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210L Bold Diva Alt Lancaster Lad
240L Sunset Boulevard Alt Turners Touch
310L Sir Liam Alt Zalkani
410L Pedregal
440L Chjimes Alt Wibbadune05/03/2009 20:50 Wolverhampton Kingsdale Orion
05/03/2009 20:50 Wolverhampton Tamimi’s HistoryA cracking card tonight at Dunstall Park. Picking winners is not easy under the circumstances, but there is dutching possibility in the 7.50 with a very short priced favourite.
Michael Owen’s Mr Macattack is forecast very short for a horse with paper thin form and a warm reputation. The value is elsewhere.
Alan Swinbank’s
Sarwin
is 2121 at Wolverhampton and clearly enjoys the West Midlands air. Another fan of the Black Country is
Royal Challenge
who had no chance last time after a blindfold problem in the stalls at Southwell. Has a good record second time after a break and looks to be crying out for 7f as he enters his twilight years. The McInnes stable is slowly (but surely), returning to form after a difficult time. Rather than back them each way, I’ll back them both to win at double figure prices and exacta them both with Owen’s colt to cover stakes.
06/03/2009 19:50 Wolverhampton Rubenstar
06/03/2009 19:50 Wolverhampton Misterisland
06/03/2009 20:20 Wolverhampton Dabbers Ridge07/03/2009 15:30 Wolverhampton Raptor
07/03/2009 15:30 Wolverhampton Lucky Dance
07/03/2009 15:30 Wolverhampton Bolodenka
07/03/2009 16:40 Wolverhampton Hoh Hoh Hoh
- Total Posts 17716
Is
Miss Chamanda
not ridiculously well handicapped in Kempton’s 5.00 given the form of her two runs at Windsor last April? She was beaten only by Bonnie Charlie on debut, with a number of subsequent winners (at varying levels) behind, and her victorious second outing couldn’t have worked out better.
A mark of 78 looks incredibly generous.
Is
Miss Chamanda
not ridiculously well handicapped in Kempton’s 5.00 given the form of her two runs at Windsor last April? She was beaten only by Bonnie Charlie on debut, with a number of subsequent winners (at varying levels) behind, and her victorious second outing couldn’t have worked out better.
A mark of 78 looks incredibly generous.
Equitrack
I never mix turf & all weather form as even on Polytrack-its still a dirt track.
I’ve forgotten how many turf "talking horses" come unstuck on the sand as its a different style of horse/action for differing surfaces.
One of the best winner finders I use is using speed ratings in maidens & a horse who has been 2nd, 3rd ect on Polytrack & who did a good time beats the "Big Yard" hot pot with no AW experience most of the time.
I had a small bet at 7.0 on Statute Book as Pegasus Boy & Miss Chamanda had never ran on sand & typically are bet down.Is
Miss Chamanda
not ridiculously well handicapped in Kempton’s 5.00 given the form of her two runs at Windsor last April? She was beaten only by Bonnie Charlie on debut, with a number of subsequent winners (at varying levels) behind, and her victorious second outing couldn’t have worked out better.
A mark of 78 looks incredibly generous.
Equitrack
I never mix turf & all weather form as even on Polytrack-its still a dirt track.
I’ve forgotten how many turf "talking horses" come unstuck on the sand as its a different style of horse/action for differing surfaces.
One of the best winner finders I use is using speed ratings in maidens & a horse who has been 2nd, 3rd ect on Polytrack & who did a good time beats the "Big Yard" hot pot with no AW experience most of the time.
I had a small bet at 7.0 on Statute Book as Pegasus Boy & Miss Chamanda had never ran on sand & typically are bet down.Imo the surface should suit all horses except southwell.What will not suit all horses is the bends.
I agree Southwell is a different beast but not many horses are as good on Turf as they are on sand & vice versa.
I play the AW almost every day, specialising in it & all Im saying is the same as Beyer, Mordin and Dave Bellingham-they are not interchangeable.
