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Nunthorpe 2018

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  • #1358935
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 16045

    Very pleased to see A Momentofmadness get an entry here, and I’ve always fancied him to reach this level. He’s not there yet, and maybe next year for him, but I’d love to see him take his chance anyway.

    It’s red hot opposition though, so, no surprise if they wait.

    https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/107/york/2018-08-24/704707

    I’ll hold off just now, a quick look at the entries tells me to, but if he goes above 50’s, then I might just go “mad” and bet him.

    #1359006
    darren83
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    • Total Posts 8429

    Any views on MABS CROSS this a improving horse who going better not saying win but at double figure prices could get in 1st 3

    #1360378
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16045

    Good luck with Mabs Darren.

    I think A Momentofmadness really has his work cut out after his flop today, though I’d still probably bet him if he turned up. At least I’ll get more than 50’s surely.

    #1362441
    Avatar photoGingertipster
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    • Total Posts 34704

    Am one of Battaash‘s greatest fans, believing he’s the best sprinter since Dayjur so can understand the favourite’s price. Evens is fair and I may well have a saver on the day at odds-on. But we’re talking ante-post and odds-on (or Evens at most) about betting ante-post this far in advance – is not for me. Favourite is as likely as any rival to tread on a stone… I believe Battaash’s temperament has improved since last year and York’s fast 6f should suit the Charlie Hills runner more than Ascot…

    Battaash was below form at Ascot and firmly believe Blue Point is the inferior horse. But the latter did put up a personal best there and didn’t settle over 6f at Newmarket. Should return to his best if not improve on Jubilee form at York. If both run to their bests I still expect Battaash to come out on top, but sometimes horses don’t run to their bests. Prices of Evens and 6/1 suggest Battaash is three and a half times as likely to win than Blue Point and imo the fair assessment would be around two and three quarters (Evens B compared to 9/2 BP).

    I’ve taken 6/1 Blue Point.

    Value Is Everything
    #1363109
    Avatar photoMiddle_Of_March
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    • Total Posts 2833

    If there’s any 4/5 available on the day, that’ll do for me.

    #1363118
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 16045

    Still want to have an Ante-Post bet in this, but looks one for a new stab, as fav does look solid.

    Definitely waiting till five day decs, but leaning towards Dreamfield or Mr Lupton.

    #1364137
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 16045

    Took the 33’s Mr Lupton, as well as 28’s to the 4 Places.

    He’s getting backed, but I’m hopeful more than confident of him placing, considering those ahead of him in the betting.

    Great line up this year.

    #1364139
    ham
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    • Total Posts 3633

    Take cover e/w @ 66/1 would be my selection

    #1364142
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 16045

    He was my second ew choice Ham. Not betting much today, so just added him myself at that price, didn’t realise he had drifted that far. Also took him to the 4 places at 50’s.

    #1364143
    Avatar photoBigG
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    • Total Posts 14567

    If Battaash turns up in anything like his best form then the rest will
    all have a good look at his backside, and whilst 4/6 may be a reasonable
    bet given his chances, it’s definitely not for me. I’m with Ham here, I
    don’t know why Take Cover should be 66/1, and with 4
    places at betvictor I think he’s a good bet. His 2nd at Goodwood last time
    out was a very good run and he had several decent horses behind. He’s an
    incredible horse to be still taking on top class horses at 11yrs, but he
    doesn’t look as if he’s played out yet. I think there’s every chance he can
    squeeze into the top 4 places.

    #1364146
    Avatar photoCharlesOlney
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    • Total Posts 2031

    I suspect a couple who are miles behind early doors will come through for placings so have taken 6 places at reduced odds with Bet365 and at bigger odds with SkyBet.

    Declarationofpeace 50/1 (6 places) & 150/1 (4 places)
    Washington DC 16/1 (6 places) & 40/1 (3 places)

    Fully expect the fav to bolt up though.

    #1364149
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14567

    I’ve also taken the 16s e/w on Mabs Cross, I think that’s
    too big. Unfortunately I only got 3 places with Paddy power. I’ll settle for her 3rd and
    Take Cover 4th :good:

    #1364152
    Avatar photoNathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 34688

    Battaash looked relaxed enough. Perhaps the another year older has matured him slightly.
    Looking forward to this had a bit on Blue Point at 7’s Ante Post and did Battaash in a double with Stradivarius plus a few other Multi’s on the Football.
    I wonder if something might come out of the clouds like Marsha last year… :rose:

    Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026

    #1364153
    nwalton
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    • Total Posts 3588

    dead heat?

    #1364154
    nwalton
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3588

    Alpha Delphini

    #1364155
    Avatar photoCharlesOlney
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    • Total Posts 2031

    I feel for you lads on Mabs Cross.

    I’m still searching for the pixel between them.

    #1364156
    LD73
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    • Total Posts 4130

    Would have been called a dead-heat just a few years ago and it is a shame one had to lose but well done to connections and also to Graham Lee.

    Not sure what to make of Battaash, last off the bridle but found next to nothing – maybe he is a horse that needs to boss a race from the start and doesn’t enjoy being taken on by others.

    Blue Point looked like he needed 6F on this flat course today even though that trip was beyond him at Newmarket – Ascot’s stiff 5F looks his ideal but I would guess the Sprint Cup at Haydock over 6F might be his next port of call.

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