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I know the weights aren’t out for this yet,but Garde Champetre (best price 9/4) will be top weight. The only danger I can see is Sizing Australia (best price 8/1).
Will be backing both but EW on the latter.I know the weights aren’t out for this yet,but Garde Champetre (best price 9/4) will be top weight. The only danger I can see is Sizing Australia (best price 8/1).
Will be backing both but EW on the latter.Seems a fairly likely outcome, I’d say you’ve pinpointed the first two home
L’Ami will very likely be around a stone better off for just under 2L in this last year, and I reckon he can finish runner-up to Garde Champetre.
L’Ami will very likely be around a stone better off for just under 2L in this last year, and I reckon he can finish runner-up to Garde Champetre.
L’Ami gets a miserly 8 lbs from Garde…he hasn’t got a hope in h*ll
L’Ami must be just about the most one paced plodder in racing, albeit a relatively classy one. Won’t be winning this.
Sizing Australia is a knocking e/w bet @ 5/1+. I took 6/1 last week. Won’t be out of the first 4 and has a decent win chance being still fairly young and lightly raced off 10-2
Im never convinced that the weights have so much of a part to play in this race. Or perhaps i should say that the concessions have to be far more significant than in standard chases to play a part
Agreed?
I agree, clivexx. The race usually goes to the class horses, and the only time a handicap snip won, was when Garde champetre himself did a coup,e of years back. Favourites dominate.
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Im never convinced that the weights have so much of a part to play in this race. Or perhaps i should say that the concessions have to be far more significant than in standard chases to play a part
Agreed?
Completely
Weight doesn’t have the same effect on a sharp track that it does on a stiff one, and should have even less bearing on these ‘in and out the windows’ set-ups. Something Stewart Simpson based his betting on, back in the times when David Johnson was still in short trousers, (or so I’m told).
I’m no scientist, but I’d guess it has to do with the velocity being less, even though the mass is slightly greater, so the energy use would also be less?Something like that i suppose …
Good point though and maybe very true when thinking about sharp tracks in general. In effect its a real stop/start race and i juts think some horses/riders take to it better than others regardless of weight carrying
not going to bother researching but hasnt this been born out by results in these particualr races?
Garde Champetre is the best bet of Cheltenham in terms of value for money is the best bet of Cheltenham in my opinion. Classy proven horse. Lump.
Weight does have an effect. Its the only reason to eplain why Spot The Difference was beaten on his last two runs at the festival
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