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After ditching the ‘Compleat Handicapper’ method for Irish racing I’ve run a trial on a new method which rates the clas of horses’ recent performances. It works on the basis that class trumps weight, while not counting out the possibility that a lowly weighted performer proven in the class can make a mark (see R’Evelyn Pleasure at Punchestown on Wednesday). I’ll rate 0-130 and better over jumps and 0-90 and better on the flat.
Jumping straight into the furnace with ratings for the Punchestown meeting. That said, it looks a case odf quanity over quality on the first two days and it’s disappointing that GB stables aren’t willnig to have a go, as Cheltenham/Aintree results suggest the marks are more equal and the Irish contingent don’t look over scary.
As a measure of the quality of form avaiable for the class the ‘class par’ equals the rating of the top weight.
TUESDAY APRIL 26
Punchestown
4.50 Gua Du Large 154; Eskylane 152; Hearts Are Trumps 139; Tax For Max 137; Farout 136WEDNESDAY APRIL 27
Punchestown
7.05 R’Evelyn Pleasure 160; Ciel De Neige 153; Annamix 149; Royal Rendezvous 145; Rebel Gold 142If he can repeat his Cheltenham form then Global Citizen looks to have a strong chance against thef Irish two milers. Mt Leinster would be best of the home challenge off the back of a decent Fairyhouse effort, and probably has bit more in the locker.
THURSDAY APRIL 28
Punchestown
4.15 Global Citizen 161; Mt Leinster 145; Magic Daze 144; Rebel Gold 142; Zarkareva 139
6.00 Panda Boy 153; The Very Man 152; Macs Charm 146; Capilano Bridge 146; Bread And Butter 146; Unexpected Death 143
7.00 Hurricane Georgie 155; Western Zara 140; Minx Tiara 138; Deja Vue 132; Fiveaftermidnight 127FRIDAY APRIL 29
Punchestown
4.15 Birchdale 167; Fighter Allen 156; French Dynamite 154; Blue Sari 152; Gabbys Cross 148; Bold Emperor 147SATURDAY APRIL 30
Punchestown
3.10 Agusta Gold 157; Plan Of Attack 154; Champagne Platinum 149; Regina Dracones 140; Peaches And Cream 139
4.25 Phoenix Way 163; Ten Ten 152; Donkey Years 145; Popong 143; Wa Wa 136
5.30 Fastorslow 156; Saint D’Oroux 150; La Prima Donna 150; Heia 150; Irascible 149; Hes A Hardy Bloke 145SUNDAY MAY 1
Sligo
4.35 Khezanna 101; Sheishybrid 97; Rosscarbery 93; Startedwithakiss 92; Dearg Jazz 89MONDAY MAY 2
Curragh
2.55 Shanghai Dragon 99; Perfect Thunder 97; Dark Vega 97; Torn 92It’s been a struggle at Punchestown with many horses having had a race too many and fresher or tougher sorts coming to the fore. Easier at other meetings and Kildorrery looks to have golden opportunity at Ballinrobe on Tuesday, clear class advantage, track and distance not a problem and his regular rider takes off 7lbs.
TUESDAY MAY 3
Ballinrobe
8.00 Kildorrery 144; Optical Confusion 128; She Tops The Lot 128; The Dara Man 125; Nelly’s Money 114Rapidly coming to the conclusion that Irish handicaps are nigh on impenetrable whatever the method used. However we soldier on with tomorrow’s straight forward 25 runner Premier handicap at Cork and the top rated certainly fulfils the status of class horse in this company.
FRIDAY MAY 6
Cork
7.00 San Andreas 117; Monaasib 110; Laugh A Minute 108; Fastnet Crown 107; Spanish Tenor 106; Punk Poet 106SATURDAY MAY 7
Naas
4.00 Inuit 107; Shark Bay 97; Qitaal 92; Ruler Legend 88
5.15 Drombeg Banner 98; Mudaamer 95; Magniffico 95; Thunder Eclipse 91; Ano Syra 90; Dairerin 89; Neo Soul 89SUNDAY MAY 8
Leopardstown
5.35 Moracana 100; Zola Sakura 100; Empyrea 99; In From The Cold 94; Hell Bent 86; Annexation 86WEDNESDAY MAY 11
Gowran Park
3.15 Red Heel 108; Neptune Rock 107; Needle Lace 96; Dedillon 93FRIDAY MAY 13
Kilbeggan
7.45 Dollar Value 136; Railway Hurricane 135; Presenting Point(Res3) 133; Fest Diez 127; Kalkas 126; Faron D’Oudairies (Res1) 125; Weihnachts 121Leopardstown
8.30 Khezanna 112; Safecracker 109; Sheisahybrid 109; The Names Jock 105Thereabouts at Kilbeggan and realistically winner in first 3 or 4 is the target in Irish handicaps.
