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Ham defi beat UDS on the bit , watch the race Barry went by him without asking a question , for me there’s to many questions about the 2nd fav , I’m more worried about dynamite dollars but I played him a few weeks back so hopefully the bases are covered
Defi is very very solid and can win. I do think his rating is inflated though. Un de Sceaux is 12 and performed well below song last day if the prsence of Marracuja in 3rd is anything to judge by.
Chacun is probably a better horse IMO. Dynamite Dollars is the one who should be backed at the odds. He achieved some very good things at 5 and you know how these animals can improve from then.
SHL
I’ve had a few good wins on Defi’ but I don’t see why he should be favourite over Chacun. Latter doesn’t have the Cheltenham experience but did beat Defi in Ireland last year… and with more scope for improvement. Not convinced the run of the race will help Defi (a hold up horse) either. The others don’t stand much chance of beating these two in a truly run affair. So unless Chacun goes on at a good pace (and why should he make it easy for Defi) so this may prove tactical. Chacun racing more prominently could be in a better posi’ for when the pace quickens. Defi has come back to 2m from the intermediate trip and imo doesn’t have as much speed as Chacun. Because of this – despite Defi’s excellent Cheltenham record (which is worth a lot) I’d have Chacun as marginal favourite and have backed him at 1.6/1…
Dynamite Dollars ran well against Altior in the Game Spirit and may be able to progress again; but proximity to the great horse was imo flattering (Altior not at his best). So DD has a lot of improvement to make. Politologue has reportedly had a lot of problems and may do better at Aintree. Bun Doran not good enough.
…If I’m right about pace in the race 20/1+ looks worth a small wager on Sceau Royal. Travels with ease through races and might look as though he’s a real threat at some stage. A pre-race bet to lay in running for profit?
Value Is Everything…If I’m right about pace in the race 20/1+ looks worth a small wager on Sceau Royal. Travels with ease through races and might look as though he’s a real threat at some stage. A pre-race bet to lay in running for profit?
He can be a bit of mule on that ground though. If it drys up sufficiently, who knows.
SHL
Is a slight worry, SHL; Sceau Royal doesn’t act on very very soft/heavy. However, they didn’t seem to be finishing dog tired yesterday. Bound to have dried a little from the officially Soft, heavy in places and… Last year it was soft (times back it up) and he travelled well and finished third to Altior (1 3/4 behind second placed Politologue). ie running at least as well in defeat as has for any victory on good-soft or good.
Do agree off a fast pace on soft ground it blunts his speed (not as effective in those circumstances). However – in a slower run race on soft like this race looks likely to be – soft ground should imo not be a problem.
Value Is EverythingWell its gone from being the race of the festival to a bit of a non event!!
It is a shame but hey ho that’s racing.On a different point I think HDB should be gutted he took A Plus Tard out of this as he would have had a serious chance of winning and would probably have finished second at worst!
Losing both my AP bets in the space of 2 days is gutting but oh well.
No reason HDB he should be gutted. He could easily have come second to Defi, and he has a great chance in the Ryanair in my opinion.
From a racecpoint of view it’s disappointing , from a betting point of view I’ve a number of tickets with 7/2/4-1 defi and 2 with dynamite dollars at 20-1 …..it’s the stuff of Cheltenham dreams
This race has cut up badly, but still nervous for my Ante Post bet here.
The best things in life are free.
But you can give them to the birds and bees.Not one to get involved in, if you don’t already have an Ante Post bet, in my opinion. So well done and best of luck Green hope he comes second to the fav.
The best things in life are free.
But you can give them to the birds and bees.Wonder what Henderson and Mullins were thinking after watching that.
Wd if you found that one.Going from cocky to defeated in 3 fences ….that’s spoiled a good day so far for me …onwards and upwards
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