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Sick of the jumps season creeping up on me in mid-October every year, so had a decent look a month early (albeit more so on the British horses so far, since that’s a smaller sample with respect to this meeting).
Ahoy Senor strikes me as massively overpriced for the Brown Advisory To think he’d not even jumped a hurdle in public before the 1st of March last year. Form of that Ayr novice hurdle has been boosted by Itsnotyouitsme during the summer and I’d be a fan of Flower Of Scotland doing something next year. Then goes and wins at Aintree. Several underperformed, not claiming that form is better than anything Galopin Des Champs has done yet. And a lot of emphasis has to be placed on that “yet”. Caveat could be Lucinda trying to get him handicapped for the 2023 National but happy to take the chance. There’s a mix of 33s and 40s about.
Castlebawn West is on my radar for the Gold Cup. Won that Paddy Power off top weight. Concern obviously that he’s yet to race in 2021 and given the yard it’s hardly like we’ll be told if he’s injured for ages. Will hold off for now but you look through the market and half of these won’t be running (Shishkin & Allaho, for instance)
Shewearsitwell is 50/1 with Hills for the Champion Hurdle, 8 for the Mares. Think she’s an out and out 2 miler though. County Hurdle would also be an option, so not piling in but might include her in a couple of long range accas. Obviously has to prove she’s the same horse after an injury but think she’s something special. I can certainly leave 15/8 for Honeysuckle alone for now.
Hi Krypton Factor,
On one for the other threads someone posted about castlebawn West having a shin injury around Feb time. No update if hes fit and ready to race again that I’ve seen recently.
His performance to win that Leopardstown handicap was phenomenal and like you I had him on outside gold cup radar for 2021 and next year.
time will tell
Lucky 15
Minella Indo Gold cup
Third time Lucki Arkle
Nubre Negra Champion Chase
Allaho King George ……. I know this is Cheltenham bets but
I need to keep playing him in my multis for thisI’m following Gavin Lynch his bets from the Upping The Ante Show.
Albert Barlett – Blazing Khal 16/1
Stayers Hurdle – Buzz 8/1
Arkle – Ferny Hollow 9/1
Triumph – Fil d’Or 10/1
RSA – Galopin des Champs 7/1
Bumper – American Mike 11/2Champion Hurdle Appreciate It 7-1
Ballymore Dysart Dynamo 9-1
Ballymore Journey With me 7-1
Brown Advisory Galopin Des Champs 33-1 ew
Champion Chase Nube Negra 16-1 ew
CC/Arkle Shishkin 14-1
Gold Cup Monkfish
Gold Cup Envoi Allen cashed out
Gold Cup Galvin 16-1
Gold Cup Eklat De Rire 66-1 ew
Mares Chase Put The Kettle On 16-1Current book:
Supreme – Jonbon 33/1,10/1,8/1,7/1,5/1
– constitution hill 12/1,11/2
– I am maximus 20/1Arkle – ferny hollow 7/2
Champion hurdle – honeysuckle 7/4 (multiples only)
Festival novice chase – GDC 5/1
– BMG 5/1Champion Chase – Shishkin 20/1 arkle/cc, 9/2, 7/4
Marsh – Bob Olinger 11/4
Stayers – champ 20/1
– thyme hill 12/1
– buzz 6/1Albert Bartlett – blazing khal 20/1,15/1,10/1
– barsenstown lad 27/1Gold cup – monkfish 7/1,9/2
Very happy so far with just monkfish and buzz only ones letting me down really. Others all seem to be working out well so far
Thought i had posted in here already but clearly not. My current bets:
E/w 4 fold
Largy Debut / Supreme – 16/1
Magic Daze / Arkle – 33/1
Ramillies / Albert Bartlett – 33/1
Flooring Porter / Stayers – 12/1E/w double
Vanillier / BANC – 16/1
Captain Guinness / Ryanair – 50/1Treble
Pogocar / Tour De France 7/2 (already won)
Honeysuckle / Champion Hurdle 7/4
Journey With Me / Ballymore 16/1Singles
Magic Daze / Arkle – 66/1
Galvin – Cross Country – 12/1
Frodon was bang on for the Irish race , Nicholls also keeps horses for Aintree , no Mullins/Elliot/HDB , ID guess the bowl will be Frodon’s target
NH Chase Dickie Diver 33-1 ew
QMCC Nube Negra 12-1
QMCC Funamble Sivola 33-1 ew nrnb
Stayers Hurdle Lisnagar Oscar 100-1 ew
Gold Cup Aye Right 100-1 ew nrnb
Gold Cup Chatham Street Lad 66-1 ew nrnb
Mares Chase Mount Ida 7-1 nrnbSupreme – SIR GERHARD 8/1 ew
DYSART DYNAMO 20/1 ewArkle – FERNY HOLLOW 8/1
BLUE LORD 25/1
APPRECIATE IT 6/1 XXXChampion – HONEYSUCKLE 3/1
APPRECIATE IT 7/1Mares Hurdle – TELLMESOMETHING GIRL 10/1 ew
NH Chase – VANILLER 12/1 ew
Ballymore – DYSART DYNAMO 12/1 ew
KILCRUIT 12/1 ew XXFestival Novice Chase – GALOPIN DES CHAMPS 12-8-7-6/1 ew
AHOY SENOR 25/1 ewChampion Chase – ENERGUMENE – 12/1 ew and 5/1
ENVOI ALLEN 18/1 ewCross Country – AJAS 12/1 ew
Champion Bumper – AMERICAN MIKE 5/1
Turners Novice Chase – Bob Olinger 5/2
Ryanair – ALLAHO 3/1
SAINT CALVADOS 14/1 ewStayers Hurdle – FLOORING PORTER 9/1 ew
Mares Novice Hurdle – GRANGEE 10/1 ew
NURSE SUSAN 16/1 ewPertemps Handicap Hurdle – DUFFLE COAT 25/1 ew (not qualified yet)
GOLD CUP – A PLUS TARD 6/1, 4/1
MINELLA INDO 6/1
AHOY SENOR 66/1 ew
MONKFISH 6/1 XXMares Chase – ELIMAY 8/1 ew
To win any race – FLOUEUR 16/1 ew
The best bet at the moment is a nice Lucky 15 –
FERNY 4/1
GALOPIN 8/1
OLINGER 2/1
ALLAHO 9/4All have to get there and that’s half the battle
Ryanair Chatham Street Lad 50/1 ew nrnb
Queen Mother – Dunvegan 66/1 ew nrnb
Stayers Abacadabras 33/1 ew
Ballymore – Dysart Dynamo 12/1
Arkle – Blue Lord 9/1
Champion Hurdle – Appreciate It 7/1
Mares Chase – Mount Ida 7/1
Turner – Haut En Couleurs 16/1
Gold Cup – Al Boum Photo 16/1
Brown Advisory – Fury Road 10/1
Kim Muir – Glenloe 20/1
Pertemps – Sporting John 20/1Anyone heard any rumours about where/if shan blue is likely to turn up at the festival this year?
Memories of the Charlie hall are still giving me nightmares for the fall but a mild form of arousal about what could be to come!
According to this article on the Sporting Life web-site he’s on course for the Ryanair – http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news/ryanair-chase-preview-shan-blue-on-target/197645
Get on!Connections would be mental not to have a got at a big handicap pot with Shan Blue before moving on to the Grade 1’s. He must be 15-20lb well in off 148.
BUY THE SUN
If Shan Blue runs in the Ryanair, the bookmakers should open a market on how far from home Skelton commits him and asks for maximum effort. I will go for somewhere around those two fences at the top of the hill.
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