Gingers Flat Winners

[Gingertipster]

Queen’s Vase

23 points each way (1/4) @ 11/2 (PP) Namibian

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

2:30 Royal Ascot
51 points @ 7/4 (WH) Teolane

With no rain yet it isn’t going to be bottomless so an extra:

14 points @ 2/1 (FD) Teolane

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

King Edward Stakes

40 points @ 11/4 (b365) Nathaniel
10 points @ 41/1 (betfair) Glencadam Gold
10 points @ 5.4/1 (betfair) World Domination

An extra:

9 points @ 3/1 (FD) Nathaniel
1 point @ 8/1 (b365) World Domination

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Golden Jubilee

38 points @ 14/1 (Paddy Power) Delegator

LAY 38 points @ 5.2/1 (betfair) Delegator

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Golden Jubilee

38 points @ 14/1 (Paddy Power) Delegator

28 points @ 11/2 (WH) Bewitched

Have got another bet on Elzaam ante-post somewhere will see if I can find it.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

26 points @ 16/1 (FD) Elzaam

Gotcha, here it is. Shame the going has probably gone against Delegator and Elzaam. Might get out of the latter too later.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

26 points @ 16/1 (FD) Elzaam

Going to get out of most of Elzaam…

LAY 20 points @ 16/1 Elzaam

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Golden Jubilee

38 points @ 14/1 (Paddy Power) Delegator

6 points @ 16/1 (backed 26 points then laid 20) Elzaam
28 points @ 11/2 (WH) Bewitched

Just added my Elzaam bets to the above.

Now:

26 points @ 12/1 (VC bog) Hooray
8 points @ 59/1 (betfair) Hitchens
16 points @ 12/1 (betfair) Bated Breath

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

My two ante-post bets are Delegator 14/1 and Elzaam 16/1. Am now on a free bet with the former by laying it @ 5.2/1 and got out of most of the latter at the same price as I’ve backed it (now acting as a saver bet). However, those lay bets will be cancelled if they’re non-runners, so may well lose out on both.

Hope you’re following so far…..

On that ground I rate Delegator a fair 8/1 shot and Elzaam 14/1.

I’ve now taken 13/1

Hooray

(I make her a fair 7/1 shot). Her best run in the Chieveley Park was in similar conditions. Might also get an easy lead on her side (2). The other two front runners that I can see are drawn 15 and 17.

Bewitched

looks good value at around 11/2 (I make him a fair 9/2). Goes extremely well on a soft surface and improving, beat Zoffany last time which looks even better now. Stays further than 6f which should help in the conditions.

Bated Breath

seems to be on the drift. But was less than a length behind the winner on soft ground last year. At the time right up to his best. True, improvement has come on firmer, but there must be a fair chance he acts on it. Although by Dansili, he’s a half brother to Cityscape who loves soft. Worth chancing at around 12/1 (I make him a fair 8/1).

Hitchens

looks massive at 59/1 (my fair price is just 25/1). Reversed placings with Tiddliwinks last time (finishing first and second) from their meeting in the Duke Of York. If it was Hichens who improved, instead of Tiddliwinks running a little below form….. Then on a line through that horse at York, Hitchens could be rated above Delegator. Have to take on trust his ability to go on the ground, but has some form on good-soft.

Another winning day today with 3 winners from 4 races (one as a saver).

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Hardwicke Stakes

12 points @ 13.5/1 Drunken Sailor
15 points each way @ 12/1 (b365) Passion For Gold

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

My 100% book prices are:

Await The Dawn 20/21,

Drunken Sailor 8/1, Passion For Gold 9/1,

Campanologist 12/1, Calvados Blues 18/1, Poet 18/1, Laaheb 18/1, Harris Tweed 28/1, Kings Gambit 100/1

Best value bets are in my opinion:
Both Drunken Sailor and Passion For Gold each way or better still… Two win only bets with saver bets at place odds. To get back enough to break even if one horse places.

Await The Dawn has bags of potential, but on very soft ground that at least 4 of his rivals are proven on… I’d need odds against for the favourite to back it. Should stay and may even be suited by the step up in trip. But going up by two furlongs on very soft going is more like adding 3 furlongs to the distance. Especially with seemingly a lot of pace in the field.

Drunken Sailor

is consistent and won with a bit in hand at Newbury. Proven on soft ground and the ground conditions will bring his stamina in to play.

Passion For Gold

won a 1m2f Group 1 on heavy ground as a two year old. Got the run of the race last time, but still didn’t look 100% fit in the paddock (to this non-expert’s eye). Lightly raced and could yet improve.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Queen Alexandra
25 points @ 15/2 (SJ) Swingkeel
4 points @ 7/1 (sporting) Daiya

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Hardwicke Stakes

12 points @ 13.5/1 (betfair) Drunken Sailor
15 points each way @ 12/1 (b365) Passion For Gold

18 points (place) @ 2.55/1 (betfair) Drunken Sailor

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Hardwicke Stakes

12 points @ 13.5/1 (betfair) Drunken Sailor
15 points each way @ 12/1 (b365) Passion For Gold

18 points (place) @ 2.55/1 (betfair) Drunken Sailor

Price of Drunken Sailor’s gone out to a rediculous 20/1 on betfair.

So extra:

7 points @ 20/1 (betfair) Drunken Dailor

Value Is Everything

[cormack15]

Well done with Swingkeel and I do like your approach GT. Following with interest.

[Gingertipster]

Thanks Corm,

Amazingly, things are still going well.
Got to be pleased with 10 winners from bets in 18 races at Royal Ascot. Even if just missed out on a couple of very big winners.

