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Entries…..
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/38/newmarket/2022-09-24/817911
https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat/cambridgeshire-handicap/winner
Usual minefield at this stage, but the two I really like early are Lord Protector, and particularly Operating.
Operating caught the eye l earlier in season, and certainly had races like this in mind. Lord Protector fair caught the eye last time at Goodwood.
Both entered up Friday, and of the pair, took the early 25’s on Operating, though not ruled out both. Think he could end up decent, though there’s the obvious chance he could step outwith handicaps.
Market leader Jimi Hendrix interests me too, while Rogue Bear at 33’s, and Austrian Theory at 50’s also jump out. Rogue Bear surely can’t be worse than last time
Operating 25’s (Cashed out with the sales info beforehand)
Lord ProtectorSaga is possibly a shade high in the weights here, but if declared on Monday, then I might be tempted to have an early bet. Currently 25-1
It looks like the five-day confirmations have been delayed.
Hardly original, but Mujtaba is 3lb “well in,” even with his 4lb penalty, and looks the one they all have to beat.
Staying 1m2f is no bad thing in the Cambridgeshire which is a straight 1m1f contest with a huge field run at a brutal pace.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"44 confirmed entries including Mujtaba.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Still like the idea of Austrian Theory and Jimi Hendrix here from initial entry stage, but after dodging a bullet with Operating, I’ll wait till Thursday at the earliest.
Was looking at Yaaser way down the bottom, and he’s still on the shortlist, but in the end, started to warm to stablemate Geremia. Has real issue out the stall, but if he can get away with the rest, he’s got the potential to get involved. Big price at 66’s if he does jump out, but no bet for now.
Final Decs
I’ll stick with Geremia, but I’ll only bet him after the off, if he gets the start right. No Bet29 declared.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"Ryan Moore is an eye catching booking by Sean Woods, so I have backed Savvy Victory.
Will add something else on the day.
Mujtaba has a favourite’s chance, but at much longer odds Caradoc is thrown in on old form and has shown glimmers in the John Smith’s Cup and Chesterfield Cup this season.
40/1 plus if you shop around.
Win only obviously.
Betting each-way is indicative of a lack of moral fibre.
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"What happened to the previous each-way BOG etc etc bet you put up, Mike?
Cashed out for a full stop return?
These threads just get more and more confusing!
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"There’s definitely been a high (nearside) bias in this the last few years which shouldn’t make sense on a straight track where the stalls are in the centre, last year they split into 2 groups with the nearside the slightly larger of the 2 groups (I think it was 11 vs 16) but actually the pace carried through both sides for a long way. You can’t really pin it down to the market either as the last two winners were huge prices.
I’ve tried to ignore the draw this year and I wanted to ignore it here because it has been so obvious that surely the market latches onto everything drawn higher at the expense of those drawn low and if you like one drawn high you’re probably getting a lower price than you ought to, conversely you might get more value than you expect for something drawn low. I also suspect the clerk may overwater the nearside to try and balance things out, nothing worse than people complaining your heritage handicap has a blatant track bias and half the runners may as well stay at home even if they are well handicapped.
Saying all of that the jockeys are notoriously fickle and I guarantee you if they think there is a bias then 75% of the field will go that way and make it impossible for something racing on the far side to win, its almost a self-fulfilling prophecy. We saw it in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot, jockeys think there is a high bias, they’ll all go that way and make it so it can only be an advantage to race on that side. The real kicker is that from what I can tell there is next to no pace drawn in the lowest third of this field.
If you like Protagonist you’d say he’s lead recently but they’ve been in very small fields and he strikes me as one who is reluctant to lead. I suspect Marquand will have no choice again from his draw. You either go forward up that far side or concede significant ground to go the other way. As it is I thought Dual Identity was thrown in but I hate his draw and I’m going to need something pretty big in his price to compensate for those concerns.
(Obviously something low wins now
but my advice is always watch back previous renewals if you haven’t already)I’ve spent the season alongside with Scottish paddock side mob slagging off Geremia for being the hold up horse that always arrives too late. But the pace of this race is likely be set up for him to pick them off and can’t resist a little tickle at e/w 66/1 with 8 places (Skybet).
I have Jimi Hendrix top rated. Happy to forgive a duff run at Goodwood which is a course which has many messy races when they race around the bend. Previous form puts him right in with a chance here.
Protagonist looks to have been targeted at this race and has very solid handicap form this season.
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