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Dandy Nicholls is always the place to start having won last years race and half of the previous 10 runnings of the race. Dandy hasn’t had the year he would have hoped this time round and I’m going to leave his alone for now.
Hoof It get 10-5 but it’s not clear whether he’ll be there on the day. If he is then Regal Parade makes some appeal at 25/1. Still hard to bet confidently AP with a horse that wants cut at a track that provides cut fairly reliably. The form of the yard exacerbates that inclination.
I’m very interested in Kaldoun Kingdom here at 33/1. Fahey has a decent record in the race and his previous winner has a similar profile to Kaldoun Kingdom. Fonthill Road ran in the Silver Cup in 04 and then finished second in the Gold Cup the following year before winning it in 06. Kaldoun won the Silver Cup in 09 and had a had a rough time of it off a high mark last year but ran well off 97 claiming 7lbs last time and looks to have the pattern of a horse being prepared for the race at Ayr. The other Fahey horse I’d keep on side is Brave Prospector who has fallen in the weights aswell and has won at Donny and York off his current mark and higher. His impact since joining Fahey has been minimal though and not as appealing at Kaldoun Kingdom.
Those are my initial thoughts. Can’t see the weights because the RP card isn’t coming up for me but a horse of 98 should be carrying around 8-11.
One of those nightmare races that draws me in like a moth !! ground ? the draw ? high enough to get in ?
Kanaf ran a stormer last time at York , but a few of the fancied runners my go in the Portland.
The Great St Wilfred could prove a good pointer and Our Jonathan caught my eye. Wouldnt mind soft ground and at 20’s e/way he may be my ante post punt.Quite fancy Son of the Cat in this. Won well at Goodwood earlier this summer and then ran a smashing race at Newmarket last week when he ran on well for 2nd after initially being outpaced.
He had Macs Power behind him that day (listed race).
Son of the Cat has definately improved this summer. He enjoys the hurly burly of a big field handicap and is still relatively lightly raced.
Macs Power is 12s, Son of the Cat is 25s!
Just need to be sure Brian Gubby will go for this.
If Parisian Pyramid wins at York today, the resultant penalty should ensure he gets a run in the Gold Cup when I think he would be a decent EW prospect.
I’ve come round to the fact that that Kaldoun Kingdom won’t get in.
Parisin Pyramid doesn’t go well at Ayr and can’t see him winning the AGC off the mark he’ll be required to race off. I’m all over him today though.
Waffle
is much better than his effort on the weekend. He is now over priced at 25/1 for the feature at Ayr which ought to be run on much easier ground. Same goes for
Dungannon
who’s now 33/1. Both are guaranteed runs.
Last bet in the race for me is
Croisultan
who I backed last night with Bet365 at 50/1. They shortened it but he’s available with other firms at that price. Worth closer inspection I suggest.
Parisian Pyramid
in the
Silver Cup
is another matter altogether. 16/1 looks generous after the two displays he’s after putting up. Wrong side in the Great St Wilfrid and beaten by Internationaldebut last time who went on the trash another big field next time at Doncaster. Should be pushing for favouritism or at least just behind York Glory if you ask me.
Which race will NASRI be in i think he has a big chance in either race.
And i think MACS POWER will win Gold cup.
Well, Lenabane didn’t win BB
and I had him on the nose @ 20/1 Kaldoun Kingdom
can finish in the first 4 but
Croisultan
is the one I’ll be urging on Saturday
This could be the beginning of a punting relationship BB
Our Johnathan in the gold
Parisan Pyramid in the Silver
Cheveton in the bronzethat was easy
1.Castles In The Air
2.Light From Mars
3.Brave Prospector
4.Kaldoun Kingdom
5.Mayson
6.High Standing
7.Croisultan
8.Mac’s Power
9.Son Of The Cat
10.Majestic Myles
11.Pepper Lane
12.Our Jonathan
13.Ancient Cross
14.Darajaat
15.Colonel Mak
16.Eton Rifles
17.Waffle
18.Dungannon
19.Evens And Odds
20.Hawkeyethenoo
21.Tajneed
22.Pastoral Player
23.Below Zero
24.Group Therapy
25.Anne Of Kiev
26.Breathless Kiss
27.Regal ParadeI took a look at The Ayr Gold Cup and put the speed figures of every race run this year into a spread sheet and they added up to 187 races.
My par for a Class 2 race is
96
so any horse that did not achieve this figure was eliminated, leaving 27 races.
I have to mention while doing this task, a dark horse of Richard Fahey’s jumped off the page and that was
Mayson
, his only speed figure this season was
92
, he is bound to improve on this figure and it looks like he has been laid out for the race.
Ayr Gold Cup:
Regal Parade 11-May-11 Yor 6Gd C1G2 56K
111
Ancient Cross 24-Jun-11 Ncs 5GS C2Hc 9K
107
Son Of The Cat 30-Jul-11 Goo 6GF C2Hc 18K
106
Group Therapy 21-May-11 Hay 5GF C1G2 45K
106
Waffle 18-Jun-11 Asc 6Sft C2Hc 62K
105
Majestic Myles 20-Aug-11 Yor 7Gd C1L 23K
104
Mac’s Power 14-May-11 Nby 6GF C2Hc 7K
103
Our Jonathan 13-Aug-11 Rip 6GS C2Hc 43K
102
Eton Rifles 03-Sep-11 Asc 7Gd C2Hc 51K
101
Eton Rifles 27-Aug-11 Goo 7GS C2Hc 62K
101
Colonel Mak 26-Aug-11 Ffo 6GS C2Hc 11K
101
Pastoral Player 18-Jun-11 Asc 6Sft C2Hc 62K
101
Pepper Lane 13-Aug-11 Rip 6GS C2Hc 43K
99
Tajneed 23-Jul-11 Yor 6Gd C2Hc 32K
99
Mac’s Power 30-Jul-11 Goo 6GF C2Hc 62K
98
Majestic Myles 15-Jun-11 Asc 7Gd C13yG3 39K
98
Our Jonathan 13-May-11 Yor 6GF C2Hc 12K
98
Pastoral Player 03-Sep-11 Asc 7Gd C2Hc 51K
98
Pastoral Player 30-Jul-11 Goo 6GF C2Hc 62K
98
Group Therapy 28-Jul-11 Goo 5GF C1G2 48K
98
High Standing 02-Jul-11 Hay 6GF C3 8K
98
Light From Mars 16-Apr-11 Nby 8GF C2Hc 18K
98
Light From Mars 12-May-11 Yor 8Gd C1HcL 17K
97
Tajneed 04-Jun-11 Eps 6GF C2Hc 12K
96
Anne Of Kiev 21-May-11 Hay 6GF C1L 17K
96
Evens And Odds 30-Apr-11 Nmk 5GF C1G3 28K
96
Brave Prospector 04-Feb-11 Wol 6St C4 3K
96
Mayson
13-Aug-11 Rip 6GS C2Hc 43K
92
Does nobody fancies
HIGH STANDING
then, at double carpet got to be worth each way of anybody’s money.
BLUE SQUARE and BOYLESPORT ARE OFFERING THIS PRICE PLUS AN EXTRA PLACING, WHILE PADDY POWER HAVE BEEN KNOCKED DOWN FROM 33/1 TO 25/1 (5 places) but OFFERING BEST PRICE GUARANTEED
and I had him on the nose @ 20/1 
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