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I previously backed INVITATION ONLY at 25/1 win, who bolted up in a ptp and his owned by wylie
I also just backed battleford after winning his bumper at 33/1 ew I thought he won pretty well and will be in with a decent ew shout and is also owned by the wylies
Willie just confirmed he will be going to cheltenham.He’s been doing nice work at home, and we were very happy with him coming here. Patrick was happy with him and I’d say he will go to Cheltenham,” said Mullins after this bumper.
“Augusta Kate is being aimed at the mares bumper in Sandown but there is still a chance that she could go to Cheltenham instead. It will depend on how the race is shaping up.”
With augusta kate being lined up for Sandown and Michael o leary saying he won’t run any giggingstown horses in this, if he keeps to his word the bumper might not be such a big field this year,
Could be an English horse this year as the Irish don’t seem at all confident about anything in particular
This is a race I pacifically go to Cheltenham to watch, it is not the easiest of races to fathom out as we have seen over the years there are big prices to be had. Aspen Colorado is still uncertain he will appear with a run at Leopardstown still the target before the festival in five weeks time. if you take last year for example there was a lot of talk about Vigil, Bellshill, Yanworth and Supasundae all going there and the pundits speculating one of these was going to win the race, and I still feel we might not of seen the winner yet.
There is a competitive sales bumper race at Newbury coming up just 10 days before the festival and their are two enteredd in that Newbury race I am keeping an eye on ‘Bags Groove’ of Harry Fry’s and Louis Vac Pouch of Philip Hobbs who is what i have heard is a nice type. There is no guarantee any of these will turn up. As for Ireland winning it this year, If O’Brien gets it right with Aspen Colorado who will ride him ? Certainly has the best turn of foot I have seen in all the Irish and English bumpers over the past two months.
Darren P Goodbody
I’ve always liked the bumper that closes Newbury’s card on Schweppes day; well, ever since I noticed Monsignor staying on in it and consequently backing him at Cheltenham! I’ll keep an eye on that race for some key clues, although my current fancy is Criq Rock each-way.
Interesting that augusta kate been cut to 8s by paddies, another one for the bumper on my nrnb bet list.
Anyone know when nrnb is this year?usually end of the month from bet 365Possibly my favourite betting race, the whispers, the rumours, the never seen machine!
Moon Racer did me proud all the way from December through to my 8th bet on him 2 mins before the off!Ireland looks visually weak this year so reckon fair shout above re Hobbs and Fry horses. One I’ve been checking every Monday re entries is last years Tattrsalls bumper winner Castello Sforza. Great profile for this race – previous season experience, freshness and small owner that may want to come in under the radar. Form has been franked by some neck and death duty also. No run yet this season is obviously a concern – but keep the eyes peeled
If O’Leary would change his mind again on this race I’d be very interested in Lucky Pass.
Anyone know what Henderson had to say about Stowaway Magic?
We know he dislikes the Bumper but perhaps the actual owners might like a shot? The verdict didn’t show it but I think he won with a fair bit in hand. If he doesn’t go to Cheltenham this year he could easily be one for the novices next year.
Good performance by Ballyandy. He looks by far and away the most solid option in a year in which there hasn’t really been much to get excited about. Well done to anyone who took the each-way prices prior to yesterday’s race. Just a suspicion that on quicker ground one or two unexposed types might do him for pace but he should give it a decent go. You at least know with a Twiston-Davies runner that he isn’t going to be messing about at the back of the pack with the potential to hit trouble in running.
Over the past decade I have made the Wednesday and the Cheltenham bumper my main day of appearing at the meeting, its a race that I have enjoyed watching for future novices when making that transition to hurdles. Sadly this year will be the first time I will miss the meeting since 2005. I was asked by quiet a few people on twitter if I would be previewing the race this year even though I would not be attending in person.
I thought it would be rude not to and over the past couple of days I have been closely looking into the race from a couple of different angles and it has opened my eyes wide to find the results are quite profound when turning up the winner of the race. Well i better crack on then and bring in the four horses I feel should be feared in the race in March.
AURILLAC (25/1)
Rebecca Curtis’s six year old has already gone the novice hurdling route when finishing third to Nicky Henderson’s Pougne Bobbi at Chepstow, even though he was fourteen lengths off the front pair, he was probably taking on a couple of useful types on debut. He had already ran within two lengths to the heavily gambled for this race Ballyandy over course and distance around this sphere.
It is not guarantee that he will be diverted back to the level which is usually unlikely in this race, but the bumper he won over course and distance when I thought taking the scalp of a nice looking John Ferguson recruit in High Bridge when off level weights has been a useful bumper ,that has gone on to win this race which Moon Racer came out of last year, even the runner up Arabic History has gone on to handle a winning debut in the novice ranks after finishing runner up to Definitly Red in the Listed bumper later that year at the November meeting. It is difficult decision to see if they now keep him around the novice hurdling ranks, but if he did step back in he can seriously be considered.
BACARDY’S (20/1)
He is just one of thirteen runners for Willie Mullins to currently have standing in this. The son of Coastal Path won with something in hand at Leopardstown when fending off Grotesque by half a length. What has made me look more into that form is the fact the way he showed some impressive battling qualities to win that day. Winners of this bumper over the past few years have been tested to come off the bridle and to see what they have in the locker and attitude,
Bacardy did exactly that, he looked beaten coming into the final furlong and was even hampered in the process losing him another length, but he showed a gutsy attitude that will fit Cheltenham when push comes to shove up the Prestbury hill. He thought all the way to the line that day and coming into the final fifty yards he was always looked on top at the finish.
