Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › Caspian Caviar Gold Cup 2018
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LD73.
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- November 28, 2018 at 18:44 #1387332
Entries out…..
As is usually the case, The BetVictor Gold Cup is as good a place to start as any. Despite the carnage in behind, Baron Alco and Frodon looked good value for getting the honours. I’d fancy Frodon to just shade it this time. A cracking little horse, who I always give a good word to, and he’s became a real favourite. This will be tougher again, and though disappointing in last years Ryanair, he looks a better horse this time around. I think he’s worth considering for that, and another good show obviously won’t affect his chances for that, as far as his mark will be concerned.
Slightly different situation for Baron Alco. Connections would like a shot at The Topham, and a big run here would affect his chances. Solid horse though, and wherever his future lies, he’s surely got more to offer.
Rather Be, not surprisingly, heads the market. He was another to run in that race, and fair to say he was cantering when he was brought down. Off the same mark here, it’s hard to pick holes in him.
It looks a stronger entry than usual this year, with plenty catching the eye. I was happy to duck The BetVictor Antepost this year, and a similar approach send the sensible option here. No harm in looking though, and these are some of the standout entries for me.
Theatre Territory – Yes, she doesn’t win too often, and certainly hasn’t won over fences, but this doesn’t tell the full story. She seems, recently anyway, incapable of running a bad race, and she’s miles better than 132. She would be a strong #1 fit me here, but given connections, she’ll surely head for The Becher. Smashing horse, who looks to have a very bright future.
Catamaran Du Seuill – Likeable type for Dr Newland, who’ll come here seeking a hat trick. Looks worthy of his rise in the weights, and an interesting entry. Risky right now though, as he could take in The Grand Sefton first of all.
Gold Present – Satisfactory comeback at the weekend, after his season had somewhat tailed off last year. No harm in going down to Politologue and Charbel, and getting close to his last winning mark, he looks a shade overpriced.
Guitar Pete – Defending champ, and although handed last years race in the saddest of circumstances, he seems a rock solid each way prospect here. Never really landed a blow in The BetVictor, but still made the frame, and one of the safer Antepost propositions. Bet365 have him as low as 7’s.
Happy Diva – Didn’t give her a second look in The BetVictor, but she was fair travelling when brought down alongside Rather Be. She’s certainly getting a second look this time.
War Sound – Been around long enough without really grabbing the headlines, but his win last time at Aintree, was a career best. This will ask more, but obviously coming here in good heart for a yard in form, and I’m very keen.
Cepage – I was keen on him for The BetVictor, but he didn’t trap. The more rain the better for him, and I seen enough last year to be equally keen on his chances for this. Decent price.
Aso – Stablemate of Cepage, and something of a forgotten horse. Runner up in this two years back, before going on to make the frame in The Ryanair, and if his well-being could be assured, he looks on a nice enough mark. Couldn’t be bet with any confidence Antepost, but interesting if he traps.
Romain De Senam – We didn’t get a chance to see where he’s at, when he was got no further than the first in The BetVictor, but Nicholls having a good time of it, and he’s got the look of a very well handicapped horse.
Forest Bihan – Not the type that I’d normally look at for this, but trimmed 2lbs for a very respectable effort behind Sceau Royal, he becomes that bit more interesting.
Foxtail Hill – Ultra impressive winner here last October, but truth be told, he didn’t do much after that. His comeback in October was adequate though, and he’s of note for this yard, coming here 3lbs below his last winning mark, and I like that 20’s.
Marienstar – Tons more on her plate here, yet off the back of three wins, all done in convincing fashion, she looks worthy of an entry.
San Benedeto – Ran ok on Saturday, but crucially, he’s finally getting some proper respite, having been off 158 at one point. His run behind Altior last year was dynamite, and he just has the look of a horse who might, just might, have been laid out for this. He’ll have other options, but should Frodon swerve this, then not out of the question he’ll be allowed to take his chance. I’d love to see him reunited here with Bryony Frost, and the fact that he’d come here off his last winning mark, makes him of serious interest at 25’s.
Those are the ones that immediately catch the eye, but plenty of time to change my mind.
Rather Be looks as worthy a favourite as you could get at this stage, while on the day place concessions make Frodon and Guitar Pete look solid each way.
