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28/02/03
315 Newbury<br>4  ASPARAGUS(IRE)      29.18 <br>3  ABALVINO(FR)        29.18  1<br>2  IVANOPH(FR)         21.91  2<br>1  EXTRA JACK(FR)       10.96 <br>5  CARRICK TROOP(IRE)   8.76
350 Newbury<br>4  PHARPOST(IRE)        19.3 2<br>5  HELVETIUS            15.83 <br>3  DARK ROOM(IRE)       15.83 3<br>1  FULL MINTY           13.39 <br>7  BENSON(IRE)          12.43 <br>8  RUFIUS(IRE)           10.87 <br>2  ROMERO              10.87 <br>6  PHARAWAY CITIZEN(IRE)  1.48 1
410 Doncaster<br>14  BABY GEE              9.65 2<br>6   OVER THE COUNTER(IRE)  8.7 <br>11  RIGHT                 8.7 <br>3   NOISETINE(FR)          7.91 <br>10  SCENTED AIR           7.91 <br>13  COOLING OFF(IRE)       7.91 <br>12  ROBYN ALEXANDER(IRE)   7.22 <br>9   I GOT RHYTHM          6.7 3<br>8   SUPER SAMMY          6.17 <br>7   LADY LAUREATE         6.17 <br>1   OUT OF THE SHADOWS   5.83 <br>5   KALI DES OBEAUX(FR)    5.83 <br>4   ROUTE SIXTY SIX(IRE)    5.83 <br>2   LAST THEATRE(IRE)      5.48 1<br>
(Edited by Racing Daily at 5:22 pm on Feb. 28, 2003)
The virtual bank starts at 200pts.
In races of 8 or more runners, top two rated horses in each race are bet to level stakes.
In races of 7 or less runners, the top rated horse is the bet.<br>(total bet per race = 5% of bank)
In the event of two or more horses being equal rated, the one with the lowest RP tissue is the bet.
In the event of them being the same odds in the RP, half stake on each is the bet.
Where the odds are 9/1 or higher, the bet is E/W.
Tomorrows bets: 28/02/03
315 Newbury -<br>10pts win – Abalvino w2/1
350 Newbury -<br>5pts win – Pharpost 2nd 10/3<br>5pts win – Dark Room 3rd
410 Doncaster -<br>2.5pts E/W – Baby Gee 2nd 14/1<br>2.5pts E/W – Right N/R
Total Stake = 25pts<br>Returns =  41.25pts<br>Profit/Loss to date = +16.25pts<br>ROI to date (£25)  = 165%
See how we do …<br>I’m paper trading this for myself, so I might as well share my results with everyone here :)<br>
(Edited by Racing Daily at 8:55 pm on Feb. 28, 2003)
01/03/03
210 Haydock<br>16 ARDENT SCOUT 6.89 <br>04 CARBURY CROSS 6.89 <br>18 KIT SMARTIE 6.89 <br>11 FROSTY CANYON 6.4 <br>05 TAKE CONTROL 5.9 <br>12 HUGO DE GREZ 5.9 <br>08 SOUTHERN STAR 5.56 <br>01 SHOTGUN WILLY 5.56 1<br>02 IRIS BLEU 5.56 3<br>10 BINDAREE 5.56 <br>03 MINI SENSATION 5.56 <br>14 WONDER WEASEL 5.56 4<br>07 BOBBY GRANT 5.56 <br>15 SUPREME GLORY 5.56 <br>06 YOU`RE AGOODUN 4.15 2<br>09 KATARINO 4.15 <br>17 AMBERLEIGH HOUSE 4.15 <br>13 JOCKS CROSS 4.15
240 Doncaster<br>03 FATEHALKHAIR 13.33 3<br>02 WHITENZO 13.33 <br>05 LANMIRE TOWER 12.38 <br>07 PUTSOMETNBY 12.38 <br>06 KILDORRAGH 10.82 2<br>09 ROLLER BLADE 9.61 <br>04 TOM`S PRIZE 9.61 1<br>08 NORDIC PRINCE 7.88 <br>01 RED STRIKER 7.19 <br>10 TYNDARIUS 3.46
