Home › Forums › Betting Chat – Bets & Tips › Big Confident Bet 2014
- This topic has 51 replies, 13 voices, and was last updated 10 years, 6 months ago by rich1985.
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May 11, 2014 at 15:37 #478753
You’re not filling me with much confidence Roo but I looking at the market it’s the one to be on so will chuck a fiver on.
May 11, 2014 at 16:06 #478757?
May 11, 2014 at 16:06 #478758No bet today lads. Not saying it wont win but dont have the confidence to put 10k on it, too many unknowns. Good luck if anyone plays today but Im not.
May 11, 2014 at 16:15 #478761Fair play Roo. Horse now drifting in the betting so not much confidence in the market. Hope you have another tip soon as I could do with a winner
May 11, 2014 at 16:23 #478762I don’t get it Roo, build up the horse for weeks then when it’s out you don’t back it? If there was a problem it should’ve been withdrawn.
May 11, 2014 at 16:54 #478769rich1985. Before I place or recommend a bet I go through a strick due dilligence process, only when the confidence levels are high do I act. If they are not high I do not put money down. If you have followed my threads you will understand that I am an investor and not a gambler. I have no emotion when it comes to putting my money down and thats what seperates me from a mug punter.
May 11, 2014 at 17:52 #478774Looking forward to the next one might put a few k down myself
May 11, 2014 at 19:02 #478778I don’t get it Roo, build up the horse for weeks then when it’s out you don’t back it? If there was a problem it should’ve been withdrawn.
Call me a "skeptic" Rich…
Could it be a case of…
These bumpers are often uncompetitive events.
Build a horse up with "confidence" and glowing reports…
If horse is odds-on on the day (ielikely winner
) say "back it with £10,000" and look as though you know about the horse/racing when it
wins
.
If odds-against (ieunlikely winner
) say "don’t back it", and again look as though you know about the horse when it does
not
win.
Rooney may or may not be genuine, but I never fall for this confidence thing and this looks suspicious.
Value Is EverythingMay 11, 2014 at 19:50 #478783He puts them up before they are even in a race though?
May 11, 2014 at 20:54 #478794Just read through this thread Thought I was on the betfair forum.
May 11, 2014 at 21:04 #478796If he builds up a lead he may down tools…….
Told you.
He looked greener then a boo-ger out of a cabbage patch doll. At one stage he looked like a nervous kitten starring down a wide opened mouth of a Rottweiler.
Blackbeard to conquer the World
May 11, 2014 at 21:33 #478801People with genuine inside information keep it to themselves and get on with the business.
Why would anyone advertise their information to total strangers?
I can just see Barney Curley coming on here to let all and sundry know about his next four horse coup.
As Nathan said, this Brick Layer soon threw the "trowel" in
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
May 12, 2014 at 06:01 #478823Look, some of you on here have the attention span of a gnat. I have recommended 3 bets .
Malekat Jamel – Had races 10 times before, I advised at 13-8, it won at 11-10
Smart Payer – Ran in a maiden, beaten 13 lengths, turned out a week later in a seller, advised at 15-8, it won at 11-10
Stonebrook – Finished 3rd in a bumper in Ireland, won first time out after I recommended it on here weeks in advance. Thats a 100% strike rate and I put them up before the moneys down.
Brick Layer was not recommended as a bet.
Brick Layer was the first unraced horse I have talked about, the due dillegence process was set a high bar, and it was not met. I was very clear on Friday that I would not hesitate to recommend a ‘no bet’ if everything was not right. You all had multiple updates yesterday and should learn from the disiplined approach and the ability to not have a bet.This thread will run until the next big confident bet, which will be very soon.
May 12, 2014 at 15:42 #478863Look, some of you on here have the attention span of a gnat. I have recommended 3 bets .
Malekat Jamel – Had races 10 times before, I advised at 13-8, it won at 11-10
Smart Payer – Ran in a maiden, beaten 13 lengths, turned out a week later in a seller, advised at 15-8, it won at 11-10
Stonebrook – Finished 3rd in a bumper in Ireland, won first time out after I recommended it on here weeks in advance. Thats a 100% strike rate and I put them up before the moneys down.
Brick Layer was not recommended as a bet.
Brick Layer was the first unraced horse I have talked about, the due dillegence process was set a high bar, and it was not met. I was very clear on Friday that I would not hesitate to recommend a ‘no bet’ if everything was not right. You all had multiple updates yesterday and should learn from the disiplined approach and the ability to not have a bet.This thread will run until the next big confident bet, which will be very soon.
Why would you bother to tip a horse up on here? There is nothing to be gained by telling other people other than drawing attention to the horse and making a poorer price more likely. 3 short priced horses is hardly Nostrodamus stuff.
Oh yes and who was that horse Stonebrook ran behind in a bumper? Oh right, just a wee cuddy called Faugheen. They really kept that winner under the radar didn’t they.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
May 12, 2014 at 16:29 #478867Three winners from three selections seems like a genuine effort to me-regardless of final SP. One could equally make a name for oneself laying shorties for equal kudos so three winning bets deserves some recognition. When he can add a little humour and theatrics then it makes it an interesting thread.
A posting on a web forum such as this is unlikely to affect odds or SP when the horse chosen is likely to start at short odds so fair play to Roo for his efforts. Its particularly interesting the most recent horse drifted like the proverbial snow storm when he advised against a punt (lay opportunity arguably?) so one can hardly quibble with the probity of any selection thus far? Its also possible/probable he will already have his own bet placed before finally releasing the final word.
Now on the vexed question of why one would pass on genuine inside information?
One could be influenced by philanthropy, vanity, charity or just being a "good sport" but whatever the motivation I say "well done, that man!" "Good information" is, in any event, available every day in the betting markets and learning to decipher this particular riddle is just part of the overall enjoyment of tilting at the ring. Finally, without reviewing each race minutely it does seem like the confidence behind at least two of previous selections did suggest there was more to the support that the mere form book.
More of the same please!
May 12, 2014 at 17:17 #478869Well said Royal Academy, totally agree!!
I would also add that at the end of the day we can all choose to either go with the selection or leave alone. We are all big enough and ugly enough, well I am anyway , to make our own decisions. I know I would get a buzz if the horse won but if it lost it would only be me to blame for losing my dough.
As the current stats show 3 winners from 3 selections I would also be happy to find out "The next Big Confident Bet 2014". Keep it coming!
May 12, 2014 at 18:58 #478874Carry on lads and enjoy your next odds on winner.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
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