He really don’d fit the profile of a Champion Bumper winner being by Prix De Barbeville winning sire Coastal Path out of placed bumper mare Oasice, but what he does have is stamina from both sides of the family with the sire winning most of his races over two miles, but as I was saying about past winners, that bumper is well related which Silver Concorde won the same bumper before winning at Cheltenham.
HIGH BRIDGE (20/1)
This is a horse I have been screaming about for months, ever since when he beat Templeross of Nigel Twiston-Davies at Huntingdon by what looked a better eye catching than the just under four lengths suggests. The runner up did not take too long to get into the winning enclosure himself. The fourth that day was Mr Banks who once more has been subject of falling into another useful bumper when behind the likes of Philip Hobbs Westend Story who is a big price for this race.
I thought that run was smooth progress after he lost to Aurillac, but he looked even better when beating Peter Niven’s well thought of Atomix at Catterick a month later, he had improved massively to win by thirteen lengths, and with the third of Philip Hobbs Shambougg has franked that form as has Atomix it is looking strong form coming into the bumper this year which despite all the hype over Aspen Colorado and Ballyandy being gambled from 20/1 in to 8/1 after landing the Listed Newbury bumper back on the 13th February.
All of High Bridge’s runs around this sphere have been behind very good opposition which has also included the likes of OK Corral, he is another one that has been nibbled a bit with the firm Ladbrokes who have gone 33/1 into 16s, but is generally around the 20/1 market which if turning up I thought was great value in a race this year that looks so open.
AVELLINO (33/1)
He represents the Irish flag here from the Dermot McLaughlin stables whom i feel on form has a live outside chance, His form is solid coming into this race, lets not forget last year when the likes of Shanshill and Bellshill were expected to be in the mix and failed and with the nearest Irish contender being Dermot Weld’s Vigil, the Mullins horses did not figure.There is no reason though why a smaller unit cannot have a contender here.
Avellino finished behind Willie Mullin’s Lucky Pass on debut under rules and he was not far off with only two and a half lengths separating the front three which included Any Drama who went on to win at Thurles back in January. Lucky Pass is entered in the race and is more superior in the market, but there have been rumours that Lucky Pass might not be turning up in this years bumper and is destined to go hurdling.
He came out and proved his 40/1 odds against Lucky Pass was not fluke when winning at Down Royal on boxing day when beating Gordon Elliott’s Annihilate which is not working out to be a hot bumper, even so the winner Avellino was sent off as the 2/1jf that day and the market got it right with the joint favourites holding the top two spots in a race that can be over looked for talent.
Its the Fairyhouse win that makes a lot of appeal for me when beating Freeway Space who was surprisingly beaten yesterday by half a length, It’s not another hot bumper,but it has been a bumper that has produced a champion in Champagne Fever. Lets not forget Willie Mullin’s has won three of the past eight renewals of this race which has included two of the past four renewals with Champagne Fever and Briar Hill with the former going on the following year to land the Supreme Novices.
Since the no race back in 2001 the Irish have stole this race away from home soil returning a whopping 71% into the winning enclosure. over the past six seasons it is all square at three a piece and if i was going to say Ireland can land another win I just think it could come from a non Mullin’s contender.
AVELLINO : 1pt Each Way @ 33/1 (BET365)
HIGH BRIDGE : 1pt Each Way @ 20/1 (BET365)
BACARDY’S : 1pt Each Way @ 20/1 (BET365)
Darren P Goodbody
Great post ptwi.
It’s been an interesting week in bumper-land.
You could probably write a book about Castello Sforza and the change of ownership from one of the lads working for the sheik to JP. Add in the lack of an entry all season and the intrigue grows. Someone has been ploughing on obviously, gone from 20 to 10/1.Also just a few days ago, avenir dune vie was very impressive, giving serious kudos to harringtons New to this Town. Apparently this horse will only be Jessica’s 3rd ever champion bumper runner, the other two being Cork all star (won it) and Jezki! This one trading at 14/1 generally.
More to follow…Maybe Augusta Kate could be the first mare in years to win this with vibes from Mullins yard improving!
Aspen Colorado is not going to Cheltenham. I must say I wasn’t impressed by him last time and unless the Elliott newcomer was above average it didn’t look a Champion Bumper winner in waiting.
I think Coeur Blimey is the value at 12/1.
He beat Ballyandy when getting 7lbs and on the book that would be reversed, however he’s far from exposed and stayed on well that day. There could be more to come and I can’t see him bigger than 8/1 myself.
Coeur Blimey Mate!
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
That’s a fine post, PTW.
All I have to say about the Bumper is that last year’s winner looks very good value at 16snrnb in The Supreme!
I used to love this race but now would prefer to play the lottery.
how can you possibly have a clue what is going to win
That’s a fine post, PTW.
All I have to say about the Bumper is that last year’s winner looks very good value at 16snrnb in The Supreme!
Seriously? Even though it’s never run over hurdles before? Surely it’s lack of experience will find it out?
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