Form in the book over recent form

[sporting sam]

Follow the paint
Sedgefield 4pm
Could cause a stir here.
Multiple point to point runner scoring 7/47.
Won over 3 miles last time over rules and massive price baffling.
Interesting if gets to the front and gets own out there. Win

4.30 bumper sedgefield
Charlotte’s Way
each way
Ridden by Charlotte Jones
A capable jockey with a 7lb claim
2nd in a PTP back in March when favourite.
Jockey has recent winning experience in bumpers.
Dont normally put two up so each way double
Follow the paint 4pm
Charlotte’s Way 4.30pm
Each way double

[sporting sam]

4.10 Bellewstown
The race to the rail has already been partially won by
Red Pantz win
Currently 16 from 33s
As stall 1 is a non runner and stall two benefits.
Depends on the break.
Unplaced

[sporting sam]

5.20 Newmarket
Green Door each way
Unplaced

[sporting sam]

Fantastic Blue win
And Golden Wolf
Win
Newmarket 7.35
Unplaced

[sporting sam]

Celebration mile
Regal Reality
Win
Unplaced

[sporting sam]

Redcar
7.45
Weatherfront win
Frankenstrella
Win

[sporting sam]

Redcar
7.45
Weatherfront win upl
Frankenstrella
Win
Frankenstella
Won @11/4

[sporting sam]

Sunday Goodwood 1.15
Selling stakes
Eve Johnson Houghton
Has an excellent record in this race
winning 3 times from six attempts since 2011 (50%)
and sends just one horse to the meeting.
Trainer has not entered this race for the last two years.
Bealach
Has had a wind operation and stables percentage of wins first after op is good. Percentage of wins for horses dropped into sellers is 67% first out.
Correction EJH is 0/3 for first time sellers.
There are actually others in the race with a better strike rate first time sellers one with 50% and anther with 67%.
It is EJHs record in this particular race I’ve highlighted.

Sellers are sometimes poor races and the best horse doesnt always win, but the stable targets this race.
Note of caution, Balding and Channon have targeted this race the last twice.
Bealach 3rd

[sporting sam]

4.45 Goodwood
Triple nickle
Jumpin Jack
Mountain rescue
Comb tricast
All small win.
Jumping jack each way
Unplaced

[sporting sam]

Billy Bathgate e/w
5.30 related to bumper winner
Perth
Waited with after debut earlier in year.
Unplaced

[sporting sam]

Starseed e/w
5.40
Yarmouth
Unplaced

[sporting sam]

Bubbles in May 415 Rosscommon
Was mugged by Mars Harper last time out and did nothing wrong in defeat. Although beaten 7 and a half lengths was well backed and should go close again on this occasion.

[sporting sam]

Mean Fomhair 5.30
Won here a year ago and was beaten off here on his comeback run by half a length by Not Rocket Science.
Colin Keane rides for his father and a bold bid is expected.
But at the price he could be worth taling on with Talking Tough. win
Talking Tough
Mean Fomhair
Reverse forecast

[sporting sam]

My selection has gone off a cliff so looking forward to some improvement soon!!!!

ALGHAZAAL
Runs in the 1805 in an interesting race
He came out of the Tiger Moth race back in june. He hasnt kicked on as yet and will be favourite here. However,,,,
Big Island (nap)
ALatar
Nacho Trace
Will give him plenty to do at much better prices

Alatar continued on an upward spiral running out a ready winner @9/2 was able to make use of being the only handicapper in the race to win with something in hand.
Big Island just missed out on a place running prominently for 4th
ALGHAZAAL as expected was Unplaced

[sporting sam]

Firstman
Joan of Pimlico
Paso Double
Are of interest
In this race
6.40
Rosscommon

[sporting sam]

Rosscommon 6.40
Firstman upl
Joan of Pimlico upl
Paso Double Won @ 40/1

Jim Bolger came up trumps for GODOLPHIN when Pase Double danced home four plus lengths clear defying a ten month absence in the process. Friendless in the market, the horse went off an unconsidered 40/1 shot under Kevin Manning. The horse had built into its frame considerably in the break and did the job well.

[sporting sam]

Paso Doubles story is an interesting one.
No bigger than 20/1 in the morning.
Opened at 18 hit 50s.
I’m no expert but with no on course market the industry has lost control of sp and indeed the actual market which is great to see. It is exchange driven and if you have a race reading angle or simply a different modus operandi the current system can support you.
300/1 multiple 66//1 and several 100/1 winners in Ireland support that.
In the uk 80/1 150 /1 200/1 have been the sps in the last couple of months.
Bookies may feel they have it covered and the big prices don’t brother them as the other end of the markets is where all the money is hence the 16/5 18/5 and other new odds that appeared this year. The ends of the market dont warrant their attention as no one plays them significantly enough.

[Author]

Posts