320 Haydock<br>07 GRALMANO 15.78 <br>02 MILLIGAN 14.48 <br>06 MISTER MCGOLDRICK 14.48 3<br>03 QUAZAR 13.36 1<br>01 CRAZY HORSE 8.67 <br>10 BEAVER LODGE 7.89 <br>08 LORENZINO 7.2 <br>04 COMEX FLYER 6.16 2<br>09 NICKEL SUN 6.16 <br>05 IMAGE DE MARQUE II 5.81
(Edited by Racing Daily at 6:40 pm on Mar. 1, 2003)
210 Haydock -<br>2.5pts E/W – Ardent Scout  <br>2.5pts E/W – Kit Smartie
240 Doncaster -<br>5pts win – Whitenzo<br>2.5pts E/W – Fatehalkhair 3rd 10/1
320 Haydock -<br>5pts win – Gralmano N/R<br>5pts win – Mister McGoldrick 3rd 11/2
B/F Bank = 216.25pts<br>Total Stake = 25pts <br>Returns =  7.5pts <br>Profit/Loss to date = -1.25pts<br>ROI to date (£50)  = 97.5%<br>C/F Bank = 198.75pts
(Edited by Racing Daily at 6:52 pm on Mar. 1, 2003)
snowman, they are my own variation on a computer program that I use. As and when need be, I will tweak here and there to get rid of as many bad results as possible. It’s trial and error at the moment.
I’m finding that the trick is to pick the right races to invest in. With practice it will become obvious which races tend to produce the best results. I’ve started off with the most valuable races of the day, and i’m trying to stick to chases where possible. But I will add things and take things away as I go.<br>
OK RD thanks. By the way I think you’ve done yourself down a little. Because of your N/R on day one shouldn’t your figures read 25 pts out 41.25 in? I know it’s still 16.25 pts profit but your ROI is better this way:biggrin:
Sneaky LOL<br>I never noticed that.  My thought was that I would have backed the horse and then been returned the money for a non-runner by my bookie.  So it would have been part of the outlay in a way.
I take the point though.  Nice tip, cheers :)
Just one point about the ratings. They are NOT speed ratings. I did call them speed ratings in the thread title, but they are not. They are percentage ratings (each horse’s chance of winning the race in question, as a percentage). I am going to change the formula for creating the ratings for Sunday. At the moment, the ratings cannot be compared race to race. Tomorrow’s ratings will be uniform across all three races. For example, a horse with a rating of 130 in the 2.05 will have a higher chance of success than a horse with 127 in the 2.30.
I’m just deciding the best way to do it at present. The ratings are really just an indicator to the chance of horse A over horses B, C and D at the moment. They do not have properties that would tell you strictly how good a horse is based on it’s rating.
