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Yesterday’s results – that’s a bit more like it
Handicaps
==========Rosewood Lad Stake: £5.33 [4/1] 5^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Jump Up Stake: £4.83 [11/1] 1^11 Win Return: £57.95 E/W Return: £36.70
Patman Du Charmil Stake: £5.19 [7/2] 1^4 Win Return: £23.33 E/W Return: £23.33
Persian Gates Stake: £4.83 [10/11J] 2^2 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Very Well Red Stake: £4.82 [4/1J] 6^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £81.28 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £60.03 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £73.62
New E/W running total = £35.96Note: no e/w part for Patman Du Charmil, so whole stake went on the win.
Non-Handicaps
=============Timesawastin Stake: £4.37 [EvensF] 1^11 Win Return: £8.75 E/W Return: £7.00
A Little Bit Dusty Stake: £5.91 [11/10F] 1^5 Win Return: £12.41 E/W Return: £9.97
Holoko Heights Stake: £5.44 [15/2] 4^4 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Bosambo Stake: £4.65 [10/11F] 1^4 Win Return: £8.87 E/W Return: £8.87
Sertao Stake: £4.63 [6/4F] 1^8 Win Return: £11.57 E/W Return: £8.79
Win Total: £41.59 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £34.63 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£46.06
New E/W running total = -£34.51Note: no e/w part for Bosambo, so whole stake went on the win.
Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £73.62
E/W running total = £35.96
Pie At Midnight Bangor 04:20 Rat:3166 Stake: £4.87
Cavitie Wolverhampton 05:00 Rat:3374 Stake: £5.19
Avonrose Wolverhampton 05:30 Rat:3282 Stake: £5.05
Buona Sarah Kempton 05:40 Rat:3253 Stake: £5.00
Pelmanism Kempton 06:40 Rat:3182 Stake: £4.89
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£46.06
E/W running total = -£34.51
Empress Orchid Bangor 02:20 Rat:1373 Stake: £5.04
Belle Brook Downpatrick 02:45 Rat:1321 Stake: £4.85
Residency Wolverhampton 03:30 Rat:1451 Stake: £5.32
Jimmy The Saint Bangor 04:50 Rat:1116 Stake: £4.09
Fifth In Line Kempton 06:10 Rat:1555 Stake: £5.70
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results – definitely performing better on the handicap races at the moment, but good at picking short-prices non-handicap seconds
Handicaps
=========Pie At Midnight Stake: £4.87 [5/2F] 1^6 Win Return: £17.04 E/W Return: £12.48
Cavitie Stake: £5.19 [8/1] 2^13 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £7.78
Avonrose Stake: £5.05 [9/2J] 1^10 Win Return: £27.76 E/W Return: £18.67
Buona Sarah Stake: £5.00 [12/1] 7^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Pelmanism Stake: £4.89 [9/2] 1^10 Win Return: £26.91 E/W Return: £18.10
Win Total: £71.71 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £57.04 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £120.33
New E/W running total = £68.00Non-Handicaps
=============Empress Orchid Stake: £5.04 [11/8F] 2^7 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £3.38
Belle Brook Stake: £4.85 [30/100F] 2^5 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £2.60
Residency Stake: £5.32 [4/1] 2^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.79
Jimmy The Saint Stake: £4.09 [6/5F] 2^11 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £2.54
Fifth In Line Stake: £5.70 [12/1] 4^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £13.32 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£71.06
New E/W running total = -£46.19Today’s picks
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £120.33
E/W running total = £68.00
Reachforthebucks Southwell 02:10 Rat:3252 Stake: £4.82
Je Suis Unrockstar Southwell 03:10 Rat:3339 Stake: £4.95
Molly Round Taunton 03:20 Rat:3252 Stake: £4.82
No Panic Ludlow 04:00 Rat:3311 Stake: £4.91
General Tufto Southwell 05:10 Rat:3714 Stake: £5.50
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£71.06
E/W running total = -£46.19
The Cockney Mackem Ludlow 02:30 Rat:1298 Stake: £4.67
So Is She Southwell 02:40 Rat:1642 Stake: £5.91
Mazovian Southwell 03:40 Rat:1206 Stake: £4.34
Sea Wall Ludlow 05:00 Rat:1300 Stake: £4.68
Romantic Queen Wolverhampton 05:40 Rat:1502 Stake: £5.40
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results, not a great day, although I picked up Ridgeway Hawk in the Wolverhampton 5:15 at 8/1, but it didn’t make the top five.
