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Bloody hope not as I’ve got £50e/w on him for this and it isn’t NRNB lol, last I heard they were favouring the Coral Cup
For thos asking, OK Corral does go for this, speaking to Nicky Henderson at weights launch.
Le Breuil on course too.
Nico jocked up on LE BRUEIL. Everything has fallen right for this horse. Ground ,trip and mark spot on. I think this is a 150+ horse. If you haven’t made a selection yet, look no further
JJM is putting everyone away here perhaps. Ok Corral likely to be rerouted to the Albert Bartlett.
I’ve just had a little go on Meri Devie NRMB. I’d prefer to wait for the extra place offers but I think this has potential to shorten way up from the current 20/1. Mullins also has Whiskey Sour, Sandsend and Voix Du Reve in the race. The ground is all wrong for VDR and Whiskey Sour/Sandsend are established as a bit pants.
Meri Devie potentially runs AND has Ruby and goes off 8/1. The form of her recent win over Alletrix looks rock solid and she surely has something in hand from 141.
So far have only backed one in this but to be honest I do fancy it strong!!
TOPOFTHEGAME at 20/1 and I think Nicholls has a few good chances in the handicap hurdles but this IMO is his best chance!!
Added Fixe Le Kap the other day for this at 33’s NRNB, and still available at 25’s. I think he has the ideal profile for this, and hopeful of a big run at a price. 25’s is still fair.
NRNB took care of my other selections, so happy to have another, maybe even three in this.
Diamond King is the obvious one for me, and still a fair price at 20’s, so I’ll have win only. River Frost at around the same price also appeals and he’s likely to be third string.
Fixe Le Kap 33’s EW
Diamond King Win 20’s
River Frost (possible)Love that Nico is on Le Breuil, top class jockey for sure.
Nice selection with Diamond King VTC, 20s is definitely a fair price for him!
Anybody got any thoughts on this? I did like William Henry at the top of the market and Barra a bit lower down, but this looks an absolute minefield.
Count me in as another member of team Le Breuill.
BlueSky @pghenn.bsky.social
So don't run, just like the others always do
A fan of mount mews myself, missed the 16s only got 12s but 7 places with coral !
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!I had Le Breuil as one of my horses to follow last season. Although he won a couple of races, he did fall short of my hopes for him by at least 10 lbs. He did beat a decent future chasing sort in Benatar but the rest of that race looked ordinary.
The obvious hope is that his failure to hit the heights already has left him fairly handicapped and I see he is popular here and he has been tipped by Hugh Taylor. The question is whether he is improved this season?
The Racing Post have him running to 143 last time, which matched his previous best and his start prior to that was rated 141, so no obvious signs there that he’s on the up yet. His official mark has not changed either, so we need to assume the plan was to get him here without losing his potentially exploitable rating.
My worry with Le Breuil is that Ben Pauling is 1/20 coming in and the one winner was Global Citizen. He’s had enough of those who were short enough to have expected better runs and The Racing Post have him at 25% for “Horses running to form” currently.
For me Max Dynamite and Voix De Reve are short enough based on current form, so no thanks on them.
I had Fixe Le Kap in the Imperial Cup last year and I thought he was coming to win it but he hung in behind London Prize and ended up second. He has shortened in the betting and got a positive mention from Simon Munir on TV today but I can’t forgive the time he hung and the beating when 1/5F at Plumpton doesn’t help. The final nail is the 1-2 from his last race, Le Patriote and Friday Night Light, both ran like flat tyres in the Imperial Cup last week.
Mount Mews once excited the Wide Margin Winner brigade when scooshing (John Smeaton) home at Kelso by 49 lengths. He was no match for Black Corton over fences when third but runner up Ms Parfois ran well today and conditions should suit the Jefferson horse. The trouble is that Mount Mews has lost at short odds more than I like to see. His win over Sam Spinner at Kelso stands out but the runner up there has come a long way since. I am tempted at 12/1 in a race where few make much appeal, he may place at least.
I am only betting here because I started the meeting with two winners and having decided to play I feel the Lanzarote may have a say in this. Nicky Henderson’s William Henry won that race and Paul Nicholl’s Topofthegame ran a decent 4th. Both horses have likeable profiles, with Topofthegame winning next time over further. Nicholls isn’t in top nick at the moment though (2/20) and dropping back in trip may not suit his horse as much as Nicky’s.
In the end I have plumped for William Henry, I thought he won with a wee bit in hand last time and he’s not got much on the clock for his age. Trainer is firing in winners and Jim Bowen is onboard. I feel he’s likeliest to give his running and expect he’ll go very close.
William Henry 8/1Hopefully “super, smashing, great” and not “let’s look at what you could have won”
Mount Mews and Topofthegame to form the mixed forecasts.
Good luck.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Like Steve I think William Henry has a big shout of taking this one out. He’s the classiest animal in the race with a great jockey on board. Topofthegame also looks to hold a good chance and this looks the ideal test for him whilst Mount Mews would be bang their if reproducing his best form. As You Were hasn’t won yet this season but take out the winner last time and he’s bolted up.
William Henry 8/1
Topofthegame 12/1
Mount Mews 12/1
As You Were 25/1Barra @ 20/1
Taking a small leap of faith on trip and ground, but I was very impressed with her 2nd to Let’s Dance at Cheltenham last year. I was equally impressed with her last run behind Alletrix over 2m2f at Leopardstown, where she looked like she would finish 10th+ and battled past runners from last to 2nd four out, finishing really strongly.
Look a a really difficult race. I will chance Alan kings mare at 40/1 ew with 6 places. She managed to get in the frame the last 2 years
Morning All
I would agree that even with final decs,this will take some sorting out.Not many came from way off the pace yesterday,tactics and crucially stamina will be required to see this one out.
Voix Du Reve 6yr old FR 142…….Just the 10 lifetime starts over hurdles,went very close in the fred winter couple years back rated 139.Presumably had a setback,not seen for a year and half,been campaigned over longer trips in both starts this season.Both of those races were not devoid of promise,travelling well until giving way late on, yard going well and this lad has that “dark” look about him,suggesting there could be plenty more to come under the right conditions,french form suggests soft will be fine.
The Organist 7yr 139…..This one comes out well on most of the stats for this race.Decent 7th in the mares hurdle 2017,also qualified to run in the pertemps final,takes up the option here.The newbury win was eyecatching,beating an interesting horse of jonjo,where they showed their hand somewhat.Another who will be stepping back in trip today,has run well here,and hopefully will be staying on up the hill.
All three of Kings look interesting,Dusky Legend another with decent course form.
Bigger weight range than anticipated,interesting to see if the weight stats that reigned supreme here for many years,come to the fore again on this sifter ground,both coo star and mr whitaker were fairly low down in their respective races.
Best of luck to those playing.
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