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Irish Roe has my money. Would be a great story
I backed her as well today at 33-1. Let’s hope she does the business
Todays Mares Bumper should give a few clue to this race today. Cap Soleil beat Daphne Du Clos off levels LTO. Also Mullins & W Greatrex has a runner which could be a pointer to stablemates chances for the Champion Bumper.
Looks a good race
Todays Mares Bumper should give a few clue to this race today. Cap Soleil beat Daphne Du Clos off levels LTO. Also Mullins & W Greatrex has a runner which could be a pointer to stablemates chances for the Champion Bumper.
Looks a good race
Western Ryders form looking something now after that result. Cap Soleil beat Daphne Du Clos off levels LTO and WR gave 21 lbs to DDS LTO. Should be FAV in my opinion.
I agree that Western Ryder should be favourite. His Warwick figure is off the charts in the context of this race and Cheltenham should suit the big horse much better. His form could hardly be stronger. I think I’ll get on as soon as I finish typing!
I did also back Carter McKay (4/1) last month. I think he’s pretty solid, but he’s obviously a stayer in the making. I’d be very surprised if he lines up in next year’s Supreme and think the Neptune or even Albert Bartlett are much more likely. As such, he would be vulnerable to a flash of real star quality from a ‘could be anything’ horse like Cause Toujours or Quick Grabim. On the plus side for the Carter McKay bet, his latest victim West Coast Time is also entered. That’s good to see because it suggests his connections retain the faith in their own horse and probably just feel they ran into a bit of a weapon last time out.
There isn’t enough substance in the other two I mentioned for me to be backing them, but they’re the only two who I think could improve enough to match the best recent winners: Moon Racer and Cue Card. Cause Toujours is just too short and Quick Grabim might not be straightforward.
What’s that Fayonagh doing in here. Elliot said numerous times he wont have a runner in the Bumper. Maybe changed his mind
What’s that Fayonagh doing in here. Elliot said numerous times he wont have a runner in the Bumper. Maybe changed his mind
Jo O’Brien said at a preview night that Elliots have been dominating the bumpers in Ireland all year, so if he only relies on one runner, that’s a tip in itself surely?
Carter Mckay 5/1 and Cause Toujours 8/1 look some way above the rest of these.
Value Is EverythingI’ve backed Irish Roe guys so it’s got no chance. Tear up your betting slips.
Cause Toujours looks like a different class horse, although he beat nothing on his last start tanking on the bridle, he still managed to click faster time than Willoughby Court and Tommy Rapper earlier on the cards. Just watch the way how strong he was at the finish, jockey couldn’t stop him, he is a horse to follow whatever route he will go after this bumper. Skelton knows how to get a winner at Cheltenham, it might be his best chance.
I went for Imperial Eloquence & West Coast Time Ante-Post, and still happy with the pair of them. Imperial is a sporting selection at the 33’s and he didn’t let me down here in November. I was on him, shrewdly, at 25’s AP for this, so will top up at the bigger prices. I really fancy West Coast Time, with Davy Russell in the saddle, to be more like his debut run, where he was very impressive, and I’m happy to take the 16’s.
Carter Mckay could take some stopping but I agree with what’s been said here that Irish Roe is too big at 28/1 and I also like Imperial Eloquence, I think they both have solid chances of placing.
Carter Mckay 5/1 and Cause Toujours 8/1 look some way above the rest of these.
Decided to do Fayonagh 11/1 too.
Value Is EverythingCause Toujours caught the eye last time but only one horse has placed from that race in 18 runs since. It does put me off him.
I don’t think Carter Mackay’s form looks stellar, he has been winning easily but this is competitive and at 9/2 or so he’s a lay for me in a race with potential dangers lurking in several areas.
Someday will have supporters for Jessica Harrington but looked more of a grinder last time. Fayonagh hacked up last time but that was a mares race on heavy, which dampens my enthusiasm.
In the end I decided to go with a 4yo getting weight. I have read that Cue Card is the only 4yo to win the race but that’s bollocks, as two of the first 4 winners were 4yo and Dato Star was one of them.
Debuchet was second on his debut and was then a six length winner of a 4yo Bumper at Leopardstown. It was the style of his win that impressed me, he went on the good ground that day with a really quick action, a bit uncommon for some of the Bumper horses and he stayed on strongly, increasing his advantage steadily to the winning line.
Up against older horses and from a small stable, there is something about the grey gelding that suggests he could be decent and getting 8 lbs from his elders should help.
At 12/1 I felt Debuchet was worth a bet here, Paddy Power only go 8/1.
Like the favourite Debuchet is grey and at three times the odds at one stage he looked better value.
Debuchet 12/1 (Best Odds Guarantee obviously)
Good luck.
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
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