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Here’s Terror making his winning debut at Warwick today. Could be a smart thing. Certainly lived up to his name
…http://www.chroma.premiumtv.co.uk/streaming/watch/RacingUKFlashVOD/partnerId_166/videoFileId_14322252/clipId_2426684/index.html
Um, Would you risk a good horse in the wet weather running at Warwick?
I wouldn’t.Blackbeard to conquer the World
Watch your bets with John Gosden’s Faydhan. He has picked up a leg injury and may not run again this year. Certain to be out for some time according to connections. Uncannily similar to Kingman for this horse thus far.
Ivawood is as low as 5/1 for 2000G on the back of this news.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
O’L MAN RIVER made nice debut yesterday now 20/1 for derby i missed debut any thoughts on him.
I wish SIR ISAAC NEWTON comes out soon.
He won what might have been an average maiden quite nicely, no more than that.
It is the same hype story virtually every year. Do you really want to take 20/1 about an expensive pedigree when the stable is quite often spoilt for choice in this department.
O’L MAN RIVER made nice debut yesterday now 20/1 for derby i missed debut any thoughts on him.
I wish SIR ISAAC NEWTON comes out soon.
There is an article on Sporting Life website comparing the O’Brien Derby Contenders:-
http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/news … x-in-focus
Author, Ben Linfoot, likes Ol’Man River at the current odds.
Aiden O’Brien,
might
have said:-
"Now listen, they’re all promising colts and whereas Gleneagles has a turn of foot, That Ol’Man River, he just keeps rolling along"
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
John f Kennedy looks to me the one who will turn out best as he looks like he is growing rapidly and looks very good in his maiden. Well know better after the dew hurst etc but obrien does tend to send one of his best to the racing post trophy so whatever turns up there could be a big hint.
MARSH HAWK
looks an exceptional prospect based on her win at Newmarket in a time that very few debutantes are capable of producing. She produced a speed figure on my numbers bigger than Kingman did on his debut. Those behind her will be worth watching over the next few weeks as they certainly bumped into a smart one here.
This filly runs today in the 4.20 at Salisbury. This Group 3 race has the somewhat unfortunate moniker of the "Dick Poole" and was won by Joyeuse last season.
Marsh Hawk is around about 7/4 fav currently but the form and tips seem to be siding with New Providence from the Hugo Palmer stable. Looks a competitive enough race with only two maidens in the fourteen runner field. If she is to hit the heights she will need to win this one and it looks a tricky contest to take a shortish price in.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
I think she has done well, Group 3 race after one run and nearly won. As I pointed out those who finished in 2nd & 3rd at Newmarket were worth noting next time. The horse that finished 2nd to her Faddhayil won the 3.45 race a great value price considering she ran into a Group horse at Newmarket. I also backed the 3rd horse Light Fantastic when she beat Commadaria at Kempton. So the race owes me nothing. I will be backing Marsh Hawk again next time too.
I think she has done well, Group 3 race after one run and nearly won. As I pointed out those who finished in 2nd & 3rd at Newmarket were worth noting next time. The horse that finished 2nd to her Faddhayil won the 3.45 race a great value price considering she ran into a Group horse at Newmarket. I also backed the 3rd horse Light Fantastic when she beat Commadaria at Kempton. So the race owes me nothing. I will be backing Marsh Hawk again next time too.
I didn’t see the race but it was a good effort losing by a narrow margin against a more experienced rival with decent bits of form. She was dropped in trip today and it was soft when she made her debut, so maybe she’ll pick something up when there’s more juice in the ground.
I don’t know where she’ll go next but 16/1 for the 1000 Guineas looks very short to me as a long term proposition. You can get 33/1 with other firms but looking at the entries for the big fillies races it seems Osaila is the Hannon filly that being aimed highest this year.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Home Of The Brave runs again at Kempton today in the Gp3 Sirenia Stakes. The Middle Park is his longer term goal.
