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Bazil Brush would have been competitive anyway, he had enough form in the book to suggest he had a chance, the length of victory however was exaggerated because of the going.
Maybe there is scope in backing the winning distances over each meeting at Southwell then? I might give that a bash from an exprimental point of view in the next few weeks. Winning distances today were 17.25 lengths for 6 races. Watch this space.
Congratulations Doug! You are responsible for the thousandth post on the AW Lays and Plays thread. You have won a free Tricast tip. Simply choose an AW event any time in the next week and you will be given a suggested tricast for that race.
Naturally, this will win and you will be able to spend February having your back oiled by some scantily-clad dusky maiden on Barbados beach.
(Well done to slipperytoad and all the gang)
Maybe there is scope in backing the winning distances over each meeting at Southwell then? I might give that a bash from an exprimental point of view in the next few weeks. Winning distances today were 17.25 lengths for 6 races. Watch this space.
Could be something in that Doug for now
Southwell tomorrow:
If you are only wanting one bet then it has to be on Johnnie Skull in the 1450. I reckon will win by 5L to Bel Cantor…..
In terms of a (risky) lay – Bowmaker in the 1550
Ha ha, thanks Max. The 1000th contributor! I’ll save my tricast for during the week when there may be a few more runners and bigger returns then lol!
As for today, hve placed £5 on the aggregate winning distances being greater than 15.5lengths. So basically need 16+ lengths. Only 6 races but with ground sure to be slow and a couple low grade races over 1m 3f hoping for the fields to be well strung out up the straight.
£5 on Winning distances >= 16lengths @ 7-4
Based on Murphy’s ‘snow’ news on another thread, his MAWREE PRINCE IN THE 1.50 MIGHT BE WORTH A GLANCE.
Ken, it was tough today, extremely competitive despite the small fields. No need to beat yourself up about that.
Zefferelli was well backed – surprisingly considering his dismal run last time as a 5/4 jolly – and Braveheart did some winter pot hunting, to a generally apathetic crowd reaction, but other than that you could have backed anything and it would have been acceptable. I did get the word for something expected to run very well on Thursday so the trip wasn’t wasted today. I’ll post more later in the week.
Kempton 1615 today – I know it is a Classified Claiming Race but surely Ramamara will win this quite cosily. Another one that jumps out is Leading Edge in the 1330 Fillies’ Handicap at Wolverhampton.
One that caught my eye today is Keenes Royal in the 2.15 Kempton – decent pedigree, and showed some potential on soft going for Haslam last year – first try on AW but may handle it being by American bred Red Ransom – Beckett has had a 50% strike rate this season (from two runners, one also winning at Kempton) and is interesting with some market support at 3/1.
330W A Big Sky Brewing Alt Smalljohn
400W Fantasy Ride Alt Kickahead
245K Lord Of The Reins
315K Kames Park
345K Little Sark Alt Graylyn Ruby
445K DefectorGood luck all
Keenes Royale 2.15 Kemp
Duellist 3.00 Wolv
Smalljohn 3.30 Wolv
Starburst 3.45 Kemp
Nice Lucky 15 there…I hope.May not be original but surely Capricornus should be up to winning the 3.35 Lingfield – improved on his debut to win quite comfortably LTO at Wolverhampton and with a further step up in trip likely to suit on a similar surface, should take all the beating at 13/8. Stable in great form too.
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