I love short priced turf "talkers"who are 1st time AW runners & made Fav.I would love to see the stats on how many get turned over.19/03/2009 19:50 Kempton Funky Town
19/03/2009 19:50 Kempton Sweet Request
19/03/2009 20:20 Kempton Marajaaanybody like guto.I think there is plenty dash in this race and guto looks like the one.
paceform.org
- Total Posts 17716
Music Box Express is down in trip, ideally drawn, in reasonable form and a reliable front-runner – he’ll do for me.
- Total Posts 17716
Music Box Express has led in each of his last nine runs, breaking in sometimes explosive fashion, but couldn’t manage it today.
The story of my betting life.
A cracking card tonight at Dunstall Park. Picking winners is not easy under the circumstances, but there is dutching possibility in the 7.50 with a very short priced favourite.
Michael Owen’s Mr Macattack is forecast very short for a horse with paper thin form and a warm reputation. The value is elsewhere.
Alan Swinbank’s
Sarwin
is 2121 at Wolverhampton and clearly enjoys the West Midlands air. Another fan of the Black Country is
Royal Challenge
who had no chance last time after a blindfold problem in the stalls at Southwell. Has a good record second time after a break and looks to be crying out for 7f as he enters his twilight years. The McInnes stable is slowly (but surely), returning to form after a difficult time. Rather than back them each way, I’ll back them both to win at double figure prices and exacta them both with Owen’s colt to cover stakes.
Nice exacta there Max – well done.
20/03/2009 14:00 Lingfield Iachimo
20/03/2009 18:50 Wolverhampton Keisha Kayleigh
20/03/2009 19:50 Wolverhampton Fort Churchill
20/03/2009 20:20 Wolverhampton Order Order
20/03/2009 20:20 Wolverhampton Salgrev
20/03/2009 20:50 Wolverhampton Northern DareCheers Dave. Big fan of the Mcinnes yard, but they’re not getting the breaks at the moment.
It’s an absolutely belting card at Lingfield tomorrow, one of the best AW cards I’ve ever seen. If I lived closer I would definitely be there, even at £20 (which is the admission for every summer Saturday this year, amazingly enough, at a time when the leisure pound is under pressure.)
Within one of the the best AW cards I’ve ever seen is definitely the best Class 2 handicap run on the AW this season at 4.50.
The race is like one of those musicals where the entire cast who’ve made the show such a joy face the applause with one last bow. The pantomime villain
Capricorn Run
has never been beaten when faced with 7f, a big field (13+) and the leaves of Lingfield. (
111).
I’m loathe to back him but only
Flawed Genius
appears as ideally suited to the conditions of tomorrow’s contest. And he’s a double figure price.
Paul Dixon, the Chairman of the ROA might have a good day tomorrow because I quite fancy
Docofthebay
to place (or even win!), in the Winter Derby. On ratings it shouldn’t be in the first ten but anyone who witnessed his last Dubai run, where he travelled like a Roller all the way round the inner and then got slaughtered by one of the dastardly De Kock’s, would have Osborne’s Cambridgshire runner up on their list to follow.
Rated 107 last year, a year where Jamie Osborne couldn’t win a sack race against a sack of Maris Pipers, Docofthebay is now 98 which underestimates him a touch.
If he’s going to stay a mile and a quarter, it will be at Lingfield and he’s
23
on Polytrack The wily Osborne is having a good few winners now and I have a feeling the Retford mob will be down the smoke punting this each way. I don’t rate the favourite over this trip (one attempt, unplaced), and I don’t think the Botti horse has the requisite class (stable form is in and out too).
The horse which worries me is
Bronze Cannon
from the red hot Gosden yard who has possibly the best single piece of form in the race. This is the safest bet for those who like a 5% return over the year.
Bet: 2 EW Singles Docofthebay, Capricorn Run.
1 EW double
2 Exactas Docofthebay Bronze Cannon
Capricorn Run Flawed GeniusBest of luck and if you’re going, I envy you.
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