Handicaps
=========Reachforthebucks Stake: £4.82 NR Win Return: £4.82 E/W Return: £4.82
Je Suis Unrockstar Stake: £4.95 [7/2] 5^5 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Molly Round Stake: £4.82 [9/2] 2^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.58
No Panic Stake: £4.91 [20/1] 7^9 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
General Tufto Stake: £5.50 [11/1] 4^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £4.82 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £9.40 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £100.15
New E/W running total = £52.40Non-Handicaps
=============The Cockney Mackem Stake: £4.67 [4/6F] 3^15 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £2.65
So Is She Stake: £5.91 [7/2] 3^5 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Mazovian Stake: £4.34 [3/1] 1^8 Win Return: £17.36 E/W Return: £12.15
Sea Wall Stake: £4.68 [5/2F] PU^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Romantic Queen Stake: £5.40 [3/1] 5^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £17.36 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £14.80 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£78.70
New E/W running total = -£56.39Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £100.15
E/W running total = £52.40
The Happy Hammer Lingfield 03:45 Rat:3386 Stake: £5.03
Handtheprizeover Newbury 04:05 Rat:3210 Stake: £4.76
Heavenly Chorus Doncaster 04:30 Rat:3191 Stake: £4.74
Romantic Queen Lingfield 05:25 Rat:3312 Stake: £4.92
Black Coffee Wolverhampton 07:45 Rat:3743 Stake: £5.56
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£78.70
E/W running total = -£56.39
I Confess Lingfield 02:35 Rat:1647 Stake: £5.16
Tri Nations Doncaster 02:45 Rat:1525 Stake: £4.78
Desert Strike Wolverhampton 05:20 Rat:1976 Stake: £6.19
Better Self Wolverhampton 06:45 Rat:1509 Stake: £4.73
School For Scandal Wolverhampton 08:45 Rat:1326 Stake: £4.15
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results
Handicaps
=========The Happy Hammer Stake: £5.03 [11/4J] 2^9 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £3.90
Handtheprizeover Stake: £4.76 [6/1] 3^9 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £5.24
Heavenly Chorus Stake: £4.74 [8/1] 7^9 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Romantic Queen Stake: £4.92 [3/1] 5^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Black Coffee Stake: £5.56 [11/8F] 1^6 Win Return: £13.20 E/W Return: £10.33
Win Total: £13.20 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £19.47 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £88.35
New E/W running total = £46.87Non-Handicaps
=============I Confess Stake: £5.16 [4/9F] 1^4 Win Return: £7.45 E/W Return: £7.45
Tri Nations Stake: £4.78 [11/2] 3^7 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Desert Strike Stake: £6.19 [8/13F] 2^3 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Better Self Stake: £4.73 [5/2] 1^4 Win Return: £16.54 E/W Return: £16.54
School For Scandal Stake: £4.15 [1/5F] 1^4 Win Return: £4.98 E/W Return: £4.98
Win Total: £28.97 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £28.97 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£74.73
New E/W running total = -£52.42Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £88.35
E/W running total = £46.87
Cornish Sett Newbury 02:25 Rat:3337 Stake: £4.86
Just Friends Gowran Park 02:55 Rat:3483 Stake: £5.08
Fine Parchment Newbury 03:00 Rat:3587 Stake: £5.23
Pateese Newbury 03:35 Rat:3416 Stake: £4.98
Elite Land Doncaster 05:35 Rat:3330 Stake: £4.85
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£74.73
E/W running total = -£52.42
Alfie Flits Kelso 02:30 Rat:1319 Stake: £5.04
Pokfulham Kelso 03:05 Rat:1211 Stake: £4.63
BallaBriggs Kelso 03:40 Rat:1231 Stake: £4.71
Priceless Art Kelso 04:15 Rat:1507 Stake: £5.76
Quotica De Poyans Kelso 04:50 Rat:1269 Stake: £4.85
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results
Handicaps
=========Cornish Sett Stake: £4.86 [100/30F] 7^11 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Just Friends Stake: £5.08 [13/2] 2^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £5.84
Fine Parchment Stake: £5.23 [12/1] 1^15 Win Return: £67.96 E/W Return: £44.44
Pateese Stake: £4.98 [8/1] 2^15 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £7.47
Elite Land Stake: £4.85 [15/2] 1^11 Win Return: £41.25 E/W Return: £26.69
Win Total: £109.22 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £84.44 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £172.57
New E/W running total = £106.31Non-handicaps