Hell, as long as they chuck up winners I don’t really care what properties they have LOL<br>
(Edited by Racing Daily at 1:52 pm on Mar. 1, 2003)
02/03/03
205 Huntingdon<br>2 FORTUNATE DAVE 198.38 2<br>3 ENVIRONMENT AUDIT 165.64<br>4 RESSOURCE 123.99  <br>1 ROYAL HECTOR 110.1  <br>10 INJUN 99.19  <br>6 HONEY`S GIFT 99.19  <br>8 TIRARI 82.33  <br>7 LORD FERNANDO 82.33  1<br>11 MISS KOEN 49.59  <br>9 EYES TO THE RIGHT 49.59  <br>5 SLOANE STREET 39.68 3
335 Huntingdon<br>8 STEEL EDGE 222.47<br>1 KEEP SMILING 141.57<br>3 RUNNING MACHINE 129.9  <br>6 FLUFF `N` PUFF 119.79  2<br>2 DIRK COVE 86.34  <br>4 JACKEM 70.79  <br>7 COUNT OSKI 70.79  <br>9 MISS WOODSTICK 38.89  3<br>5 JIVAROS 19.45 1
355 Fontwell<br>9 ILE DE LIBRATE 187.63<br>4 HALF THE POT 147.42 1<br>11 AUDIOSTREETDOTCOM 147.42  3<br>7 WHO CARES WINS 114.43  2<br>10 CANYOUBATIM 114.43  <br>1 MULLIGATAWNY 103.09  <br>8 ADDED DIMENSION 85.57  <br>12 LEGGIES LEGACY 79.38  <br>2 GOOD LORD MURPHY 79.38  <br>5 LORGNETTE 69.07  <br>3 BARCELONA 51.55  <br>6 NICK`S CHOICE 20.62
(Edited by Racing Daily at 9:19 pm on Mar. 2, 2003)
205 Huntingdon – <br>5pts win – Fortunate Dave  2nd 4/1<br>5pts win – Environment Audit
335 Huntingdon – <br>5pts win – Steel Edge  Fell<br>5pts win – Keep Smiling
355 Fontwell – <br>2.5pts E/W – Ile De Librate<br>5pts win – Half The Pot  w11/2<br> <br>B/F Bank = 198.75pts<br>Total Stake = 30pts <br>Returns =  32.5pts <br>Profit/Loss to date = +1.25pts <br>ROI to date (£80)  = 101.56% <br>C/F Bank = 201.25pts <br>
(Edited by Racing Daily at 9:39 pm on Mar. 2, 2003)
320 Exeter – <br>5pts win – In The Rough<br>5pts win – Lancastrian Jet
350 Exeter – <br>5pts win – Bonus Bridge 2nd 4/7<br>5pts win – Just A Minute
445 Leicester – <br>5pts win – Epsilo De La Ronce 2nd 9/2<br>5pts win – Torn Silk
<br>B/F Bank = 201.25pts <br>Total Stake = 30pts <br>Returns =  NIL<br>Profit/Loss to date = -28.75pts<br>ROI to date (£110)  = 73.86% <br>C/F Bank = 171.25pts<br> <br>:(
(Edited by Racing Daily at 7:35 pm on Mar. 4, 2003)
230 Catterick – <br>5pts win – Supreme Breeze 2nd 5/2<br>5pts win – Sabi Sand w7/4
400 Catterick – <br>5pts win – Only Words <br>2.5pts e/w – Plenty Courage
410 Bangor – <br>10pts win – Darina’s Boy w11/8
B/F Bank = 171.25pts <br>Total Stake = 30pts <br>Returns = 37.5pts<br>Profit/Loss to date = -21.25pts <br>ROI to date (£140) = 84.82% <br>C/F Bank = 178.75pts
:)
(Edited by Racing Daily at 5:23 pm on Mar. 5, 2003)
330 Sandown – <br>5pts win – Kings Mistral w5/2<br>5pts win – Infrasonique
505 Sandown – <br>2.5pts e/w – Briar 2nd 16/1<br>5pts win – Tollbrae
520 Ayr – <br>5pts win – Seasmith<br>5pts win – Island Faith 2nd 5/4
B/F Bank = 178.75pts <br>Total Stake = 30pts <br>Returns =  30pts<br>Profit/Loss to date = -21.25<br>ROI to date (£170) = -87.50% <br>C/F Bank = 178.75pts <br>
(Edited by Racing Daily at 8:04 pm on Mar. 7, 2003)
155 Sandown – <br>10pts win – Fait Le Jojo N/R
340 Sandown – <br>5pts win – Odagh Odyssey <br>2.5pts e/w – Ambleside
445 Sandown – <br>10pts win – Ivanoph N/R
B/F Bank = 178.75pts <br>Total Stake = 10pts <br>Returns =  NIL<br>Profit/Loss to date = -31.25pts <br>ROI to date (£180) = 82.64%<br>C/F Bank = 168.75pts
:(
(Edited by Racing Daily at 2:37 pm on Mar. 9, 2003)
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