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Commonwealth Cup 2018

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Viewing 9 posts - 86 through 94 (of 94 total)
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  • #1358031
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    I just could not have backed that, twice behind Invincible Army and a no show at Newbury. You have to be very forgiving sometimes in this game though.

    Not that forgiving, Charles.
    On only Eqtidaar’s third career start he ran Invincible Army who was having his eighth start and ran him to 1 1/2 lengths. ie Eqtidaar’s form a lot less exposed than Invincible Army.

    Forget about Eqtidaar’s only run since, as Timeform Race Passes said: “is better judged on his previous form, on the wrong part of the track and too far back to get involved; slowly into stride, in rear, travelled well, effort 2f out, stayed on final 1f, never landed a blow; he remains with potential and may yet emerge the best of these”.

    Eqtidaar hadn’t had much racing and lightly raced with scope for further improvement had a better chance thanhis bare form indicated. Unfortunately I chose to make him only a saver @ 12/1, looking back am kicking myself! Although did have a late top up of a few pounds @ 18/1 just before the off when the RUK duo were very positive about him.

    Value Is Everything
    #1358033
    Avatar photoDegaussed
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    Strange pre-race for Equilateral. Drifted really badly in the market, and Charlie Hills gave an interview to RUK before the race during which he looked absolutely despondent – not the interview of a man who was confident in his horse.

    Sands of Mali was the best horse in that race, for me, and you must be annoyed if you backed him! He’s interesting for the July Cup at a big price, but given how strong he was at the finish I imagine he’ll to the Prix Maurice de Gheest and possibly the Foret later in the season?

    Unfortunately, my selection, ran a strange race. Was detached early, made steady progress, badly hampered 2f out, ran on again before being heavily eased in the final furlong.

    #1358036
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    Sands of Mali was the best horse in that race, for me, and you must be annoyed if you backed him! He’s interesting for the July Cup at a big price, but given how strong he was at the finish I imagine he’ll to the Prix Maurice de Gheest and possibly the Foret later in the season?

    Not for me, Degaussed.
    Thought the jockey did well to keep a lid on Sands Of Mali. On the verge of being too free early. Normally a front runner, but if looking at those who raced prominently in this race they fell away. If anything may be Eqtidaar also went a little too fast early and was hanging on/slowing up because of that unequal pace. If they met again I’d expect the same result unless sectionals tell me different. Sands Of Mali always struck me as one who’d barely get home on a stiff 6f track and travelled well throughout the race. Could be wrong but I’d be against him at even 6 1/2, let alone 7f. If anything going down in trip or an easier 6f may suit best. However, this form is nothing like Battaash and Harry Angel’s best and probably now Blue Point too. So might be worth going anywhere they don’t, taking a chance on staying 6 1/2 or 7.

    Value Is Everything
    #1358039
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    Strange pre-race for Equilateral. Drifted really badly in the market, and Charlie Hills gave an interview to RUK before the race during which he looked absolutely despondent – not the interview of a man who was confident in his horse.

    I saw that too, it was indeed despondent. May be no confidence because of his long losing run and Battaash’s defeat. May be because Equilateral’s injury since that good performance and knowing he wasn’t quite 100%. The horse was going well one moment, poorly the next.

    Value Is Everything
    #1358086
    Avatar photostevecaution
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    Sands Of Mali was said by Fahey to be potentially better coming off a lead and he stated that he hoped something could go off in front for him to chase.

    I am pondering any potential draw disadvantage for Sands Of Mali? He came from box 22 and won the race on his side of the track. The winner was 19 boxes over in Trap 3 and I just wonder?

    Very pleased with Sands Of Mali’s effort. I seem to be the only person in the Universe who had anything much to say about the horse and after winning the Prix Sigy he was still a bigger price than I had backed him at after he won the Gimcrack in good style. Most galling of all was only four firms were quoting him for the race at that stage. Lazy bookmaking at its worst. Idle odds-compilers probably sitting on the can with a jazz mag in one hand and…………….I digress.

    Sioux Nation looked woeful today maybe 5F will be his game but he was lifeless in this one.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1358087
    Avatar photoKevMc
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    Equilateral didn’t find off the bridle. Might be a ponce buts it’s hard to tell since this is the first time he’s been seen off the bridle.

    Nothing like a last gasp 18/1 saver, just to show when you lose you still win ;-)

    #1358130
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    Nothing like a last gasp 18/1 saver, just to show when you lose you still win 😉

    Eh? :unsure:
    Already had a 12/1 saver on Eqtidaar, Kev; which was put up on my DLAP thread the night before; which on its own got me back a touch more than what I put on my other race bets. So even without the extra few quid I did not lose. ;-)

    My idea of its fair chance was 10/1 (9%), adding my usual margin for error to that 10/1 (two prices up) my minimum price (as I said on the DLAP thread the night before) was 12/1. Going in to the stalls the price available was 18/1. ie now considerably better than my minimum 12/1. Obviously the more the price available is above my 12/1 the better the bet. With the two Racing UK pundits (Willow and one of the brothers) being so positive… and I couldn’t see any good reason for the drift (stable in good form and Eqtidaar seemingly behaving ok)… Surely made sense to have a last gasp few quid @ 18/1? Unfortunately too late for me to get on here and advise a top up. It was only an extra few quid. Had the 18/1 been available in the morning – or if I had not backed four others/got plenty of money on the race already – it would’ve been without doubt a main (much bigger) bet.

    Value Is Everything
    #1358272
    Avatar photoKevMc
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    Tried to catch a salmon and got a shark ;-)

    #1358354
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    LOL

    Nah, your eyes are playing tricks on you Kev. Coming from my home town I can only be a trout. Finest chalk river in the World goes through it, but there is a salmon leap.

    Value Is Everything
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