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Aintree Juvenile Hurdle 2017

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  • #1295228
    greenasgrass
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    • Total Posts 8768

    I think Flying Tiger is decent E/W value for this. I reckon his 4th in the Adonis was better than the result implies; Lizzie Kelly had to spend most of the race keeping him covered up as he’s so headstrong, then sensibly took him wide to give him a clear sight at the last few hurdles on his last outing before Cheltenham rather than blowing a hot horse’s young mind shoving him into the thick of it.

    This stood him in good stead – as he had to be covered up again he got even more unsighted and buffeted than most in the cavalry charge that is the Fred Winter, but shrugged it off and showed a good game attitude and decent talent to win.

    I’m on at 12-1 E/W (14-1 available) and will probably go in again if Richard Johnston is on board. If they can get him to settle better in his races he’ll be interesting for next year too.

    #1295553
    Avatar photoZarkava
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    • Total Posts 4691

    I have no real handle on the rest of them, but Defi Du Seuil is a fraud of the highest order. He should win looking at ratings, but I refuse to believe this horse is top class until he does something top class. Lay at 1.35.

    #1295557
    Avatar photoVoleur
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    • Total Posts 656

    I have no real handle on the rest of them, but Defi Du Seuil is a fraud of the highest order. He should win looking at ratings, but I refuse to believe this horse is top class until he does something top class. Lay at 1.35.

    I was in the same boat as you until the Triumph. His win there was nothing but top class. Look at Charli Parcs, he put in by far and away the single most impressive juvenile performance of the season, but has since been proven a fraud. I still think CP is the juvenile to look forward to most next season, but I wouldn’t lay Defi with free money in this 8 runner field.

    Hopefully he doesn’t do an Ivanovich Gorbatov.

    #1295560
    Avatar photoVoleur
    Participant
    • Total Posts 656

    Workman-like but never in doubt. The way this lad jumps I think he definitely goes chasing, Barry seems to agree.

    #1295563
    Avatar photostevecaution
    Blocked
    • Total Posts 8241

    Defi Du Seuil is just the top dog in a poor year I feel. I had him as a saver at 4/1 in the Triumph but he was well ahead in the ratings that day, with the dubious 150 rated Master Blueyes the next best on the day.

    There will probably be a day to take Defi Du Seuil on at short odds, but today was not that day. It said it all that a horse beaten in the Fred Winter was his biggest danger.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1295572
    Avatar photoZarkava
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    • Total Posts 4691

    I totally agree but if he’d been beaten, I’d have been gutted. Was happy to lay despite expecting to lose.

    For half a second I thought Divin Bere had a shout.

    #1295738
    greenasgrass
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    • Total Posts 8768

    So much for my pick. He lost about 8 lengths at the start, fought like mad (again), carried his head far too high, and I think possibly got his tongue over the bit on the run in though was falling out the back of the telly so I couldn’t really see.

    Has a bit of talent and somehow managed to hurdle quite well over most of them despite having his head in the sky. Might have been third, if he hadn’t been such a bloody minded nutter. AP McCoy said he thought a big field would suit better as more cover and was right.

    I foresee a summer spent dressage schooling.

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