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Alcantor @ 20/1
Looked a nice 2YO last year and thought it was a huge step up on his run at Newmarket today from a nightmare draw. No idea if he runs or not but half the price would be fair enough IMO.
Prix du Jockey-Club sounds a lot better!
Ground expected to be Good/Soft or Soft with heavy showers expected this week.
Favourites say Paris TurfAlcantor
Fast Tracker
Ghost Writer
Look de Vega
Diego VelasquezSpeedy Velazquez to trip the light fantastic again around Chantilly apres Longchamps – I hope!
AOB has told Equidia today that Diego has recovered well from his Guineas, the French Derby distance is ideal for him and he is best on soft ground. Maybe that’s why he has hardened into 7/2 today.
I think he must have a great chance but I don’t see the proverbial gun to the head either for a win either for this free spirit.
Not sure why AOB said he is best on soft when his only two wins came on good ground and he clearly wasn’t in love with the officially heavy ground in the Futurity at Doncaster (10.05s slow) at the end of last season.
He therefore surprised me with his 4th in the French 2000g (as it was on offically soft ground, which I thought would be an issue after Doncaster) but low and behold when you look at the time of the race, it was actually only 2.64s slow, so quite clearly it wasn’t remotely soft ground.
Thought Epsom would have been a much better option given his half brothers are Broom and Point Lonsdale (both won over further than 12F) but hopefully if he can avoid trouble in running he should be well in the mix, unless it ends up being run on proper French soft.
The English Guineas form is working out well so far. Rosallion and Haatem 1st and 2nd in the Irish Guineas, Inisherin who was 6th has come out and won. Ghostwriter, unbeaten at 2, was 4th in it and a step up to 10f looks the right move connections have said. He’s not run on soft ground but he is by Invincible Spirit, whose progeny, including Kingman and Moonlight Cloud, have all shown winning form on soft. So if it was that he may have that covered too. I think he has every chance granted an ok draw and i’m very much looking forward to it.
Diego doesn’t want it soft as i understand it. From the Racing Post last paragraph…
12 mm fell yesterday with plenty of rain due up to Saturday evening. Expected going is to be very testing for Sunday according to sky sports.
Not seeing much more rain in this forecast…
Have a look at the Meteo France Paris Map and you’ll see plenty of rain up to Saturday night
Paris Turf reported this morning likely going as very soft as result of cool temperatures. They say you have go back a quarter of a century to Holding Court and Montjeu for similar ground conditions.
Looking at that Meteo France weather maps I’m not sure if that “occasional rain” ever materialised.
We’ll know in the morning with the going report.
Might turn out to be more holding than soft/very softDiego being offered best online at 15/4 by PP/BF at the moment.
Moore will certainly be feeling confident anyway.
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