Value Is Everything

[Gingertipster]

Tuesday ROYAL ASCOT

Queen Anne Stakes

10 points each way @ 25/1 (Ladbrokes)

Cityscape 3rd

Return 72.5 points
5 points (win) @ 35/1 (betfair) Cityscape
16 points @ 13/8 (SJ)

Canford Cliffs 1st

Return 42 points
(41)

73.5 Profit

King’s Stand Stakes

16 points each way @ 14/1 (b365 bog) Astrophysical Jet
14 points each way @ 16/1 (sky) Swiss Diva
5 points @ 16/1 (sky) Sweet Sanette
5 points @ 14/1 (Corals) Bridgetown
-70 deficit

St James’s Palace Stakes

12 points each way @ 14/1 (T) Dream Ahead
-24 deficit

Coventry Stakes

21 points @ 20/1 Roman Soldier

2nd

16 points @ 20/1 (SJ) Fullbright
9 points @ 5/1 (SJ)

Power 1st

Return 54 points
6 points @ 8/1 (b365) Gatepost
2 points @ 69/1 (betfair) Campanology
(54)
0 points profit

Days Stakes 189, Days Return 168.5,

Days Deficit -20.5 points

Wednesday ROYAL ASCOT

Jersey Stakes

40 points @ 7/1 (b365) Western Aristocrat

3rd

30 points @ 100/30 (WH) Codemaster

2nd

-70 deficit

Windsor Forest Stakes

28 points @ 14/1 (boylesports) Dever Dream
12 points @ 47/1 (betfair) First City

3rd

12 points @ 4.8/1 (betfair) Seta
15 points @ 7/2 (b365) Sajhaa
-67 deficit

Queen Mary

20 points each way @ 8/1 (b365, WH) Gypsy Robin
13 points each way @ 12/1 (b365)

Best Terms 1st

Return 221 points
(66)

155 Profit

Prince Of Wales Stakes

18 points @ 18/1 (betfair)

Rewilding 1st

Return 342 points (Total Return 403.5)
15 points @ 3.1/1 (betfair)

Rewilding

(to be placed) Return 61.5 points
15 points @ 18/1 (betfair) Twice Over
13 points @ 3.9/1 (betfair) Twice Over (place)
(61)

342.5 Profit

Days Stakes 264, Days Return 624.5,

Days Profit 360.5 points

.

Thursday ROYAL ASCOT

Norfolk Stakes

17 points each way @ 8/1 (b365) Bannock
-34 deficit

Ribblesdale

44 points @ 4/1 (WH) Rumh
15 points @ 3/1 (WH)

Banimpire 1st

Return 60 points
(59)
1 profit

Ascot Gold Cup
43 points @ 5/1 (b365)

Fame And Glory 1st

258 points

12 points @ 23/1 (betfair) Opinion Poll

2nd

12 points @ 22/1 (b365) Opinion Poll
8 points @ 16/1 (b365) Opinion Poll
9 points @ 27/1 (betfair) Motrice
4 points @ 12/1 Blue Bajan
3 points @ 20/1 Tastahil
(91)

76.7 Profit

Days Stakes 184, Days Return 227.7,

Days Profit 43.7 points

Friday ROYAL ASCOT

Albany Stakes

51 points @ 7/4 (WH) Teolane
14 points @ 2/1 (FD) Teolane
-65 deficit

King Edward Stakes

40 points @ 11/4 (b365)

Nathaniel 1st

Return 150 points
10 points @ 41/1 (betfair) Glencadam Gold
10 points @ 5.4/1 (betfair) World Domination
9 points @ 3/1 (FD)

Nathaniel 1st

Return 36 points
1 point @ 8/1 (b365) World Domination
(70)

116 Profit

Coronation Stakes

17 points @ 14/1 (Sky) More Than Real
13 points @ 10/1 (C) Joviality
25 points @ 13/2 (PP) Theyshins Theory
6 points @ 11/1 (b365)

Immortal Verse 1st

Return 72 points
4 points @ 16/1 (VC) Claiomh Solais
(65)
7 profit

Queen’s Vase

23 points each way (1/4) @ 11/2 (PP)

Namibian 1st

Return 204.13 points
(46)

158.13 profit

Days Stakes 246, Days Return 462.13,

Days Profit 216.13

Saturday ROYAL ASCOT

Hardwicke Stakes

12 points @ 13.5/1 Drunken Sailor

3rd

15 points each way @ 12/1 (b365) Passion For Gold
18 points (place) @ 2.55/1 (betfair)

Drunken Sailor 3rd

Return 63.9 points
7 points @ 20/1 (betfair) Drunken Dailor
(67)
-3.1 deficit

Golden Jubilee

38 points @ 14/1 (Paddy Power) Delegator
(My Lay bet for Delegator unfortunately void because of being a non-runner).
26 points @ 16/1 (FD) Elzaam

28 points @ 11/2 (WH) Bewitched
26 points @ 12/1 (VC bog) Hooray
8 points @ 59/1 (betfair) Hitchens
16 points @ 12/1 (betfair) Bated Breath
-122 deficit * (including taking off the Lay bet of Elzaam, the Delegator Lay would have brought my stakes down to 84 points, did lay some horses back late to minimise losses but no time to get on here).

Queen Alexandra

25 points @ 15/2 (SJ)

Swingkeel 1st

Return 212.5 points
4 points @ 7/1 (sporting) Daiya
(29)

183.5 Profit

Days Stakes 218 points, Days Return 276.4,

Days Profit 58.4 points

ROYAL ASCOT Stakes 1101 points
ROYAL ASCOT Returns 1759.23 points
ROYAL ASCOT Profit 658.23 points, 59.8% on stakes

.

Value Is Everything

[Author]

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