bets are the ones with a bigger percentage difference (best value), unless I decide on horses with trainers in particularly good form instead. Saving on the other "value" bets.
Occasionally I’ll back the one / ones I think are the best value and leave the others alone, particularly if I think it is better to back one (or two) each way instead of four horses to win.
Hope that helps explain Dusty.
Very helpful, thanks.
7:20 Goodwood
36 points @ 7/2 (Sky) Valencha
23 points @ 14/1 (Sky) NezamiValue Is EverythingAbove bets are after Santefisio and Beaver Patrol have come out.
Value Is Everything
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.