He is 11/10 for today’s contest and several of his opponents are arriving here on the back of disappointing performances last time out. One who arrives here in form is Maftool but he has to overcome the Godolphin "bounce". I have lost count of the number of their two year old winners who are fancied next time but seem to take a step back instead.
Hard to oppose the improving fav here and he needs to do this quite well to warrant his place in Gp1 company I feel.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Given the market support a pretty woeful performance. Perhaps it is point and fire or nothing with her as she never looked likely to pick up and folded pretty tamely.
The winner already looks an all-weather specialist. Shame most of us didn’t appreciate that before the race.
Home Of The Brave was very poor today and need not bother heading for the Middle Park after that effort.
The trainer has a different view to mine and seems pleased by the colt’s performance today, having said after the race:-
Hugo Palmer said of Home Of The Brave: "He has run very well, and Kevin (Manning) says he still feels very weak, I’ll talk to the owners, but I’d say he’ll be put away now.
"I’d love to see how he looks with a few more months on his back."
If he is to hit the top it doesn’t seem like it will be this year. My fag paper arithmetic puts him 20lbs behind Ivawood at this stage.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
The most impressive juvenile I’ve seen this year is Romeo Lima already mentioned on this thread,seems the bookies are running scared of him because he hasn’t been priced up anywhere for the 2000 Guineas
Romeo Lima runs at Longchamp today in the Group 3 Prix La Rochette. There are only 6 runners but they have all won before and we will get a better idea of how good he is with two three-time winners in the field.
This race was won by Karakontie last season and the same team have the unbeaten Nucifera on a four-timer after a listed win last time up. Nucifera has won at the trip but the likely fav Romeo Lima is stepping up from 6f.
Nucifera beat Richard Hannon’s Tupi last time and that horse wasn’t very good when last seen out. Romeo Lima came in to 16/1 for the 2000 G from 25/1 earlier in the week but is still only quoted with Stan James at the moment. Perhaps telephones will be ringing at other firms by this evening.
ps
Just looked at the betting for this race and Romeo Lima is a best priced 11/8. At the odds I’ll go against him with Nucifera as a three time winner proven at the trip. 7/2 with Racebets is too big I think and two of the big firms have him at half that price.
Should be a good race and I am sure a sparkling performance from Romeo Lima would see him in the top few prices for Newmarket glory next spring.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
Yes, an excellent effort from Home Of The Brave given the way the race played out. Being up with those suicidal fractions for so long, yet still finishing in the frame is a mark of his class.
He’ll go right to the top of the sprinting division if he improves mentally and physically in the off season.
Very nice double for the bookmakers with Home Of The Brave and Romeo Lima. Plus they will have pocketed a small (hopefully) amount of ante-post cash to boot. The perils of weighing in with impressive maiden winners, some you win, most you lose.
Romeo Lima didn’t have Home Of The Brave’s dodgy head carriage but there didn’t seem any excuses. He just didn’t quicken up as well as three of his rivals.
Wide margin winners always set the pulses of punters racing. There wasn’t a lot of form to go on regarding Romeo Lima but the horse who was third went on to finish further behind a horse of Ed Dunlop’s called Red Tornado, who took 4 goes to get off the mark and who had previously finished behind Nucifera. I backed Nucifera today but it always seems that something else pops up to spoil the plan when you have opposed a warm favourite and that is always the chance you take with lightly raced young horses.
Romeo Lima was 25/1 for the 2000 Guineas last week and was, somewhat unbelievably, cut into 12/1 with Stan James before todays race and introduced at 16/1 with William Hill. When you consider the achievements of Ivawood this season, it was laughable that another horse was only four points bigger on the back of a romp in a weak looking maiden.
Romeo Lima has been left at 12/1 by Stan James, so good luck to them doing any business at that price. William Hill have removed their quote and Bet 365 have introduced him at 33/1 if anyone retains faith in the horse.
Sea The Moon and Noozhoh Canarias completed a great weekend for bookies as the bubbles were popping like a falling safe landing on an Aero bar.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
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