=============Alfie Flits Stake: £5.04 [11/2] 3^5 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Pokfulham Stake: £4.63 [4/1] 1^15 Win Return: £23.16 E/W Return: £15.75
BallaBriggs Stake: £4.71 [8/13F] 2^5 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £2.72
Priceless Art Stake: £5.76 [8/1] 6^10 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Quotica De Poyans Stake: £4.85 [11/8F] 1^12 Win Return: £11.53 E/W Return: £8.86
Win Total: £34.68 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £27.32 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£65.05
New E/W running total = -£50.10Tomorrow I’ll do an analysis of how this is performing, but here’s today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £172.57
E/W running total = £106.31
Be My Light Huntingdon 03:10 Rat:2959 Stake: £4.64
Ontrack Sedgefield 03:20 Rat:3054 Stake: £4.79
Ballyvesey Huntingdon 03:40 Rat:3173 Stake: £4.97
Pozyc Naas 04:00 Rat:3372 Stake: £5.28
Leon Og Naas 04:30 Rat:3397 Stake: £5.32
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£65.05
E/W running total = -£50.10
Eighteen Carat Sedgefield 02:20 Rat:1225 Stake: £5.02
Bob Lingo Naas 02:30 Rat:1258 Stake: £5.15
Mackeys Forge Naas 03:00 Rat:1288 Stake: £5.28
Rayhani Naas 03:30 Rat:1156 Stake: £4.74
Aupcharlie Naas 05:30 Rat:1175 Stake: £4.81
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results. Poor return from the HCs for a change, the non-HCs just about broke even in both wins and e/w
Handicaps
=========Be My Light Stake: £4.64 [4/1] 2^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £4.17
Ontrack Stake: £4.79 [7/2F] 7^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Ballyvesey Stake: £4.97 [5/1] 4^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Pozyc Stake: £5.28 [13/8F] 5^20 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Leon Og Stake: £5.32 [14/1] F^18 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £4.17 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £147.57
New E/W running total = £85.48Non-Handicaps
=============Eighteen Carat Stake: £5.02 [13/8F] 2^11 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £3.32
Bob Lingo Stake: £5.15 [9/4] 7^7 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Mackeys Forge Stake: £5.28 [7/1] 2^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £7.26
Rayhani Stake: £4.74 [12/1] 16^16 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Aupcharlie Stake: £4.81 [7/2] 1^15 Win Return: £21.66 E/W Return: £14.92
Win Total: £21.66 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £25.50 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£68.39
New E/W running total = -£49.60A quick summary of progress over the 11 days I’ve been doing this system.
In 11 days this covers 55 horses in h/c and 55 in non-h/c.
These can be done either at (a pro rata based on my ratings) £5 each to win, or £2.50 e/wHandicaps
=========one non-runner
13 winners (24%), 12 places (22%) = 46% in the frame
best winners:
05-Mar Fine Parchment [12/1]
01-Mar Jump Up [11/1]
26-Feb Quinz [8/1]
05-Mar Elite Land
25-Feb Russian Flag [7/1]
best places:
02-Mar Cavitie [8/1]
05-Mar Pateese [8/1]
26-Feb Rio Royale [15/2]
28-Feb Desert Strike [15/2]
24-Feb Ace of Spies [7/1]Non-handicaps
=============16 winners (29%), 15 places (27%) = 56% in the frame
best winners:
05-Mar Pokfulham [4/1]
06-Mar Aupcharlie [7/2]
03-Mar Mazovian [3/1]
26-Feb Sire De Grugy [11/4]
04-Mar Better Self [5/2]
best places:
26-Feb Anne of Kiev [12/1]
06-Mar Mackeys Forge [7/1]
02-Mar Residency [4/1]
25-Feb Popcorn [100/30]
24-Feb Local Diktator [3/1]Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £147.57
E/W running total = £85.48
Rileyev Newton Abbot 02:30 Rat:2997 Stake: £4.81
Mrs Neat Lingfield 03:50 Rat:3103 Stake: £4.98
Sparrow Hills Ffos Las 04:00 Rat:3132 Stake: £5.03
Rith Bob Newton Abbot 04:15 Rat:3098 Stake: £4.98
Spinning Bailiwick Lingfield 05:30 Rat:3236 Stake: £5.20
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£68.39
E/W running total = -£49.60
Chjimes Lingfield 02:10 Rat:1553 Stake: £5.47
Murcar Ffos Las 02:20 Rat:1215 Stake: £4.28
Rebel Du Maquis Newton Abbot 03:40 Rat:1205 Stake: £4.24
Dream of Fortune Lingfield 04:25 Rat:1922 Stake: £6.77
What Of It Ffos Las 05:10 Rat:1202 Stake: £4.23
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results
Handicaps
=========Rileyev Stake: £4.81 [EvensF] 1^5 Win Return: £9.63 E/W Return: £7.82
Mrs Neat Stake: £4.98 [NR] [NR] Win Return: £4.98 E/W Return: £4.98
Sparrow Hills Stake: £5.03 [5/1] 2^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £5.03
