FENMAN's Cheltenham method

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If you like racing you can feel the Spring tingle in the air and in your blood, as once again the festival is upon us and I understand from the weatherman the monsoon season has passed and not a drop of water is expected to fall from the heavens.

Only a winner or two can enhance the enjoyment of the spectacle of the best of the best racing against each other and that is not always the easiest thing to do and to unravel the mystery of each and every race can only blow the mind of even the very best of form lovers.

Time! is a bonus and a luxury not available to us all and this is where FENMAN provides a simple, easy and quick method for us to follow. I have done just that in the past and ended with some cash remaining in my pockets and sometimes more than that with which I started.

I will try to post the selections throughout the week so that we can see how FENMAN stands up against any of your own betting ideas.

1) Each race look for any or all Course and Distance (CD) winners on the race card.

2) If more than one select the shortest price and the one having a most recent race.

3) The “Bet of the Day” being the one horse at the lowest price for the day.

I do not wish to complicate matters but the selection 3) indicates the forecast prices are the guide rather than the Starting Prices and I shall be “guided” by the D. Mirror and so selections can vary but I hope a profit will be made by the end of the week.

Billy's Outback Shack

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I have the utmost respect for Gary Nutting who is one of my favourite tipsters but on reading the SUN (Sunday) pull-out regarding Cheltenham I was surprised to find his selections for the Four Days.

There may be some non runners and withdrawals along the way but it will be interesting to pit FENMAN against such a pro’ tipster and so I wish them both well.

Here is the Gary Nutting list.

Tuesday
1.30 Supasundae Lost
2.10 Vaniteux Lost
2.50 Carole’s Destrier/Kruzhlinin Lost x2
3.30 Nichols Canyon 3rd
4.10 Poly Peachum Lost
4.50 Southfield Royale Lost
5.30 ALOOMOMO NAP Lost

Wednesday
1.30 A Toi Phil Lost
2.10 Vyta Du Roc Lost
2.50 Rock the Kasbah Lost
3.30 Dodging Bullets EW Lost
4.10 Cantlow Lost
4.50 Messire Des Obeaux/Ardamir Lost x 2
5.30 First Figaro Lost

Thursday
1.30 Garde la Victoire Lost
2.10 Arpege D’Alene 2nd 14/1
2.50 Al Ferof Lost
3.30 Whisper EW Lost
4.10
4.50 Chocca Wocca Lost
5.30 Corrin Wood Lost

Friday
1.30 Sceau Royal Lost
2.10 Superb Story WON 8/1
2.50 Gangster Lost
3.30 Smad Place Lost
4.10 It Came To Pass Lost
4.50 Flying Angel 2nd 8/1
5.30 Dandridge 2nd 8/1

Billy's Outback Shack

[Nathan Hughes]

You should use these selections for the TRF Cheltenham Comp Bill…..?

Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

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Kind of you Nathan to suggest it but this will take enough of what little time I have.

The good lady Daphne knows what to expect this week and already is scheduling my tasks so that I am free to watch the TV in the afternoon.

Billy's Outback Shack

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Giving thought to FENMAN’s strong belief there are “Horses for Courses” has allowed me to scrutinise todays races as a warming up process in readiness for tomorrow. Perhaps like us all the anticipation is akin to a child on Christmas Eve awaiting the big day.

The elements FENMAN has laid down as always with himself are pure logic and cannot be faulted, by myself that is, although I am sure there are others with different ideas.

Previous COURSE & DISTANCE form speaks for itself

At the shortest price is a tip in its own right.

The most recent runner (when more than required) speaks for fitness.

Neither Taunton or Plumpton will ever be Cheltenham but FENMAN does consider Plumpton as one of the NH courses having an element of difficulty that may suit a specific type of horse. Be that as it may and I am not ignoring the man but by way of warming towards the festival I have selected those CD runners today: –

Plumpton:
3.15 Bobbits way Non runner – 3.45 Flugzeug Lost – 4.45 Head Spin 2nd 4/1

Taunton:
2.50 Oscar Jane Won 3/1– 4.55 Ballyegan Lost

Oscar Jane has the shortest forecast price at 2/1 and Ballyegan has the mosr recent race only 11 days ago.

PS. I have been searching through FENMAN’s book “Words from the Wise” for something I had ignored, simply because it does not suit my betting style but it does not mean it will not suit others who prefer better prices. Anyway, when back checked against a previous festival it was found when selecting the CD horse in the race at the longest of prices it was proved to be the most profitable.

If applied to today I find FLUGZEUG at 6/1 (Mirror forecast) would be the choice. . . Lost

Billy's Outback Shack

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I was up with the Lark, as they say. At last Cheltenham is here.

1.30 ALTIOR 4/1 Won
SILVER CONCORDE 16/1 Lost

2.10 DOUVAN 2/5 Won

2.50 Holywell 10/1 & According to Trev 100/1 Lost x2

3.30 OLD GUARD – Non runner

4.10 LILY WAUGH 33/1 Lost

4.50 No selection

5.30 THOMAS BROWN 16/1 Lost

Billy's Outback Shack

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Yesterdays “warm up” finding a 3/1 winner has made me have a look through the meetings away from Cheltenham just to see if there are any little gems to be discovered.

With two AW Flat meetings today it was expected there were many course specialists but there are two which look very suitable: –

Southwell 5.10 TATTING at 1/1 Stan James Withdrawn

Wolverhampton 6.40 BINKY BLUE e/w at 9/2 bet365 Lost

Billy's Outback Shack

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Minor plan change using the Sporting Life forecast prices rather than the Mirror which will save me some time in the morning.

Cheltenham Day 2 – Wednesday

2.10
MORE OF THAT at 2/1 3rd Lost
Blaklion 10/1 E/W Won 8/1

2.50 LONG HOUSE HALL 14/1 E/W 2nd 16/1

3.30
UN DE SCEAUX 4/5 Lost
DODGING BULLETS 14/1 E/W Lost

4.10 JOSIE’S ORDERS 3/1 E/W 2nd 15/8

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Thursday Day 3 of Cheltenham

1.30 GARDE LA VICTOIRE e/w 4/1 Lost

2.10 ROLLING MAUL e/w 66/1 Lost

2.50
AL FEROF e/w 14/1 Lost
CHAMPAGNE WEST e/w 66/1 Lost
3.30
THISTLECRACK 11/8 Won 1/1
AT FISHERS CROSS e/w 50/1 Lost

4.10
JOHNS SPIRIT e/w 13/2 Lost
FINGAL BAY e/w 11/1 Lost

4.50 X

5.30
THE GIANT BOLSTER e/w 11/1 Lost
A GOOD SKIN e/w 25/1 2nd 16/1

Billy's Outback Shack

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Friday

1.30 SCEAU ROYAL ew 8/1 Lost

2.10 HAWK HIGH ew 33/1 Lost

2.50
UNOWHATIMEANHARRY ew 14/1 Won 11/1
ATLANTIC GOLD ew 150/1 Lost

410
ON THE FRINGE ew 3/1 Won 13/8
MENDIP EXPRESS ew 12/1 Lost

5.30
NEXT SENSATION ew 10/1 Lost
PEARLS LEGEND ew 28/1 Lost

Billy's Outback Shack

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FENMAN gets the credit with his CD method finding 6 winners and 2 placed.

Gary Nutting saved face on day 4 ending with 1 winner and 4 placed.

Billy's Outback Shack

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