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Well lads its galway time again…weights and ante-post lists out for the plate and hurdle today. What are people’s thoughts on these two big hcaps? Ballyagran looks to have a nice mark in the plate and dermot weld seems to be lining up majestic concorde for a tilt at the hurdle.
Pity you lumped both races in together- could you maybe change this one to the Plate and start another for the Hurdle?
I like Tony Martin’s Green Mile in the Plate and reckon Laddies 12/1 NRNB if you bet in an Irish shop won’t be seen on the day. He’s desperate to go right-handed so his form is better than it looks. He’s having a spin over hurdles tomorrow in Killarney before the big one.Majestic concorde won well at killarney the other night too..what price the e/w double carvills?
Bit early for me on the Hurdle- don’t know how much the weights will go up, he may end up with too much weight.
Paul Nolan normally does well here so will have a look at that french horse An Accordin (spelling might be wrong) that done well at start of last season winning 4 in a row….
I’ve taken upwards of 50/1 about Absolute Image in the Hurdle. No idea if this one will run or not, but there are a couple of reasons for selecting him.
Firstly, trainer DK Weld has a good record at the meeting. Secondly, he is totally unexposed over hurdles, winning comfortably on the second of two starts, and finishing only 6L behind Captain Cee Bee in receipt of 5lbs, in his maiden hurdle. The Post suggests his current BHB rating is 115, so if his Irish mark is anything close to this, he could be close to thrown-in.
With Accordion Etoile already an NR, all it needs is for Kalderon (disappointed last week) to come out, and this one will be comfortably in the handicap. Even from his current mark of 8lbs out of the handicap, he might be good enough.
All it needs is for him to get a run, and it could be happy days.
I’ve taken upwards of 50/1 about Absolute Image in the Hurdle. No idea if this one will run or not, but there are a couple of reasons for selecting him.
Firstly, trainer DK Weld has a good record at the meeting. Secondly, he is totally unexposed over hurdles, winning comfortably on the second of two starts, and finishing only 6L behind Captain Cee Bee in receipt of 5lbs, in his maiden hurdle. The Post suggests his current BHB rating is 115, so if his Irish mark is anything close to this, he could be close to thrown-in.
With Accordion Etoile already an NR, all it needs is for Kalderon (disappointed last week) to come out, and this one will be comfortably in the handicap. Even from his current mark of 8lbs out of the handicap, he might be good enough.
All it needs is for him to get a run, and it could be happy days.
Convincing argument Grassy. Is he gonna get in though? Needs plenty to come out. Currently 38’s on betfair.
Aye, that’s the danger, Aragorn – might not get into the race. I’ve rationalised that this is marginally offset by the price I’ve taken, and I’ve kept stakes low as a result.
I’d be inclined to think with them having Majestic Concorde for the Hurdle he might go for the valuable flat handicap on Tuesday night in which he was just chinned again last year (off 92) or a ‘winners of one’ hurdle but he will be interesting wherever he runs. His hurdling was really slick the day he won at Clonmel.
Colin you mentioned the Tuesday night. Did not realise that the Monday & Tuesday were evening meetings.
By coincidence I am in Galway next Monday and Limerick Tuesday & Wednesday on business. Guess that sorts out what to do in the evenings.
Outstanding!
Rounded out my ante-post portfolio on the 2 big races today with Ladbrokes, NRNB:
In the Plate I’ve backed Green Mile at 12/1, Oslot at 9/1 and Brave Right at 25/1. (first 2 a while ago)
In the Hurdle I like Cloone Rocket (16/1 NRNB, 20/1 all in) and Indian Pace at 20/1.
Paddy Power look to have taken a chance to me putting in Arc Bleu at 12/1 for the GPT tonight, for all that a drop of rain would help- these hustly-bustly races suit him well and he’s only 5lbs higher than at Newcastle.Oslot should run all over this lot. Expect it to win by a good 5L+. WIth Santa’s Son picking up the place.
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The more I look at the race, the more I think Oslot is stuck-on.
Personally Grassy, I think Ruby would rather be on Irish Invader, if he could do anything near the weight.
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Then again, maybe not.
Well done, Grassy, Carv and Underscore.
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