Dr. Marwan Koukash at Chester

[softie]

Pretty well documented that the good Doctor has a huge affinity for Chester, and below are his entries for Weds.

08May13 2:45 Good Morning Star CHESTER (Overnight), StanJames.com Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap)
20

08May13 2:45 Address Unknown CHESTER (Overnight), StanJames.com Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap)
16

08May13 2:45 Kiama Bay CHESTER (Overnight), StanJames.com Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap)
25

08May13 2:45 Very Good Day CHESTER (Overnight), StanJames.com Chester Cup (Heritage Handicap)
20

08May13 3:15 Gatepost CHESTER (Overnight), Stellar Group Handicap
11/2

08May13 4:25 Masamah CHESTER (Overnight), Hill Dickinson Conditions Stakes
9/4

08May13 4:25 Face The Problem CHESTER (Overnight), Hill Dickinson Conditions Stakes
4

08May13 5:00 Gabrial The Master CHESTER (Overnight), Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap
9

Now i`m sure all of these will be primed to run their respective race, but is there a profit to be made simply backing them blind?

[Gingertipster]

Off to a flyer there Softie. Hope you were on!?

Adress Unknown winning the Chester Cup.

The fact he likes runners at Chester means some horses run without conditions to suit. So instead of "backing them blind" – it might be an idea to limit Dr Marwan runners to those actually suited by ground, trip and draw. May be not taking as much notice of last time out form than other owners Softie, as they may have been targeted at Chester.

Value Is Everything

[softie]

Yes you`re right Ginge, providing you want to put more time and effort into what is a pretty dodgy selection method.

Just the fact that he does like the meeting, but will have horses entered into whatever he chooses, makes it somewhat random. Mind you, he was mob handed for The Chester Cup and it paid off for him.

If i started to eliminate his runners through filtering, bet your life sods law would kick me in the teeth

Goodwood tomorrow for that dodgy looking card or are you giving it a miss?

[Gingertipster]

Goodwood tomorrow for that dodgy looking card or are you giving it a miss?

Am in two minds Softie.
It doesn’t look a great card but the Class 3 handicap is interesting and a couple of the maidens. Already backed Frankel’s half brother in the first – on the machine. Someone took the 11/4 I asked for. Will probably save on the Stoute horse.

Trouble is the second half of the card looks b….. awful!

Then there’s the weather. If it wasn’t for the forecast I’d probably go. Good ground at the moment, with showers around and high winds. BBC Weather map had showers around Goodwood in the morning, one looks to have just gone over and a rain blob over Trundle Hill at around 4pm tomorrow. So the ground could be on the soft side… But added to that – between 50 and 65mph winds expected along the south coast tomorrow. So if missing the showers the winds could dry the ground out to on the firm side. Plus the effects of wind speed and direction on the horses! Getting cover may hold an advantage and jockeyship may be a bigger factor than usual. Frustrating!

Haven’t quite given up on the idea Softie, but all in all am odds-on to miss it. Might pay to remain at home and react to what happens when it happens.

Enjoy!

Value Is Everything

[softie]

Okay Ginge, may or may not see you there then. Check pm`s as left message.

———————

Well Doctor Koukash had 1 winner yesterday from his 8 entries, but a decent winner it was, of the Chester Cup no less.
Depending on when prices were taken, profit after day 1 looks like this:-

Early price + 8 pts
BSP + 6.6 pts.
SP + 4 pts

His runners for day 2 are:-

09May13 1:45 Area Fifty One CHESTER (Overnight), Crabbie’s Alcoholic Ginger Beer Handicap
7

09May13 1:45 Halfsin CHESTER (Overnight), Crabbie’s Alcoholic Ginger Beer Handicap
14

09May13 2:15 Gabrial CHESTER (Overnight), Stella Artois Huxley Stakes (for the Tradesman’s Cup) (Group 3)
11/4

09May13 2:45 Gabrial’s Kaka CHESTER (Overnight), MBNA Chester Vase (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings)
15/2

09May13 3:50 Salford Red Devil CHESTER (Overnight), Liverpool One EBF Maiden Stakes
SP

09May13 4:25 Rene Mathis CHESTER (Overnight), Investec Structured Products Handicap
9

09May13 5:00 Modernism CHESTER (Overnight), Merseyrail Day Saver Ticket Handicap
12

09May13 5:00 Haylaman CHESTER (Overnight), Merseyrail Day Saver Ticket Handicap
5

[softie]

Just a couple of placed efforts on Thurs., at reasonable prices , but no winners and 1 non runner, so after 2 days, postion is as follows.

Early prices + 1
BSP – 0.4
SP – 3

Fridays runners:-

10May13 1:45 Postscript CHESTER (Overnight), sportingbet.com Earl Grosvenor Handicap
8

10May13 1:45 Mehdi CHESTER (Overnight), sportingbet.com Earl Grosvenor Handicap
14

10May13 1:45 Brae Hill CHESTER (Overnight), sportingbet.com Earl Grosvenor Handicap
11

10May13 1:45 Balty Boys CHESTER (Overnight), sportingbet.com Earl Grosvenor Handicap
25

10May13 2:15 Gabrial’s Kaka CHESTER (Overnight), BetVictor.com Dee Stakes (Group 3) (Colts & Geldings)
8

10May13 2:45 Mount Athos CHESTER (Overnight), Boodles Diamond Ormonde Stakes (Group 3)
6/5

10May13 3:50 Kingscroft CHESTER (Overnight), Cruise Nightspot Handicap
12

10May13 4:25 Lexi’s Dancer CHESTER (Overnight), highstreetvouchers.com Maiden Fillies’ Stakes
SP

10May13 5:00 Gabrial’s Wawa CHESTER (Overnight), GLevents Owen Brown Handicap
4

Needs a good final day to finish ahead.

[softie]

A poor day for the Doctor with just one short priced winner in Mount Athos from his 7 runners on Friday , so not profitable this year from the perspective originally laid out.

Final tally:-

Early prices -3.8 pts
BSP -4.76
SP -6.38

Mind you, on a personal note, he goes away with the Chester Cup and Ormonde Stakes trophies, so all in all a decent meeting for him.

[Author]

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