FantasyForm

[Alexander]

Every now and again one gets a feeling: I have to say that Canaveral look good today in the last at Bath. Ran 18th April at Windsor with Communicator 2nd in that race. Has since won at York to produce good rating – backtrack the form to 18th April with 103. Race of this quality expected to produce no more than a rating of 45 (last year’s winner was about 30).
Handicapped for first time, with Trainer’s only runner at Bath and top flight jockey with only two mounts here.
It all looks too good to be true with 3/1 available.

Monday May 16 2011
Bath 17:00
digibet.com Handicap
£3500.00 added, 3yo only, 1m 2f 46y, Class 5, £2267.00 penalty
6 runners
Going: Firm, Good to Firm in places
Surface: Turf
No. Form Horse Age Trainer Jockey
2 (6) 43-3234 Dressing Room (USA) 16 3 M Johnston R Ffrench #
3 (3) 245-716 Zamina (IRE) 16 3 S Kirk T Block #

4 (4) 40668 Canaveral 28 3 B J Meehan Martin Dwyer 103

5 (2) 948- Frederick William 169 3 P J Makin S Drowne #
6 (7) 34249-5 High On The Hog (IRE) 26 3 J L Dunlop E Ahern #
7 (1) 00-6254 Dew Reward (IRE) 19 3 Eve Johnson Houghton Simon Pearce (3) #

Expected rating this race :45

[Hatter]

Nowt fantasy abt your results Alex
Well done
Working thru the formlines is paying off

[Alexander]

Nowt fantasy abt your results Alex
Well done
Working thru the formlines is paying off

Hatter, thanks for the interest.
Alex

[Alexander]

Generally poor mid week racing, however this class 4 fits the bill.
Guilded Warrior is the selection having found a subsequent link to Tariq Too who won 21st May at Haydock (7f). That form backtracked equated to 155. Expected level for this race is around 130 so our selection looks sound.

Thursday May 26 2011
Folkestone 17:00
ladbrokespoker.com Handicap (Str)
£5200.00 added, 3yo plus, 7f, Class 4, £3548.00 penalty
6 runners
Going: Good to Firm
Surface: Turf
No. Form Horse Age Trainer Jockey
1 (6) 9-84006 Ezdeyaad (USA) 12 7 Ed Walker Jack Mitchell #

2 (4) 4880-43 Guilded Warrior 21 8 W S Kittow D Sweeney 155

3 (1) 51733-6 Starclass 45 4 W R Swinburn A Kirby #
4 (2) 4300-73 Nezami (IRE) 19 6 J Akehurst Andrea Atzeni #
5 (5) 5/707-55 Desert Auction (IRE) 54 4 D K Ivory P Cosgrave #
6 (3) 27137-9 Red Yarn 19 4 G L Moore T P Queally #

Expected Rating : 130

[Alexander]

Evening meeting at Bath, Ebraam in the 8.00pm has the form via Collect Art’s subsequent run on 28th May at Catterick. Backtracking finds Ebraam with 178. The race expects rating in the region of 80 so our selection looks solid enough.

Both Trainer and Jockey in a lean spell lately with plenty of 2nds but looking for those elusive wins.

Friday June 3 2011
Bath 20:00
Bath Ales Summer’s Hare Handicap
£5000.00 added, 3yo plus, 5f 161y, Class 4, £3238.00 penalty
7 runners
Going: Good to Firm, Good in places
Surface: Turf
No. Form Horse Age Trainer Jockey
1 (4) 0414-05 Noodles Blue Boy 8 5 Ollie Pears S Sanders #
2 (6) 60-0313 Yurituni 6 4 Eve Johnson Houghton P Hills (3) #

3 (2) 312823 Ebraam (USA) 14 8 R Harris Luke Morris 178

4 (5) 825948 Desert Icon (IRE) 7 5 D M Simcock DOUBTFUL #
5 (1) 80-6413 Kyllachy Storm 8 7 R J Hodges Matthew Davies (3) #
6 (3) 25-1156 Novabridge 7 3 A B Haynes Catherine Gannon #
7 (7) 0-51 Black Cadillac (IRE) 18 3 A M Balding David Probert #

Expected Rating: 80

[Alexander]

Hi
I have to report that the fantasy form – following subsequent runs has unfortunately fallen the way of many other systems. On a level stake basis, even with selected races, the losses are high !
Back to the drawing board.
Alex

[Author]

Posts