No bet for me yet, but particularly keen on……
Cepage
Forest Bihan
Foxtail Hill
War SoundHowever, should I buckle, it’ll be on
San Benedeto 25’s
Theatre Territory 10’sI think Theatre wins this, but Aintree is a big distraction, and hard to see her running here, while other entries from the yard cloud the issue with San Benedeto, not to mention the owner having Frodon in there. He’s way overpriced though, and I’ll watch the market.
GL
November 28, 2018 at 21:28 #1387336Nice work, Bobby, as always. If the ground stays decent I could bet Forest Bihan.
November 28, 2018 at 22:28 #1387339Have to go with Rather Be again.
November 30, 2018 at 18:23 #1387496Thanks Joe, get an early look at Forest Bihan tomorrow.
I toyed with Aso for this today before he hacked up, but swerved it, and didn’t get a sniff of the 25’s, so missed out on him.
I like the way she brought Aso back though, and in hindsight, he could get hammered for today.
If she can maintain this form, and she has went on a roll before at this time of year, then I could see Cepage creeping even further up the shortlist.
December 5, 2018 at 18:07 #1388109December 6, 2018 at 08:06 #1388154I’ve had a quite a big bet on Rather Be at 7/1 EW.
Can’t see him being out the places
December 6, 2018 at 10:52 #1388171Rather Be unlikely to get his ground again?
Baron alco potentially chucked-in still from 11 stone..
December 6, 2018 at 11:36 #1388179The more I look at Baron Alco, the more I like him as well. Doesn’t look overly punished for last time.
Theatre Territory not going for Becher, so I’ll definitely be with her, but at 10’s, I’ll wait for final decs.
December 8, 2018 at 21:28 #1388625San Benedeto goes in The Peterborough tomorrow, so looks like I’ll have to dig out another. Even with a big run tomorrow, hard to see him take in both races.
Theatre Territory is entered on the Friday, so it could be a completely different approach for me now in this.
Thankfully no money down yet, but with a mixed forecast ahead, I’ll definitely sit tight for now.
December 11, 2018 at 15:23 #1388821Took 25’s on Romain De Senam for this after he got no further than the first last time out!
Heard he wasn’t going for the race over the national fences so backed him early for this, and looks likely to line up now.
Could be well handicapped and as I said in the Betvictor Cup thread, looks to be laid out by Nicholls for one of these 2 1/2 mile handicaps.
Hoping it’s this one now as he didn’t have a race last time!December 11, 2018 at 16:29 #1388827Left field one for you here guys GARDEFORT 33/1. This one has run well a couple of times and one those times was in the Grand Annual 2017 when finishing second!!
If last time he ran out his ring rust then he has a chance off 140 !!
If his jumping holds together which it hasn’t on at least two occasions but then again that is why it is a 33/1 shot!!
December 13, 2018 at 14:27 #1388992well that was a quick blow out!! LOL
I have backed two in this WAR SOUND 10/1 and ROMAIN DE SENEM at 22/1 both four places.
WS could be just improving after Hobbs poor year last year and could still be ahead of the handicapper and RDS could be anything and Nocholls horses are in good form!!
Good Luck guys
December 13, 2018 at 21:40 #1389003Mister Medic will be a fair bit shorter than the current 11/1 come the off, I think, and he has an excellent chance.
December 13, 2018 at 23:55 #1389225As much as I’m happy that I’ve saved a few quid Antepost, looking at the line up, it just doesn’t look any easier.
I would have preferred it if those from the early shortlist, Cepage, Foxtail Hill, and War Sound hadn’t all made it, but they have, and it’s a real head scratcher.
I’ll no doubt add one of them late on, but one thing I do know, is that I’ll definitely bet Frodon. Love this horse, and hopefully I can get 9’s to four places, but he’s a justified top weight, being in the form of his life, and for now, first bet is for the win.
Frodon 9’s
December 14, 2018 at 19:33 #1389285I have to agree with you Bobby that this looks real tricky. I am already on RDS and WS and have added FRODON at 11/1 and CEPAGE at 12/1. That is how tough it is!! I have backed four in it!! Crazy I know but the more I looked the more I fancied!!
Good luck Guys
December 14, 2018 at 21:33 #1389300Very tricky contest with a case made for several. With Hills paying to 7 places and Paddy’s to 6 it’s seems a shame not to throw a few each way darts! In order of preference and stake my 3 are;
Baron Alco
RDS
War SoundGood luck all.
December 14, 2018 at 23:00 #1389319War Sound and Cepage for me.
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