Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Welsh National 2023
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December 21, 2023 at 16:34 #1674581
Monbeg genius out. A bitter pill to swallow.
5 day decs.
Iwilldoit Sam Thomas
Complete Unknown Paul Nicholls
The Big Breakaway Joe Tizzard
The Galloping Bear Ben Clarke
Iron Bridge Jonjo O’Neill
Nassalam Gary Moore
Ashtown Lad Dan Skelton
Chambard Venetia Williams
Truckers Lodge Paul Nicholls
Only The Bold David Pipe
Fontaine Collonges Venetia Williams
Iceo Madrik David Pipe
Super Survivor Jamie Snowden
Autonomous Cloud Fergal O’Brien
Amateur John Flint
Charlie Uberalles Dianne Sayer
Wayfinder Rebecca Curtis
Blade Runner Chris Gordon
Max Dynamo Emma-Jane Bishop
Domaine De L’Isle Sean Curran
Didero Vallis Venetia Williams
Not Sure Kerry LeeI’ll be doubling up Autonomous Cloud with BMG in the king George and Karl Phillipe in the Rowland Meyrick.
December 21, 2023 at 17:16 #1674586I like the course form of Wayfinder, but the run in this last year was very poor.
Fontaine Collonges looks interesting at a price, and previous winner Iwilldoit, lightly raced since his win should be there abouts.
No bet for now as the odds should be much the same come boxing day.
Surprised theres no traveller from Ireland for this.December 21, 2023 at 20:16 #1674601Will Chambard run? Notice he been left in there still but thought they where going for veterans, then aim at Grand National Aintree
VF x
December 21, 2023 at 22:16 #1674620I fancy IWILLDOIT and NASSALAM for this one (win only)
The best things in life are free.
But you can give them to the birds and bees.December 22, 2023 at 02:52 #1674639Sure I heard earlier in the week they felt it was going to come too soon for it after Aintree, Viking.
Both him and Nassalam would be two huge swerves for me on account of that ground at Aintree and Chepstow just 2 weeks ago.
December 22, 2023 at 18:01 #1674665Thanks Tizaards Cider hopefully he will be removed at next declaration stage.
VF x
December 24, 2023 at 04:12 #1674860My ew 2…
Autonomous Cloud 20-1
Iron Bridge 12-1December 26, 2023 at 11:24 #1674994Flemensfirth’s record between 29f – 32f (1.5f either side of race distance)
150 runs (in 120 races)
9 winners @ 6%
22 places @ 14.66%
Race win % = 7.5%The progeny of Flemensfirth has seen a real decline in quality since 2014. Only one of his Grade 1 winners has come from a post 2014 crop (Minella Cocooner).
Of the post 2014 crop the best time to catch them is as 5yo where they have a 15.55% win rate and 36.3% win and place rate.
December 26, 2023 at 15:28 #1675048Was going to sit this out, after dodging a bullet with a couple of them. Seemed more sensible to leave it with the Screaming Colours bet, but having had a long look at Wayfinder and Domaine De L’Isle, I settled on Didero Vallis.
He was a fair fancy at entry stage, but I thought he’d never get in. He’s way out the handicap, but he’s completely unpredictable, and I’ll hope he’s on a going day. Haven’t bet him EW yet, but I have taken the 66’s
Didero Vallis EW7Pls/66’s
December 26, 2023 at 15:31 #1675050This could be The bigbreakway big day , ran a stormer last season off a huge weight , nice e.w price
December 26, 2023 at 15:47 #1675058Didero Vallis 66s e/w 1st 6.
Venetia’s horses are in such fine form i had to have a small wager.
However, we’re due almost 24 hours of rain from tonight here, just over the bridge from Chepstow, that it’ll likely be a bog come race time.
I’ll place a win only on one of the main hopes tomorrow.
December 26, 2023 at 17:51 #1675070If Chepstow avoids the worst of the rain I’ll go for Charlie Uberalles. Had this one as a staying chasing type the moment I first saw him at Kelso before a novice hurdle and on trying chasing he obliged at first attempt at Perth. Interesting entry from a trainer I have a lot of time for. I suspect he will be a non-runner if the ground turns testing.
December 26, 2023 at 19:36 #1675090Meant be bad storm from late tonight into Tomo Rob orth may scupper Charlie uberalles attempt
Vf x
December 26, 2023 at 19:45 #1675094Nassalam
The Galloping Bear
Truckers Lodge
Vf xDecember 26, 2023 at 21:18 #1675104Wayfinder at 25s ew for me
December 26, 2023 at 21:59 #1675106The Galloping Bear 14s EW
Blade Runner 40s EWDecember 27, 2023 at 09:51 #1675143Added Chambard 10s (BOG), win only.
Very windy here in BS34, light rain – guess it is much the same just ‘over the bridge’. Heavier rain due just before midday.
Best of luck to all
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