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Cambridgeshire 2011

Home Forums Big Races – Discussion Cambridgeshire 2011

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  • #19550
    • Total Posts 5936

    Any thoughts normally goes to a lighty raced horse who be in group races the following year like Pipedreamer.I think a horse who raced in Group races this year will win this handicap.


    Was behind Pour Moi in France but also impressive yesterday when a 2nd to King Tourus at a 1m. but the extra furlong will suit him in this race.Any thoughts from you guys

    • Total Posts 5936

    Any thoughts on the Cambridgeshire not long now to race it is.

    • Total Posts 4525

    Interesting to see the support for Cry Fury after enjoying his last piece of work at Doncaster.

    • Total Posts 5936

    Do you guys think Dare To Dance will run

    And QUESTIONING being cut across the boards i hope he gets a good draw i do.

    • Total Posts 1891

    Interesting to see the support for Cry Fury after enjoying his last piece of work at Doncaster.

    Yes, I’ve been curious about the weight of money for him, Stilvi, in the light of his not that spectacular form, I should have thought.

    Big BucksBig Bucks
    • Total Posts 1046

    a race lacking in quality, it seems

    Constant Contact 50s
    Stevie Thunder 40s

    whether i bother to back em is an entirely different ball game :lol:

    • Total Posts 14

    Now that the decs are out, I’ve run them through a computer program I have that generates ratings and an odds line. The top 9 rated horses and their odds(100% book)are:

    Questioning 7/1
    Stevie Thunder 7/1
    Dare To Dance 9/1
    First Post 9/1
    Albaqaa 14/1
    Pintura 16/1
    Nanton 20/1
    Circumvent 20/1
    Shavansky 20/1

    I think Questioning has a lot of improvement in him and is the most likely winner . But at the available prices Stevie Thunder, First Post and Albaqaa all look interesting each way ( 5 places).

    ST ran very well in this race in 2009 , finishing 6th, beaten 3.5 lengths. He didnt seem to get home that day but looked a stronger horse when staying on well to win over a mile on good to soft ground lto. Has won on fast ground; 40/1 is available.

    FP ran 4th in the best trial for this at Newbury last saturday, in contention before running out of petrol inside the last. Drop back to 9f should help if that race hasn’t bottomed him. Going is no problem; 50/1 is very big.

    Albaqaa looked a big improver when winning at Goodwood lto. Has been kept for this and trip/going are fine; 25/1 is generous.

    Haven’t taken account of any potential draw bias in this. That could ruin everything as could a going change.

    • Total Posts 182

    On Stevie Thunder e/w at 40s (Bet365 paying 1/4 odds 1st 5 and NRNB from this afternoon).

    The horse’s apprentice jockey, Ryan Clarke, is a v exciting prospect IMO.

    • Total Posts 189

    Maraheb for me, Johnny M riding, lightly raced, stable in form, seems to go on any ground, 23/1 on Betfair. Go Johnny Go

    • Total Posts 444

    I like Shavansky (50s), First Post (40s), Sagramore (16s) and Desert Romance (50s), all each way with SkyBet (6 Places) except Sagramore (AP). I haven’t done a huge amount of digging for the race though so I’ll need luck on my side more than ever!

    Good luck with Questioning, looks a great price now darren.

    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    • Total Posts 17586

    Going for Nanton here, just ahead of Crown Counsel who seems huge @ 66’s. Nanton @ 40’s seems a really decent e/w price. Always like to keep an eye on the trainers runners in races like these. Hasn’t run over this trip since 3rd in this 2 years ago, but at least it shouldn’t be too much of a drawback. Really encouraging effort last time out too.

    Not surprised to see interest in Stevie Thunder, think he’s got a real chance, as well as another of the rags, Prince of Johanne.

    You can’t bet em all though so I’ll stick with Nanton, as main bet, and also Crown Counsel.

    Good luck all.

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    Nanton [c’mon Nanton!], Nice Style and Albaqaa.

    • Total Posts 3121

    Pendragon for me e/w. He’s run well before in big handicaps, will be staying on at the end and likes fast ground.

    sporting sam
    • Total Posts 664

    Nanton has a good record in this race.
    Nice Style meets most of the trends of previous winners.
    Credit Swap defied some written in stone trends last year beating a penalty and 5yrs old so as a six year old could cause an upset again. These three against the field and the talking horses for me.

    • Total Posts 1665

    Have had a little ew on Circumvent at 33/1, seems to be running into form, not badly treated by the handicapper.

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