SATURDAY MAY 14
Wexford
2.30 Gladiatorial 133; January Jets 129; Ambitious Fellow 129; Buddy Rich 128; Francois 122
Navan
3.15 Arnhem 104; Blind Beggar 96; Ajax Tavern 92; Primo Uono 89; Dragons Call 84SUNDAY MAY 15
Naas
4.45 Recurrent Dream 96; Amortentia 89; Alooqaal 84; Barbapapa 82
5.15 Crystal Black 116; Ferrybank 106; Luke Short 104; Bucky Larson 103; Longbourn 99Killarney
3.30 Glan 153; Magnor Glory 144; Sit Down Lucy 143; Bread And Butter 142; Sil Ver Klass (Res2) 132; Celestial Horizon 126Not finding many winenrs at the moment, but there have been a few near misses. Ajax Tavern was third at 50/1 (after on poor run on softened ground, consistent otherwise), so looking in the right areas.
A couple of decent contests at Killarney tomorrow. Winter Fog has every chance on Cheltenham form but ran a duffer at Aintree. This is much easier than both of those races. Recite A Prayer looks strongest of the top rates in the Killarney National, a progressive novice with conditions that suit.
MONDAY MAY 16
Killarney
6.30 Winter Fog 151; Happy Jacky 141; Morosini 131; Hybery 128; Metersandmasks 124
7.30 Champagne Platinum 149; Recite A Prayer 146; Forza Milan 137; Darrens Hope 137; R’Evelyn Pleasure 135Nice win from Recite A Prayer yesterday, Darrens hope joint-second led until close home.
A very competitive event at Cork tomorrow.
WEDNESDAY MAY 18
Cork
6.10 Furnace Creek 98; Red Lacewing 97; Jarvis 96; Harmony Rose 95; Neo Soul 95; Amirat Alward 93FRIDAY MAY 20
Curragh
6.00 Visualisation 113; Bopedro 110; Charterhouse 107; Casanova 107; Fastnet Crown 107; Star Harbour 105; Probe 104; Mutasaref 104
7.10 Punk Poet 105; Walhaan 102; Verhoyen 99; Pale Iris 97; Ransom 88; Ampeson(Res2) 86
8.15 Prince Alex 99; Sheishybrid 98; Tashi 94; Zileo 94; Sionnach Eile 94; Moon Daisy 93; Band Of Outlaws 88SATURDAY MAY 21
Curragh
4.30 Ides Of August 113; Max Mayhem 112; Isle Of Sark 105; Summit Star 105; Golden Twilight 104; Finans Bay 103; Mosala 103
5.03 Fiach Mchugh 101; Mudamer 100; Solar Breeze 98; Torn 97; Dairerin 95; Strapped 94; Esculenta 94SUNDAY MAY 22
Curragh
2.10 Pirate Jenny 91; She’s In The Game 90; Zaajirah 86; Poppy Petal 85; Dragons Call 82; Affable 81; Theriverrunsdeep 81
4.20 Shelly Banks 102; Verhoyen 96; Lustown Baba 95; Rough Diamond 93; Moss Tucker 92; Additional 90; Carlton Banks 90
4.50 Juncture 110; Albula 106; Miss Mirabell 103; Dark Vega 100; Voice Of Angels 94A few winners in the mix of late despite some competitive racing. It’s nigh on impossible to make a profit but as long as placed and winners are figuring near the top then it gives soem chnace of cracking these races.
MONDAY MAY 23
Roscommon
6.30 Rosscarbery 100; Magic Chegaga 99; Empyrea 98; Dilawara 90; Dedillon 88SATURDAY MAY 28
Navan
4.00 Urban Oasis 98; Sun King 94; Supagirl 94; Simply Glorious 93; Yashin 91Punchestown
1.20 Zarkareva 139; Kildorrery 136; Jack Holiday 133; Espion Du Chenet 132
4.53 Hearts Are Trumps 139; Goulane Chosen 125; Bonarc 124; Family Business 123; Pike County 120SUNDAY MAY 29
4.50
4.50 Birchdale 166; Snugsborough Hall 151; Fine Attack 140; Kildorrery 136TUESDAY MAY 31
Ballinrobe
5.35 A Great View 147; Metersandmasks 138; Hewick 135; Enniskerry 133; Nibblers Charm 131
6.35 Champagne Platinum 149; Max Flamingo 146; Fully Charged 146; Ilikedwayurthinkin 145; Shady Operator 136; Bold Emperor 136Tipperary
7.15 Moss Tucker 94; Claonadh 86; Jarvis 85; Iva Batt 81WEDNESDAY JUNE 1
Curragh
6.45 Loveday 103; Sablonne 97; Thunder Eclipse 95; Neo Soul 94; Beautiful Sunshine 92
7.15 Shanroe 110; Benaud 105; Dame Rapide 103; Kazakdaria 103; Phoenix Cowboy 100; Crowns Major 99; No Say Ever 99
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