Rith Bob Stake: £4.98 [15/2] 5^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Spinning Bailiwick Stake: £5.20 [15/8F] 3^5 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £14.61 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £17.84 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £137.18
New E/W running total = £78.32Non-Handicaps
=============Chjimes Stake: £5.47 [4/1] 5^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Murcar Stake: £4.28 [7/2] 4^6 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Rebel Du Maquis Stake: £4.24 [5/2] 4^4 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Dream of Fortune Stake: £6.77 [33/1] 5^7 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
What Of It Stake: £4.23 [3/1] 2^13 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: £3.39
Win Total: £- for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £3.39 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£93.39
New E/W running total = -£71.21Ooops, forgot to post these earlier. I see Jukebox Medley came in, but the other early runners failed dismally
Today’s selections
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £137.18
E/W running total = £78.32
Its A Mans World Southwell 01:40 Rat:3047 Stake: £4.69
Sleepy Blue Ocean Southwell 02:10 Rat:3236 Stake: £4.98
Ammunition Exeter 03:30 Rat:3036 Stake: £4.67
Irish Jugger Southwell 03:40 Rat:2992 Stake: £4.61
General Tufto Southwell 04:40 Rat:3929 Stake: £6.05
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£93.39
E/W running total = -£71.21
Jukebox Melody Newcastle 02:20 Rat:1176 Stake: £4.43
Pepite Rose Exeter 02:30 Rat:1250 Stake: £4.71
La Estrella Southwell 02:40 Rat:1545 Stake: £5.82
Yossi Southwell 03:10 Rat:1413 Stake: £5.33
Aztec Treasure Exeter 04:00 Rat:1247 Stake: £4.70
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Yesterday’s results. One good winner doth a profit make. Not quite so good on the non-handicaps.
Handicaps
=========Its A Mans World Stake: £4.69 [4/1F] 5^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Sleepy Blue Ocean Stake: £4.98 [13/2] 5^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Ammunition Stake: £4.67 [16/1] 1^16 Win Return: £79.45 E/W Return: £51.41
Irish Jugger Stake: £4.61 [11/8F] 1^8 Win Return: £10.94 E/W Return: £8.41
General Tufto Stake: £6.05 [10/1] 4^8 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £90.39 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £59.82 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = £202.57
New E/W running total = £113.14Non-Handicaps
=============Jukebox Melody Stake: £4.43 [5/2] 1^9 Win Return: £15.52 E/W Return: £11.08
Pepite Rose Stake: £4.71 [11/4] 4^13 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
La Estrella Stake: £5.82 [30/100F] 1^5 Win Return: £7.57 E/W Return: £6.92
Yossi Stake: £5.33 [4/1] 5^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Aztec Treasure Stake: £4.70 [3/1F] 5^12 Win Return: LOST E/W Return: LOST
Win Total: £23.09 for a £25.00 stake
E/W Total: £18.00 for a £25.00 stake
New WIN running total = -£95.30
New E/W running total = -£78.21Today’s selections. I plan to revisit the algorithm for giving a horse a rating over the next couple of weeks in two areas:
1. Now I have a little more recorded form from last-three-races I’ll try introducing a factor into the rating in the way that VDW does (it’d be quite handy if I could pick up a horse’s winning per race average as well, but I cant’ do that without visiting the RP page for every horse, which I can’t).
2. I’m not happy that today’s selection Thoughtsofstardom takes most of the positives at its current rating from over a year ago, so I’ll be looking into reducing the effect of older form into the factored rating.
Handicaps
=========WIN running total = £202.57
E/W running total = £113.14
Goodbye Cash Lingfield 03:10 Rat:3161 Stake: £4.90
Thoughtsofstardom Lingfield 04:10 Rat:3232 Stake: £5.00
Lean Machine Lingfield 05:10 Rat:3091 Stake: £4.79
Sir Boss Kempton 07:30 Rat:3405 Stake: £5.27
Pipers Piping Kempton 08:00 Rat:3255 Stake: £5.04
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)Non-Handicaps
=============WIN running total = -£95.30
E/W running total = -£78.21
Bromhead Catterick 02:20 Rat:1260 Stake: £4.52
Gurtacrue Fontwell 03:00 Rat:1230 Stake: £4.41
Just Maddie Catterick 04:20 Rat:1189 Stake: £4.26
Baylini Kempton 06:30 Rat:1546 Stake: £5.55
Hinton Admiral Kempton 07:00 Rat:1745 Stake: £6.26
(remember the total stake is WIN £25 or E/W £12.50 x2)
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