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Since it appears Cruz Control is going to the Rehearsal Chase, I’m now win only on Myretown at Laddies 6.5-1 (boosted)
Oscar –
tried to cash out my CC bet, but “cash out” not avail.
Anyone know why? If i bet with 365, which is prob 80% of the time a cashout is always avail. Lads dont seem to offer it on antepost bets v often.
Anyone else had this issue?I’d assume that they also know he’ll be going Newcastle Wilts, and it could be as simple as that
I’ve no big opinion on the race. I’ll probably chance a 2/3.
Pic Roc- Has always hinted at being a good horse…17/2 for the festival novices h’cap- didn’t run much of race but they obviously like his mark, and he’s lower now.
Lowry’s Bar- Connections tour mentioned that they would’ve liked to get a run, but didn’t due to the ground. It’s a negative, but he’s a big price. Has some decent form, and with the potential for more.
Blizzard Of Oz- finally getting it together over fences. Some very decent form. Given the trainer runs plenty especially in the GN- he’s got a decent s/r over the past two years…sort of obvious but yeah..trip will suit
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Thanks VTC,
But i’ve noticed all thru this year that whenever i place an antepost horse bet with Lads they never have “cash out” avail. The Cruz Control bet didnt have a cash out option last week either.
I think i’ll avoid Lads, going forward, for horse race antepost bets.
Just place ‘on day’ or eve before, with them, going forward – i like their big raceday “Place a bet” to opt in for a free bet. And their ‘boost’ options.I’ve already had a losing ante-post bet on Three Card Brag this season, but on the eve of the final field I’ve done it again. II think that he will run this time, and if he does, I want to get the 20-1. I think that it is worth the risk involved
The other horse I’m with as well is Victtorino, and I have bet him at 16-1, though part of me just wonders if he might drift out a little because of the stable form
In ye old days for NH fans, the gas was lit for The Mackeson Gold Cup and, come Hennessy day, the kettle was boiling. The Mackeson name is long gone in favour of Paddy Power, and The Hennessy is a speck in the rear mirror with Coral now holding the sponsorship of the 2.55 at Newbury on Saturday.
I love Myretown, even with his 15lb rise since dotting up in The Ultima. He could be anything, but two things put me off for this race – his trainer’s 1/16 Newbury score (last winner there was Ahoy Senor), and her record with first time out runners:
First Time Out Win Percentages
Lucinda Russell 10.67
Olly Murphy 17.71
Dan Skelton 19.19
Paul Nicholls 24.58
Chris Gordon 9.85
I add Chris Gordon in the interests of full disclosure as it is his horse Annual Invictus I am tipping here. His FTO record is worse than Lucinda’s, but his horse is 40/1 not 5/1, and his yard is in good current form with a 26%/37% win/place rate against Lucinda’s 18%/24% (last 14 days).
Annual Invictus has been off the track 581 days. He sustained a ligament injury in October last year while being trained for the 2024 running of this race. On his last run he just failed to make all in the Bet365 Gold Cup (The Whitbread), where he was beaten a neck into second by Minella Cocooner with subsequent Grand National winner Nick Rockett in third.
Before that he was 7th to Inothewayurthinkin in the Kim Muir, this after making most to win the Great Yorkshire Chase from Forward Plan.
His prominent racing style is a proven advantage in the Coral Gold Cup, and his Newbury record is a 4th of 23 in the 2021 Betfair Hurdle and a win in a lesser handicap hurdle in February 23.
He has gone well in the past off a longish break – 2nd after a 279 day break, 2nd after a 224 day break, winner after a 188 day break, though this challenge is of a different order. He must also bust the age stats. No 10-y-o has won since the Tizzard trained Sizing Tennessee in 2018, and you must go all the way back to Diamond Edge in 1981 before that.
But he has a good weight at 10.12, and should like the ground. He’s best on good but has run to form on soft and good to soft. It’s currently good to soft with little precipitation forecast.
Paddy Power go 40/1 EW to 6 places as I write (5pm Thursday) and that’s the best value in the race for me.
Good luck,
JoeI can remember that Bet365 chase only too well! I had a nice bet on Annual Invictus and he thoroughly deserved to win me a nice pot only to have it snatched away at the last agonising second!
Still, as he’s my local trainer and in red hot form, I’ll have to follow you in, Steeplechasing, to potentially relive that agony!Percivail Legalois at 33s is a great price- he won one of the toughest 3M handicaps in ireland. a rise in the weights since then but this is a class horse.
Moon d’orange- won a Cheltenham handicap earlier in the year off 2lbs lower- 66’s looks too big for this strong stayer.
Totally agree Kendicate, looked to be on a right upward curve last year. That Paddy Power chase was an amazing performance for me, lobbed around all race and just put into it at the last fence and then he was off. Won a big pot at DRF next time and then fell early on in the national.
Given the price he is on the exchanges he can’t be fancied much, but 60/1 plus for a horse who could still be on the upgrade is worth a few quid just in case.
Great to see your post, Joe. Always very clear and reasoned. Reminds me of your legendary tip about Sizing Tennessee in 2018 (which you don’t mention!) for this race! Good Luck Tom J
Good to see you back Joe, and good post that. Bet Annual Invictus a few times in the past mate, and agree that he’s no back number tomorrow, long layoff or not
Not that I don’t trust Steeplechasing but I’ve added Lowrys Bar ew 5 at 28-1 boosted on Billys after the winner in the 3.35 for Hobbs and White FTO.
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