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Got a bit of the 20/1 on Gilgamesh earlier today on Bet365 – 10s generally now. Got squeezed out a bit when looking to make up some ground on Saturday and should be better suited switching back to the 7 furlongs.
Thanks for the reminder Weekender69, been meaning to look at this market as I had one in mind.
Cape Byron 20/1 365.
Travelled very well and I think just didn’t stay the stiff mile. Back to this easier 7F looks perfect for him.
Quite keen on Ekhtiyaar for this, and also Carolinae, while if the rain came, which is unlikely, then I’d be really keen on Accession.
Definitely holding off for now though.
I do think Gilgamesh looks a good bet for this and at a general 8/1 now still seems a fair price, but I think I’ll hold on having anything down on him just yet. There’s a few I like the look of, I think Taurean Star (33/1) would be interesting, especially back on a sounder surface as he didn’t seem to relish conditions at Epsom and was previously a good winner off 89 at Goodwood. I backed Via Serendipity last time and would probably go in again should he get in (20/1) as she showed enough to say he’s progressing all the time. Raising Sand (20/1) has been well punted recently and shapes like he has a race like this in him. Mjjack (25/1) continues to be consistently admirable and should go close again as should Accession (33/1) who is another course and distance winner. Mukalal (33/1) ran very well in the Hunt Cup for a long way having his first run since a wid op and will be interesting if connections send him here next. But the one for me at the moment is Ultimate Avenue who was drawn poorly at the Royal meeting and was previously consistent. He’s run very well in this race in the past and at 50/1 looks overpriced.
Ultimate Avenue 50/1 (e/w – 4 places with Bet365)
I’ve went for Wahash here at 40’s. I think this is his trip, and hopefully he’ll be allowed to take his chance, should he sneak in.
Looks a fair price to me, but I’ll still add another no doubt, and swaying towards Speculative Bid as backup.
Wahash 40’s Each way
I have backed two at big prices.
RECKLESS ENDEAVOUR at 50/1 Jamie Osborne hasn’t had a winner for over three weeks and maybe this is the one to get him off the cold list!! LOL
ICE LORD at 33/1. This one looks to me to have been aimed at this and has had two runs this season to get him fit having ran three good races last backend!
Firmament 25/1
Travelled extremely well through the Hunt Cup before needing to switch when meeting traffic as he was about to begin his challenge. On a decent mark and ran well at the course before.
I have to think that Tupi (33/1) is in with a bit of a shout here. You have
to go back a while, April last year, to find the last time he got his head in front. It was
in a listed race at Doncaster over 6f where he absolutely hacked up off a mark of 101 with
Ryan Moore on his back. Delving into his form you’d have to go back to July 2015 for his
previous win, in the Henry Cecil stakes over 1m g/f at Newmarket on the July course. That
was off a mark of 107. He’s been highly tried in very decent races, and although his results
over the past year or so, 26607638/9041660397-44003, don’t exactly look encouraging, he’s
shown he can mix it with decent sorts, such as his run in the Group 1 Diamond Jubilee Stakes
at Ascot last year where he was a bit unlucky not getting room until late, but finished well
in 6th, just over 3L behind The Tin Man, off a mark of 108. He ran in the Group1 Prix Maurice
de Gheest over 6 1/2f last August and finished a running on 3rd, 2 1/4L behind Brando, with
the likes of Magical Memory, Signs of Blessing and Caravaggio behind. After a bit of a break
he didn’t do much in the Wokingham last month, held up behind a wall of horses by Ryan Moore
and didn’t get involved. Last time out he missed the kick at Windsor and gave himself a bit
to do, but kept of for 3rd. He runs off 93 in this, which is the lowest mark he has ever run
off. If you consider that off level weights, he ran Brando to 2 1/4 lengths in the Group1 race
I mentioned above at Deauville last backend, and that one is rated 114, then he has to be
considered. I’ve taken the 33s, and I’m waiting to see what the jockey arrangement is, but if
the likes of Moore, De Sousa or Doyle, who have all ridden him, get jocked up, I think that
would be pointer that Hannon fancies this a bit. My money is down so I’m keeping my fingers
crossed he turns up for this.Having watched the racing today I think you may need a high draw for this and having already backed two at big prices I have gone for two more at big prices but they both have a high draw.
BURNT SUGAR 28/1 looked a little unlucky to me in the hunt cup and stayed on without troubling the judge.
The other one is MOUNTAIN RESCUE 33/1 who won nicely over course and distance before blowing out at Royal Ascot.
Cracking price with Gilgamesh Westender.
I like Mubtasim for this. Wide open race though. Mukalal is running for the second type after a wind op which makes him a danger in my view.
Mubtasim @ 9/1
I’m with you on MOUNTAIN RESCUE Raymo, he loves Newmarket and performs well on both the July Course and The Rowley Mile.
My each way choice is Speculative Bid with Gerald Mosse on board often successful when teaming up with David ElsworthIt’s a really tricky race and let’s hope the bookies pay out on 5 places tomorrow…Jac
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...Spanish City 12/1 second play.
Ran well LTO and looks well handicapped if he can step forward from that initial run.Shame that Ultimate Avenue is a no show but nothing has changed my opinion about Gilgamesh who looks ideal for this race. The main danger could be Mukalal who showed up well for a long time in the hunt cup and this is his second run after wind surgery. Gilgamesh (5/1) & Mukalal (15/2).
Cracking winner Raymo, you didn’t half beat the bookie with an
outstanding 28/1…..returned 7/1. Well done mate
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