Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Nunthorpe 2018
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Triptych.
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- June 30, 2018 at 03:03 #1358935
Very pleased to see A Momentofmadness get an entry here, and I’ve always fancied him to reach this level. He’s not there yet, and maybe next year for him, but I’d love to see him take his chance anyway.
It’s red hot opposition though, so, no surprise if they wait.
https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/107/york/2018-08-24/704707
I’ll hold off just now, a quick look at the entries tells me to, but if he goes above 50’s, then I might just go “mad” and bet him.
June 30, 2018 at 12:11 #1359006Any views on MABS CROSS this a improving horse who going better not saying win but at double figure prices could get in 1st 3
July 15, 2018 at 01:05 #1360378Good luck with Mabs Darren.
I think A Momentofmadness really has his work cut out after his flop today, though I’d still probably bet him if he turned up. At least I’ll get more than 50’s surely.
August 7, 2018 at 20:39 #1362441Am one of Battaash‘s greatest fans, believing he’s the best sprinter since Dayjur so can understand the favourite’s price. Evens is fair and I may well have a saver on the day at odds-on. But we’re talking ante-post and odds-on (or Evens at most) about betting ante-post this far in advance – is not for me. Favourite is as likely as any rival to tread on a stone… I believe Battaash’s temperament has improved since last year and York’s fast 6f should suit the Charlie Hills runner more than Ascot…
Battaash was below form at Ascot and firmly believe Blue Point is the inferior horse. But the latter did put up a personal best there and didn’t settle over 6f at Newmarket. Should return to his best if not improve on Jubilee form at York. If both run to their bests I still expect Battaash to come out on top, but sometimes horses don’t run to their bests. Prices of Evens and 6/1 suggest Battaash is three and a half times as likely to win than Blue Point and imo the fair assessment would be around two and three quarters (Evens B compared to 9/2 BP).
I’ve taken 6/1 Blue Point.
Value Is EverythingAugust 15, 2018 at 23:14 #1363109If there’s any 4/5 available on the day, that’ll do for me.
August 16, 2018 at 01:18 #1363118Still want to have an Ante-Post bet in this, but looks one for a new stab, as fav does look solid.
Definitely waiting till five day decs, but leaning towards Dreamfield or Mr Lupton.
August 24, 2018 at 13:56 #1364137Took the 33’s Mr Lupton, as well as 28’s to the 4 Places.
He’s getting backed, but I’m hopeful more than confident of him placing, considering those ahead of him in the betting.
Great line up this year.
August 24, 2018 at 14:06 #1364139Take cover e/w @ 66/1 would be my selection
August 24, 2018 at 14:17 #1364142He was my second ew choice Ham. Not betting much today, so just added him myself at that price, didn’t realise he had drifted that far. Also took him to the 4 places at 50’s.
August 24, 2018 at 14:26 #1364143If Battaash turns up in anything like his best form then the rest will
all have a good look at his backside, and whilst 4/6 may be a reasonable
bet given his chances, it’s definitely not for me. I’m with Ham here, I
don’t know why Take Cover should be 66/1, and with 4
places at betvictor I think he’s a good bet. His 2nd at Goodwood last time
out was a very good run and he had several decent horses behind. He’s an
incredible horse to be still taking on top class horses at 11yrs, but he
doesn’t look as if he’s played out yet. I think there’s every chance he can
squeeze into the top 4 places.August 24, 2018 at 14:38 #1364146I suspect a couple who are miles behind early doors will come through for placings so have taken 6 places at reduced odds with Bet365 and at bigger odds with SkyBet.
Declarationofpeace 50/1 (6 places) & 150/1 (4 places)
Washington DC 16/1 (6 places) & 40/1 (3 places)Fully expect the fav to bolt up though.
August 24, 2018 at 15:18 #1364149I’ve also taken the 16s e/w on Mabs Cross, I think that’s
too big. Unfortunately I only got 3 places with Paddy power. I’ll settle for her 3rd and
Take Cover 4th
August 24, 2018 at 15:26 #1364152Battaash looked relaxed enough. Perhaps the another year older has matured him slightly.
Looking forward to this had a bit on Blue Point at 7’s Ante Post and did Battaash in a double with Stradivarius plus a few other Multi’s on the Football.
I wonder if something might come out of the clouds like Marsha last year…
Gaelic Warrior Gold Cup Winner 2026
August 24, 2018 at 15:39 #1364153dead heat?
August 24, 2018 at 15:42 #1364154Alpha Delphini
August 24, 2018 at 15:45 #1364155I feel for you lads on Mabs Cross.
I’m still searching for the pixel between them.
August 24, 2018 at 15:48 #1364156Would have been called a dead-heat just a few years ago and it is a shame one had to lose but well done to connections and also to Graham Lee.
Not sure what to make of Battaash, last off the bridle but found next to nothing – maybe he is a horse that needs to boss a race from the start and doesn’t enjoy being taken on by others.
Blue Point looked like he needed 6F on this flat course today even though that trip was beyond him at Newmarket – Ascot’s stiff 5F looks his ideal but I would guess the Sprint Cup at Haydock over 6F might be his next port of call.
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