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“Welsh National –
The Big Breakaway 148 – 2nd
Quick Wave 144 – PUNow –
The Big Breakaway 151
Quick Wave 152If Quick Wave is a weights standout gord knows what you would call The Big Breakaway :o)”
I don’t think the Welsh National is a reliable benchmark for Quick Wave. Not to play down The Big Breakaway’s run that day, but I wouldn’t be in a hurry to use that example to compare the two.
Hewick seems weighted rather high. I know it’s tricky to rate his Far Hills hurdle run but looking at the NSA ratings (https://nationalsteeplechase.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/OfficialNotices-February7-2023.pdf) and bearing in mind that Snap Decision ran nowhere close to his form that day, I’d have him carrying 160lbs or less. Certainly not above Noble Yeats!
I’m attracted to Francky de berlais he runs better in the spring and summer as do quite a few of Bowens .
Also Born by the sea I know you shouldn’t go by intuition but I’ve long thought he had a big run in him .
It’s hard to dismiss Coko Beach too,such a grand sure footed horse who likes to be up there .
I’ll also be taking a look at Rapper and Eva’s Oscar nearer the time.NRNB seems a lot better for punters on this, than in all those 200%+ books for “the Fez.”
Virtually anything you back won’t be running unless things go well (hence it will get shorter) between now and the race, there’s no Rule 4 and anything taken out is money back.
William Hill don’t even seem to be shorter than the other books and they’ve relaxed their restrictions a bit too.
You can get a nice little backers’ book going on the race.
It’s the most chance the William Hill Organisation have given punters since the late, great (he’d stand a bet) William Hill himself was alive!
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It's the "Millwall FC" of Point broadcasts: "No One Likes Us - We Don't Care"One who regularly catches my eye – having me thinking there is one big race in him – is Franco De Port. Whether the Grand National will be it is another matter, but I’ll back him NRNB.
Franco is a horse who always find a way to get beaten , he’s one of the first I put a line through …… He’ll prob win now , I see one the tipsters on the sportinglife website has put up Hill Sixteen
I’ve already bet one non runner and another who I’ve no longer got any interest in (Farclas). It’s perhaps best that I left it alone for now, but with my sensible hat on, it has to be Corach Rambler 12-1 nrnb
That’s my thoughts too Spoon, and I’m thinking Corach Rambler is just the sensible call here.
The other selection for me ante-post is Our Power 50-1 ew nrnb. He is a bit of a forgotten horse in my view.
“I’ve already bet one non runner and another who I’ve no longer got any interest in (Farclas).”
Don’t chuck the Farclas slip in the bin yet Spoon.
Decided on Remastered 25/1 EW nrnb with Hills. Should be good for a place, Hills are paying 5 places (fifth of odds) so I think I’ve got something to cheer on Grand National day.
The best things in life are free.
But you can give them to the birds and bees.Our Power was always my planned backup horse, should my first bet Fiddlerontheroof not make it there, and I have added him now 50-1 nrnb
I’m going to add another soon, and I’m torn between Vanillier, Any Second Now, and Pencilfulloflead
My ew 3…
Corach Rambler 20-1.
Delta Work 20-1. 5 places.
The Big Breakaway 33-1. 5 places.Went on record a while back as saying Sandy Thomson would win this race within 10 years, so will trust his judgement and initial selection is Sandy’s ‘selected’ Hill Sixteen, lightly raced this year and apparently targeted at this. His first time up performance at Kelso, when looking as if the race would help, was right up there in a very decent race behind Sounds Russian. Wouldn’t surprise me if the Kelso Premier Chase is used as a tune up.
As an aside, as last year at least one of the Elliott mob isn’t qualified yet.
The Bobbyjo Chase is always worth a look with a view to Aintree and tomorrow’s race could prove very informative with 6 likely National runners lining up. My eye keeps wandering to Carefully Selected, but I must discipline myself as I have now bet five with a further three ante-posts no longer going.
I suppose I’ll just have Carefully Selected tomorrow and hope Vanillier remembers how to jump a fence before topping up on him for Aintree
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